Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 10?
open
Total volume
$295
$1,588 in 24h
Trades
35
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$4,253
Latest YES mid
21¢
Latest NO mid
79¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-09 16:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $60 | $60 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $23 | $207 | $184 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | — | $178 | $178 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 5 | $4 | $10 | $6 |
| Below median | 7 | $15 | $16 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $2 | $63 | $61 |
| unranked | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +80 | $75 | $75 | 3 | 05-09 09:24 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +49 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 05-08 14:19 |
| Cheap-Ton 0x22dd…8246 | Yes | +48 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 16:29 |
| Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | +45 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 05-08 05:57 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +31 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-09 01:30 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-09 03:59 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +29 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 05-09 13:02 |
| Naughty-Conditioner 0x7047…31b3 | Yes | +18 | $2 | $2 | 5 | 05-09 03:45 |
| Kind-Show 0xf0da…2342 | No | +18 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 05-08 23:26 |
| Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 05-09 11:25 |
| Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 00:18 |
| Merry-Compass 0xf38e…1917 | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 07:09 |
| Fatal-Outrage 0x524c…d364 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 08:50 |
| Forceful-Playroom 0x7e9c…f3a8 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 00:35 |
| Lively-Pigsty 0x3936…8f21 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 03:59 |
| Cuddly-Auction 0x3e28…4983 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 16:59 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 03:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x2c9c…2476 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 15:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 15:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xca30…7eb2 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 01:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x66c6…ffa9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 01:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 16:59:06 | Cuddly-Auction 0x3e28…4983 | No | BUY | 8 | 79¢ | $6 | 0x5ec4a2… |
| 05-09 16:29:34 | Cheap-Ton 0x22dd…8246 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 21¢ | $10 | 0x6039b8… |
| 05-09 15:51:04 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x5eb576… |
| 05-09 15:51:02 | (anonymous) 0x2c9c…2476 | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x35c972… |
| 05-09 13:02:51 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xbaba33… |
| 05-09 12:00:07 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x0ebd3c… |
| 05-09 12:00:07 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x32ad5c… |
| 05-09 11:25:12 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | BUY | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0x184a63… |
| 05-09 09:30:19 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x89b8fc… |
| 05-09 09:24:50 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0x79c6bf… |
| 05-09 08:50:06 | Fatal-Outrage 0x524c…d364 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x863551… |
| 05-09 08:49:48 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 18 | 94¢ | $17 | 0xf71c8c… |
| 05-09 08:44:51 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 12 | 92¢ | $12 | 0x8be8d9… |
| 05-09 08:10:03 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | BUY | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0x37d0f5… |
| 05-09 07:09:56 | Merry-Compass 0xf38e…1917 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x5140a4… |
| 05-09 03:59:50 | Lively-Pigsty 0x3936…8f21 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x222877… |
| 05-09 03:59:50 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0xe11f8b… |
| 05-09 03:59:50 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x7cf77e… |
| 05-09 03:45:18 | Naughty-Conditioner 0x7047…31b3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x34f882… |
| 05-09 03:44:57 | Naughty-Conditioner 0x7047…31b3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x2ce825… |
| 05-09 03:44:36 | Naughty-Conditioner 0x7047…31b3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xdcaf86… |
| 05-09 03:44:17 | Naughty-Conditioner 0x7047…31b3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x22815f… |
| 05-09 03:43:56 | Naughty-Conditioner 0x7047…31b3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xda8886… |
| 05-09 03:15:44 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x962b80… |
| 05-09 03:15:44 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x5cbf3f… |
| 05-09 01:30:25 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 31 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x319bba… |
| 05-09 01:30:16 | (anonymous) 0xca30…7eb2 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x0033b7… |
| 05-09 01:30:14 | (anonymous) 0x66c6…ffa9 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x55ae80… |
| 05-09 01:20:28 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xe2dcd8… |
| 05-09 00:35:21 | Forceful-Playroom 0x7e9c…f3a8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xa68cfe… |
| 05-09 00:18:47 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x2876cf… |
| 05-08 23:26:50 | Kind-Show 0xf0da…2342 | No | BUY | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0xdd79d2… |
| 05-08 23:26:46 | Kind-Show 0xf0da…2342 | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xfe4d2d… |
| 05-08 14:19:47 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 49 | 96¢ | $47 | 0x5fa20a… |
| 05-08 05:57:33 | Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | BUY | 45 | 95¢ | $43 | 0x4bf035… |