Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 8?
open
Total volume
$922
$1,406 in 24h
Trades
34
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$153
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 09:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $30 | $1 | +$29 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $787 | $12 | +$776 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $341 | $1 | +$340 |
| Median | 10 | $399 | $1 | +$398 |
| Below median | 9 | $34 | $11 | +$24 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $40 | — | +$40 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Entire-Crisp 0xff0c…81a1 | Yes | +247 | $246 | $246 | 2 | 05-08 09:10 |
| Imperturbable-Serial 0x3ab5…8a41 | Yes | +225 | $223 | $223 | 1 | 05-08 07:32 |
| Disguised-Doe 0x0032…e886 | Yes | +150 | $148 | $148 | 2 | 05-08 08:00 |
| Useless-Adaptation 0x3970…f56b | Yes | +64 | $61 | $61 | 1 | 05-08 07:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xc423…2ccd | Yes | +62 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-08 04:19 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 08:04 |
| Wrathful-Solicitation 0x9dc9…fc76 | Yes | +29 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 05-08 07:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xcf16…3a05 | No | +16 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-07 20:31 |
| Hasty-Signet 0x8b1b…2cae | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-06 07:29 |
| Handsome-Cleat 0x4a40…3919 | Yes | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-08 05:10 |
| Outlandish-Spider 0x6026…2704 | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-07 13:49 |
| Costly-Current 0xe8b9…3afc | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 05:37 |
| International-Town 0x7e10…d25b | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 07:20 |
| Elaborate-Psychiatrist 0xcbfc…0be4 | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 05:38 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +4 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 07:54 |
| Remorseful-Pencil 0x3d09…6d08 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 03:12 |
| Royal-Ashtray 0xccf1…770d | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 06:15 |
| Flowery-Locust 0x2012…42c3 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 20:35 |
| Ethical-Psychologist 0x8188…9c7b | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 07:38 |
| Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 09:37 |
| Nautical-Hair 0x5255…c8cf | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 06:00 |
| Private-Tower 0xb305…3b41 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 05:19 |
| Hot-Act 0x6ada…5e23 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 07:10 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 09:24:27 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | Yes | SELL | 78 | 100¢ | $78 | 0xe62a89… |
| 05-08 09:10:39 | Disgusting-Assist 0xb15e…7c54 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x641e67… |
| 05-08 09:10:31 | Entire-Crisp 0xff0c…81a1 | Yes | BUY | 221 | 100¢ | $221 | 0x038784… |
| 05-08 09:05:40 | Entire-Crisp 0xff0c…81a1 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0xe49b4a… |
| 05-08 09:04:44 | Unfit-Wrecker-Flatboat 0x0edd…6d55 | No | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7da752… |
| 05-08 08:54:58 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xdcb6cc… |
| 05-08 08:04:11 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x65af0f… |
| 05-08 08:00:38 | Disguised-Doe 0x0032…e886 | Yes | BUY | 84 | 99¢ | $83 | 0xaaca4c… |
| 05-08 08:00:34 | Disguised-Doe 0x0032…e886 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 98¢ | $65 | 0x540f39… |
| 05-08 07:54:53 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2b749a… |
| 05-08 07:38:40 | Ethical-Psychologist 0x8188…9c7b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x20d242… |
| 05-08 07:32:34 | Imperturbable-Serial 0x3ab5…8a41 | Yes | BUY | 225 | 99¢ | $223 | 0xa7b181… |
| 05-08 07:24:17 | Wrathful-Solicitation 0x9dc9…fc76 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0xd0842e… |
| 05-08 07:24:15 | Wrathful-Solicitation 0x9dc9…fc76 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x499d17… |
| 05-08 07:20:35 | International-Town 0x7e10…d25b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xf85049… |
| 05-08 07:10:21 | Hot-Act 0x6ada…5e23 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xb830fb… |
| 05-08 07:05:18 | Useless-Adaptation 0x3970…f56b | Yes | BUY | 64 | 95¢ | $61 | 0xbc03d9… |
| 05-08 06:15:27 | Disgusting-Assist 0xb15e…7c54 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 93¢ | $7 | 0x2d3d5d… |
| 05-08 06:15:25 | Royal-Ashtray 0xccf1…770d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xfeece8… |
| 05-08 06:14:21 | Cold-Focus 0xd293…73f6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x44a242… |
| 05-08 06:00:17 | Nautical-Hair 0x5255…c8cf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x4af27d… |
| 05-08 05:38:35 | Elaborate-Psychiatrist 0xcbfc…0be4 | No | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xaa3d94… |
| 05-08 05:37:53 | Costly-Current 0xe8b9…3afc | Yes | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x0fc5f7… |
| 05-08 05:19:36 | Private-Tower 0xb305…3b41 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0xee1794… |
| 05-08 05:10:21 | Handsome-Cleat 0x4a40…3919 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x55870a… |
| 05-08 04:19:47 | (anonymous) 0xc423…2ccd | Yes | BUY | 62 | 64¢ | $40 | 0xadd29b… |
| 05-08 03:12:42 | Remorseful-Pencil 0x3d09…6d08 | No | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0xa13078… |
| 05-08 03:12:33 | Cold-Focus 0xd293…73f6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0xd77801… |
| 05-07 20:35:09 | Flowery-Locust 0x2012…42c3 | No | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xf07a18… |
| 05-07 20:31:30 | (anonymous) 0xcf16…3a05 | No | BUY | 16 | 48¢ | $8 | 0xec725c… |
| 05-07 14:51:50 | Excellent-Depressive 0xb6c1…a400 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x9f36a4… |
| 05-07 13:49:18 | Outlandish-Spider 0x6026…2704 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 49¢ | $3 | 0x603950… |
| 05-07 09:37:58 | Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x270241… |
| 05-06 07:29:30 | Hasty-Signet 0x8b1b…2cae | Yes | BUY | 10 | 39¢ | $4 | 0x042389… |