Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 9?
open
Total volume
$117
$786 in 24h
Trades
28
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$2,589
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-08 08:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $35 | $35 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $13 | $67 | $54 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $25 | $25 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | — | $16 | $16 |
| Median | 8 | $5 | $14 | $9 |
| Below median | 4 | $2 | $9 | $7 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $4 | $38 | $34 |
| unranked | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New-Secret 0x39ca…ce0a | Yes | +64 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 04:48 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-08 08:45 |
| Minty-Thing 0x2586…30da | Yes | +27 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-07 20:41 |
| Crafty-Nondisclosure 0xe961…fc41 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 04:57 |
| Impartial-Parade 0xb2b4…7f52 | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 07:32 |
| Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-07 21:12 |
| Clumsy-Stone 0xfa0b…54e5 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 07:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xb157…1808 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 07:32 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-08 05:14 |
| Tame-Scalp 0x3164…3c65 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-07 21:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x28f8…b5f7 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-07 21:12 |
| Spectacular-Pennant 0x68cf…9b9c | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 20:11 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-07 23:11 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-07 23:56 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-07 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 08:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x66c6…ffa9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 08:44 |
| Drab-Affect 0x695c…85dd | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 08:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 08:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 08:45:45 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd46486… |
| 05-08 08:45:43 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xce717f… |
| 05-08 08:45:43 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x6d7803… |
| 05-08 08:45:43 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x28ed1a… |
| 05-08 08:44:26 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xa85d86… |
| 05-08 08:44:24 | (anonymous) 0x66c6…ffa9 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x1de18d… |
| 05-08 08:44:23 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x3c42b8… |
| 05-08 08:44:23 | Drab-Affect 0x695c…85dd | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x108d30… |
| 05-08 07:32:46 | (anonymous) 0xb157…1808 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x54ce8e… |
| 05-08 07:32:45 | Impartial-Parade 0xb2b4…7f52 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x46bc1b… |
| 05-08 07:32:43 | Fuzzy-Tog 0x356b…1c3f | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0c0613… |
| 05-08 07:32:43 | Clumsy-Stone 0xfa0b…54e5 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x8e894a… |
| 05-08 07:05:27 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xd60d43… |
| 05-08 05:54:50 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x95f531… |
| 05-08 05:14:10 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x83f764… |
| 05-08 05:14:09 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 13 | 96¢ | $12 | 0x3fdc26… |
| 05-08 04:57:29 | Crafty-Nondisclosure 0xe961…fc41 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x956cc0… |
| 05-08 04:48:27 | New-Secret 0x39ca…ce0a | Yes | BUY | 64 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x1248c9… |
| 05-07 23:56:42 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x940cd2… |
| 05-07 23:56:28 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x2ddd3f… |
| 05-07 23:11:33 | Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xe689eb… |
| 05-07 21:12:43 | Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | BUY | 14 | 89¢ | $13 | 0xfddf91… |
| 05-07 21:12:34 | (anonymous) 0x28f8…b5f7 | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x7d4517… |
| 05-07 21:12:33 | Tame-Scalp 0x3164…3c65 | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0xd1f908… |
| 05-07 20:41:46 | Minty-Thing 0x2586…30da | Yes | BUY | 27 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x8aa031… |
| 05-07 20:11:49 | Spectacular-Pennant 0x68cf…9b9c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xcc1e00… |
| 05-07 06:13:22 | (anonymous) 0x28f8…b5f7 | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x25ab74… |
| 05-07 06:13:22 | Tame-Scalp 0x3164…3c65 | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0xb3ac00… |