Open-Cartilage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

70.2%

Resolved

466

Trades

1,086

lifetime

Volume

$1.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 07-07 02:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 66% -$15

Other

46% 60% -$8

Politics

3% 100% +$3

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-07).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		+3	$3	98¢	$3	+$0	05-27 13:43
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No		+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	05-24 06:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	6	$26	24	24	+0	Up	+$4	05-18 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	17	$20	15	15	+0	Up	-$2	05-23 08:14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 3?	6	$16	11	11	+0	Yes	+$6	05-03 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	12	$16	11	10	+1	Up	+$1	05-20 05:12
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 11?	4	$15	8	8	+0	Yes	+$1	05-11 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	13	$15	16	14	+2	Up	+$1	05-18 15:59
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on May 2?	6	$14	9	8	+0	Yes	+$2	05-02 15:52
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 2?	7	$14	15	15	+0	Yes	+$4	05-02 06:11
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 3?	10	$13	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	05-03 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	12	$13	13	13	+0	Up	+$1	05-20 03:19
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 4?	9	$13	17	17	+0	Yes	+$1	05-04 05:03
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 3?	3	$13	7	7	+0	No	+$1	05-03 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	11	$11	12	10	+1	Down	-$1	05-18 15:49
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	2	$11	12	0	+12	No	+$1	05-27 13:45
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 4?	7	$10	11	11	+0	No	+$0	05-04 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	8	$10	7	6	+1	Down	+$1	05-21 04:20
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	2	$10	10	0	+10	T1	+$0	05-20 08:40
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C or below on May 1?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-30 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	10	$10	11	8	+3	Up	$0	05-20 03:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	8	$9	7	7	+0	Up	-$1	05-20 05:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	8	$9	7	6	+1	Down	+$0	05-23 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	11	$9	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	05-20 03:09
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 2?	2	$9	6	6	+0	Yes	+$3	05-03 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	5	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-23 14:59
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 68°F or higher on May 11?	4	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-11 15:25
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 3?	3	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	05-03 04:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	5	$8	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-18 16:03
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 9?	3	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	05-09 17:07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 1?	2	$8	6	6	+0	Yes	+$4	05-01 12:04
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 3?	4	$8	10	10	+0	No	$0	05-03 11:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 02:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x89749e…
07-07 02:04:14	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x4038e9…
07-07 02:02:47	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x9eef04…
07-07 01:47:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0xf642c7…
07-06 23:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4b44ba…
07-06 10:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8efd79…
07-06 10:18:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x90c038…
07-06 10:17:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa4d5fa…
07-06 02:13:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xa1df3f…
07-06 02:12:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x3ea601…
07-05 10:09:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe2e82a…
07-05 10:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe6ae70…
07-05 10:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x9e7ba2…
07-05 05:35:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x489cfe…
07-05 02:26:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 5?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x9042ae…
07-05 02:26:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1eaf2f…
07-03 22:43:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 4?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x489952…
07-03 22:43:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x32a6c8…
07-03 22:42:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x912a59…
07-02 15:16:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9b216b…
07-02 15:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xfaab88…
07-01 10:50:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x7039d6…
06-30 23:14:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x793c5a…
06-28 14:45:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6df1e8…
06-28 14:29:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 28?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6c9544…
06-28 14:29:28	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x662edd…
06-28 02:54:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x5215f1…
06-19 01:03:29	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x32e5a3…
06-19 01:03:26	Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xe343a6…
06-15 14:50:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xfe1ee3…
06-15 02:25:09	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x04ce29…
06-15 02:24:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xdf2a08…
06-12 15:21:12	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x4f6696…
06-12 04:28:15	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb9cdad…
06-12 04:28:01	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x9022f4…
06-12 03:20:57	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc38387…
06-12 03:20:27	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June 12?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1fdcdc…
06-10 02:50:12	atp ferrari baena 2026 06 10	Roberto Carballes Baena	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xac53c0…
06-10 02:49:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1694f4…
06-10 02:35:04	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xcbb31b…
06-10 02:32:51	will starmer say mrpt speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event 20260604160137132	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1cd6b8…
06-09 14:58:16	will people be said 200 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 8	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x766fe8…
06-07 14:07:39	will trump say kuwait this week	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9915c2…
06-07 14:05:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 14:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x02821a…
06-07 14:05:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa99233…
06-06 10:43:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf44368…
06-06 10:43:07	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xd44ad2…
06-06 10:42:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0ac194…
06-06 10:42:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3ca1a4…
06-05 11:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xaff7c7…
06-05 11:56:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x356a68…
06-05 11:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd6ec89…
06-05 11:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x67c0e5…
06-05 05:44:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x21b257…
06-04 14:22:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0e10b0…
06-04 09:22:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb75e1e…
06-04 03:41:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:40 UTC	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x7e2363…
06-04 03:40:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x52ca8d…
06-04 03:38:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5d8edf…
06-04 03:38:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xa0ec0f…
06-04 03:38:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:35 UTC	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xd8131f…
06-04 03:33:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe36532…
06-04 03:32:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x227895…
06-04 03:31:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4ca3b2…
06-04 03:30:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xf1bee3…
06-04 03:25:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4a5dd4…
06-04 03:25:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:25 UTC	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x228bf0…
06-04 03:25:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:25 UTC	Down	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x116eb6…
06-04 03:25:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd99896…
06-04 03:25:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xef409c…
06-04 03:24:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:20 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x06bf35…
06-04 03:24:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:20 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9a3af2…
06-04 03:23:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x7d5ba4…
06-04 03:22:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6f39de…
06-04 03:22:34	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf5ef07…
06-04 03:19:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x687c92…
06-04 03:19:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xdef277…
06-01 14:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8e92e6…
06-01 14:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4427ca…
06-01 14:07:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4ea165…
06-01 14:00:22	Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda	Flavio Cobolli	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x216f61…
06-01 14:00:18	T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrain	Hong Kong, China	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7ec8af…
06-01 06:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x32e63d…
06-01 06:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc30b5e…
06-01 06:24:38	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x432c4a…
06-01 06:24:15	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Anyone's Legend	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x8fb425…
06-01 06:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa45e45…
06-01 05:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x10b866…
06-01 05:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2b035f…
06-01 05:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x32c652…
06-01 05:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x1dd7b5…
06-01 05:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x11d501…
06-01 05:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x543cdc…
06-01 03:48:27	Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x5420b9…
06-01 03:48:14	T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrain	Hong Kong, China	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1b1f92…
06-01 03:45:46	Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x83e826…
06-01 03:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xba0a3a…
06-01 03:21:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc0e7c8…
06-01 03:12:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7623c8…
06-01 03:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xcd0352…