Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on May 8?
open
Total volume
$384
$3,042 in 24h
Trades
58
Unique wallets
38
Liquidity
$340
Latest YES mid
19¢
Latest NO mid
81¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 06:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-8.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $29
vs crowd: 8% YES on $361)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | — | $56 | $56 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 33 | $29 | $276 | $247 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $29 | $29 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $1 | $46 | $46 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $10 | $89 | $79 |
| Median | 9 | $3 | $47 | $44 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $7 | $7 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $5 | $8 | $3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $9 | $103 | $94 |
| unranked | 2 | $2 | $3 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | +128 | $8 | $8 | 4 | 05-07 16:34 |
| Belated-Mapping 0x12fd…5fab | No | +100 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 05-07 11:00 |
| Bubbly-Glockenspiel 0x52a4…ca72 | No | +70 | $57 | $57 | 2 | 05-08 06:05 |
| Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | +32 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 05-07 16:34 |
| Winged-Graph 0xf0f0…640c | Yes | +31 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-06 17:59 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-07 07:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x0364…a709 | Yes | +29 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 05-07 16:34 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +21 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 20:21 |
| Reflecting-Ancestor 0xc9d9…07e7 | Yes | +21 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 02:52 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +18 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-07 07:58 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +17 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-07 16:34 |
| Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 05-07 16:34 |
| Frigid-Left 0x9a26…c335 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 23:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x96dc…9b6f | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 05:04 |
| Calculating-Botany 0x73d0…6972 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 05:00 |
| Wise-Bloom 0xe829…4cfc | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 23:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xe086…ed2a | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 05:34 |
| Idealistic-Observatory 0xad65…b49e | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-07 16:34 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-07 10:09 |
| Querulous-Till 0x2662…678c | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-07 11:00 |
| Disguised-Validity 0x1230…8e43 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 05-07 16:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd86…1f6d | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-07 16:34 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-07 20:11 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-07 20:01 |
| Cultivated-Bloom 0x25d6…8b30 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-07 16:34 |
| Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-07 20:00 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 04:04 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 07:53 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-07 16:34 |
| Hasty-Unemployment 0xf61a…5e39 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-07 16:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x83f7…1907 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-07 16:34 |
| Bubbly-Countess 0x1b10…aac9 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 16:34 |
| Exalted-Birdbath 0xc090…e1ef | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 04:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf61…21ab | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 16:34 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 06:19:27 | Gloomy-Antechamber 0xf3d2…6efc | Yes | BUY | 45 | 17¢ | $8 | 0x9319a9… |
| 05-08 06:05:15 | Bubbly-Glockenspiel 0x52a4…ca72 | No | BUY | 60 | 82¢ | $49 | 0x4b3880… |
| 05-08 06:04:48 | Bubbly-Glockenspiel 0x52a4…ca72 | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x2ce72d… |
| 05-08 05:44:04 | Gloomy-Antechamber 0xf3d2…6efc | Yes | SELL | 100 | 22¢ | $22 | 0x0ab900… |
| 05-08 05:34:20 | (anonymous) 0xe086…ed2a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 36¢ | $3 | 0x15a59f… |
| 05-08 05:04:31 | (anonymous) 0x96dc…9b6f | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x26b052… |
| 05-08 05:00:03 | Calculating-Botany 0x73d0…6972 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x04eee7… |
| 05-08 04:09:01 | Exalted-Birdbath 0xc090…e1ef | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xac2ca9… |
| 05-08 04:04:47 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xe8ffba… |
| 05-08 02:52:31 | Reflecting-Ancestor 0xc9d9…07e7 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x3f4e88… |
| 05-07 23:41:30 | Frigid-Left 0x9a26…c335 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x15d4be… |
| 05-07 23:26:25 | Wise-Bloom 0xe829…4cfc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xdef7cf… |
| 05-07 20:21:37 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x736dbd… |
| 05-07 20:11:53 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xa648bf… |
| 05-07 20:01:16 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x7012f6… |
| 05-07 20:00:44 | Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xdacf22… |
| 05-07 16:34:53 | Disguised-Validity 0x1230…8e43 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xb2cda4… |
| 05-07 16:34:51 | Cultivated-Bloom 0x25d6…8b30 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xbfc349… |
| 05-07 16:34:49 | Cultivated-Bloom 0x25d6…8b30 | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x55c384… |
| 05-07 16:34:47 | Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x2f0292… |
| 05-07 16:34:47 | Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x356415… |
| 05-07 16:34:47 | (anonymous) 0xbf61…21ab | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x5544ff… |
| 05-07 16:34:47 | Disguised-Validity 0x1230…8e43 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x729da0… |
| 05-07 16:34:47 | Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | BUY | 17 | 96¢ | $16 | 0xbb70fd… |
| 05-07 16:34:46 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 34 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x64bb55… |
| 05-07 16:34:46 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 35 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x90e407… |
| 05-07 16:34:44 | Disguised-Validity 0x1230…8e43 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xd8f2ca… |
| 05-07 16:34:44 | (anonymous) 0x0364…a709 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xfc4f3b… |
| 05-07 16:34:44 | (anonymous) 0x83f7…1907 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xb5dc4e… |
| 05-07 16:34:44 | Idealistic-Observatory 0xad65…b49e | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x602c6f… |
| 05-07 16:34:42 | (anonymous) 0xcd86…1f6d | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x186f67… |
| 05-07 16:34:42 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x57a6e8… |
| 05-07 16:34:42 | (anonymous) 0x0364…a709 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x31e75f… |
| 05-07 16:34:42 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 29 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x822d07… |
| 05-07 16:34:40 | (anonymous) 0x83f7…1907 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x09cda3… |
| 05-07 16:34:40 | Hasty-Unemployment 0xf61a…5e39 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xc6f03c… |
| 05-07 16:34:40 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xf317e1… |
| 05-07 16:34:40 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xc86a68… |
| 05-07 16:34:39 | Bubbly-Countess 0x1b10…aac9 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x65a2e8… |
| 05-07 16:34:39 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x2ec5c4… |
| 05-07 16:34:39 | (anonymous) 0x83f7…1907 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xd5fa3f… |
| 05-07 16:34:39 | Hasty-Unemployment 0xf61a…5e39 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xa63c70… |
| 05-07 16:34:39 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x24a5ea… |
| 05-07 16:34:37 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 17 | 95¢ | $16 | 0x2380d9… |
| 05-07 16:34:37 | Idealistic-Observatory 0xad65…b49e | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x90acae… |
| 05-07 16:34:37 | (anonymous) 0x0364…a709 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7b6296… |
| 05-07 16:34:37 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x31153f… |
| 05-07 11:00:36 | Querulous-Till 0x2662…678c | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x4fae3a… |
| 05-07 11:00:32 | Belated-Mapping 0x12fd…5fab | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x2dc77e… |
| 05-07 10:49:17 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2000a9… |
| 05-07 10:36:08 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xba1e0b… |
| 05-07 10:09:11 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xdad0d3… |
| 05-07 07:59:02 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0xb44f8c… |
| 05-07 07:58:29 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 18 | 95¢ | $17 | 0x76ba03… |
| 05-07 07:53:17 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x6e5020… |
| 05-07 07:24:32 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xfb799a… |
| 05-06 17:59:14 | Winged-Graph 0xf0f0…640c | Yes | BUY | 31 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x879693… |
| 05-06 16:40:40 | Crafty-Nondisclosure 0xe961…fc41 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xefd049… |