Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 10?
open
Total volume
$557
$1,602 in 24h
Trades
31
Unique wallets
31
Liquidity
$2,999
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-09 19:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $3 | $536 | $533 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $20 | $20 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | — | $67 | $67 |
| Median | 10 | $1 | $193 | $192 |
| Below median | 6 | — | $17 | $17 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $239 | $239 |
| unranked | 4 | $2 | $5 | $3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Happy-Precedence 0x4a91…983f | No | +239 | $231 | $231 | 1 | 05-09 03:20 |
| Hasty-Voyage 0xad1b…5da0 | No | +105 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-09 18:56 |
| Unhappy-Parameter-Atelier 0x4fc3…3af9 | No | +70 | $68 | $68 | 1 | 05-09 05:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc08…71d7 | Yes | +67 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 03:20 |
| Disguised-Validity 0x1230…8e43 | No | +52 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-08 23:01 |
| Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | +26 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 03:36 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-08 23:01 |
| Separate-Shirt 0x7577…4d7b | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 18:51 |
| Necessary-Tag 0x06f7…53e0 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 07:05 |
| Pointed-Hazel 0x9770…d57d | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-08 23:01 |
| Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-08 23:01 |
| Sour-Astrakhan 0xf4fe…f6e7 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 11:50 |
| Stark-Lieutenant 0x6de9…a8e5 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 23:01 |
| Criminal-Uncertainty 0x87a2…2250 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 23:01 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 07:04 |
| Political-Footstep 0x71ce…3af1 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 09:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 23:01 |
| Bubbly-Countess 0x1b10…aac9 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 23:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 23:01 |
| Needy-Drawer 0x18f6…e980 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 23:01 |
| Hasty-Unemployment 0xf61a…5e39 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 23:01 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 23:01 |
| Formal-Tonic 0x650e…a5af | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 12:29 |
| Thorough-Gossip 0x66ca…3637 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 13:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x83f7…1907 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 23:01 |
| Brisk-Ingredient 0x232a…df29 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 06:34 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 19:17:42 | Worse-Trinket 0x70cb…f527 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x0e18a9… |
| 05-09 18:56:13 | Hasty-Voyage 0xad1b…5da0 | No | BUY | 105 | 95¢ | $100 | 0x1589c9… |
| 05-09 18:51:57 | Separate-Shirt 0x7577…4d7b | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x044512… |
| 05-09 18:31:51 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf338e4… |
| 05-09 17:04:14 | Trim-Option 0x8872…5f19 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x96c9ec… |
| 05-09 13:18:29 | Thorough-Gossip 0x66ca…3637 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x675ce2… |
| 05-09 13:18:10 | Silent-Light 0x6136…96cb | No | SELL | 14 | 96¢ | $13 | 0x6d6c52… |
| 05-09 12:29:26 | Formal-Tonic 0x650e…a5af | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xff67a7… |
| 05-09 11:50:35 | Sour-Astrakhan 0xf4fe…f6e7 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xb3a013… |
| 05-09 07:04:40 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x34395e… |
| 05-09 06:34:42 | Brisk-Ingredient 0x232a…df29 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xe852de… |
| 05-09 05:19:17 | Unhappy-Parameter-Atelier 0x4fc3…3af9 | No | BUY | 70 | 97¢ | $68 | 0x5a6126… |
| 05-09 03:36:37 | Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd1a088… |
| 05-09 03:20:10 | (anonymous) 0xdc08…71d7 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x05fa46… |
| 05-09 03:20:08 | Happy-Precedence 0x4a91…983f | No | BUY | 239 | 97¢ | $231 | 0xf1d62d… |
| 05-08 23:01:33 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x3e1646… |
| 05-08 23:01:33 | Disguised-Validity 0x1230…8e43 | No | BUY | 52 | 97¢ | $50 | 0x387845… |
| 05-08 23:01:27 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x6484ee… |
| 05-08 23:01:27 | (anonymous) 0x83f7…1907 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x640ba3… |
| 05-08 23:01:27 | Pointed-Hazel 0x9770…d57d | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xb278fb… |
| 05-08 23:01:27 | Bubbly-Countess 0x1b10…aac9 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x04e349… |
| 05-08 23:01:27 | Stark-Lieutenant 0x6de9…a8e5 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x4fa4d8… |
| 05-08 23:01:27 | Hasty-Unemployment 0xf61a…5e39 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x2a35bb… |
| 05-08 23:01:27 | Criminal-Uncertainty 0x87a2…2250 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xe05b0f… |
| 05-08 23:01:27 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xdec15e… |
| 05-08 23:01:27 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xa2e177… |
| 05-08 23:01:27 | Needy-Drawer 0x18f6…e980 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xe8e214… |
| 05-08 23:01:26 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 21 | 94¢ | $20 | 0xf27470… |
| 05-08 09:45:52 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x3a1ba3… |
| 05-08 09:35:20 | Political-Footstep 0x71ce…3af1 | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x327ae6… |
| 05-08 07:05:44 | Necessary-Tag 0x06f7…53e0 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x18f434… |