Affectionate-Variable — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$55

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.9%

Resolved

Trades

4,931

lifetime

Volume

$3.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 05-12 16:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

72% 44% +$49

Crypto

25% 7% +$6

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2916 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will XRP reach $1.50 May 11-17?	157	$428	813	+813	open	—	05-12 16:12
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	68	$321	340	+340	open	—	04-27 22:32
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	127	$294	635	+635	open	—	05-12 15:31
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	68	$285	343	+343	open	—	04-27 09:24
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	127	$150	635	+635	open	—	05-12 15:31
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	32	$126	162	+162	open	—	04-25 14:01
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	22	$108	110	+110	open	—	04-27 16:45
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	127	$95	635	+635	open	—	05-12 15:31
Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 11-17?	157	$93	838	+838	open	—	05-12 16:12
Will XRP reach $1.60 May 11-17?	157	$86	839	+839	open	—	05-12 16:12
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	23	$84	112	+112	open	—	04-27 15:15
Will London have less than 20mm of precipitation in April?	16	$73	80	+80	open	—	04-27 01:45
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	127	$72	635	+635	open	—	05-12 15:31
Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?	14	$53	70	+70	open	—	04-26 13:50
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 11?	16	$52	82	+82	Yes	+$30	05-12 01:40
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?	67	$47	349	+349	open	—	04-27 09:24
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	8	$39	40	+40	open	—	04-27 23:42
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	19	$38	95	+95	No	$-38	04-27 17:05
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	8	$37	40	+40	open	—	04-27 07:40
Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?	9	$37	45	+45	open	—	04-27 21:01
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?	19	$35	95	+95	open	—	04-27 17:05
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-26?	12	$34	61	+61	open	—	04-26 18:08
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	7	$33	35	+35	Yes	+$2	04-25 18:17
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	8	$32	40	+40	Yes	+$8	04-27 21:58
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	23	$25	120	+120	open	—	04-27 15:15
Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?	10	$25	50	+50	open	—	04-26 09:48
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-26?	8	$24	41	+41	open	—	04-26 20:50
Will XRP dip to $1.20 May 11-17?	157	$22	843	+843	open	—	05-12 16:12
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	5	$21	25	+25	open	—	04-26 10:46
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	7	$21	35	+35	open	—	04-26 15:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 16:12:31	Will XRP dip to $0.70 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf387e6…
05-12 16:12:31	Will XRP dip to $1.20 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x9be02e…
05-12 16:12:31	Will XRP dip to $1.10 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x91f0bb…
05-12 16:12:31	Will XRP reach $1.50 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x86d42f…
05-12 16:12:31	Will XRP dip to $0.90 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x760eee…
05-12 16:12:31	Will XRP reach $1.90 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x601d56…
05-12 16:12:31	Will XRP reach $1.80 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5d6ec5…
05-12 16:12:31	Will XRP reach $1.70 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x55da26…
05-12 16:12:31	Will XRP dip to $1.00 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x45134c…
05-12 16:12:31	Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4481df…
05-12 16:12:31	Will XRP reach $2.10 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x22145a…
05-12 16:12:31	Will XRP reach $2.00 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x13dca4…
05-12 16:12:31	Will XRP reach $1.60 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x05db91…
05-12 16:12:31	Will XRP dip to $0.80 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x045cb3…
05-12 16:12:24	Will XRP dip to $0.70 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xea5290…
05-12 16:12:24	Will XRP dip to $1.00 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe5ad80…
05-12 16:12:24	Will XRP reach $1.70 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xd7720e…
05-12 16:12:24	Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd5363e…
05-12 16:12:24	Will XRP reach $1.90 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd16a46…
05-12 16:12:24	Will XRP reach $1.50 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb5f6f7…
05-12 16:12:24	Will XRP dip to $1.10 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb069d4…
05-12 16:12:24	Will XRP reach $2.10 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa91343…
05-12 16:12:24	Will XRP reach $1.80 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa38a68…
05-12 16:12:24	Will XRP dip to $1.20 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x910f84…
05-12 16:12:24	Will XRP reach $2.00 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7dfe7b…
05-12 16:12:24	Will XRP dip to $0.80 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x492e9e…
05-12 16:12:24	Will XRP dip to $0.90 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2f8af6…
05-12 16:12:24	Will XRP reach $1.60 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x0921ba…
05-12 16:12:21	Will XRP reach $1.60 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xe7e467…
05-12 16:12:21	Will XRP reach $1.90 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd09ed5…
05-12 16:12:21	Will XRP dip to $1.00 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9eca45…
05-12 16:12:21	Will XRP dip to $0.70 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7a11be…
05-12 16:12:21	Will XRP dip to $0.80 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x644016…
05-12 16:12:19	Will XRP reach $2.00 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xed74c2…
05-12 16:12:19	Will XRP dip to $1.20 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xeb7157…
05-12 16:12:19	Will XRP reach $1.70 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xcf1d14…
05-12 16:12:19	Will XRP dip to $1.10 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc169d6…
05-12 16:12:19	Will XRP dip to $0.90 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa608c3…
05-12 16:12:19	Will XRP reach $1.80 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x682709…
05-12 16:12:19	Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x604b6d…
05-12 16:12:19	Will XRP reach $2.10 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4c86b3…
05-12 16:12:19	Will XRP reach $1.50 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1f0d8c…
05-12 16:12:10	Will XRP dip to $1.00 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xda233f…
05-12 16:12:10	Will XRP reach $1.90 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd4b6e2…
05-12 16:12:10	Will XRP reach $1.50 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xca534d…
05-12 16:12:10	Will XRP dip to $0.80 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbf4e28…
05-12 16:12:10	Will XRP dip to $0.70 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xacf014…
05-12 16:12:10	Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x97cc77…
05-12 16:12:10	Will XRP reach $1.80 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x491e3b…
05-12 16:12:10	Will XRP reach $1.70 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x2fe589…
05-12 16:12:10	Will XRP reach $1.60 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x2ceeb8…
05-12 16:12:10	Will XRP reach $2.00 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x27ce5f…
05-12 16:12:10	Will XRP reach $2.10 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0b0378…
05-12 16:12:10	Will XRP dip to $1.20 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x07a10b…
05-12 16:12:10	Will XRP dip to $0.90 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x02694b…
05-12 16:12:10	Will XRP dip to $1.10 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x022d67…
05-12 16:12:07	Will XRP reach $2.00 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe7d4b4…
05-12 16:12:05	Will XRP reach $1.50 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd5dc0b…
05-12 16:12:05	Will XRP dip to $0.90 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd26270…
05-12 16:12:05	Will XRP reach $2.10 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc6e3fe…
05-12 16:12:05	Will XRP dip to $1.10 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc445e6…
05-12 16:12:05	Will XRP dip to $0.80 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb095e5…
05-12 16:12:05	Will XRP reach $1.80 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa777c7…
05-12 16:12:05	Will XRP dip to $1.20 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x9d053d…
05-12 16:12:05	Will XRP dip to $0.70 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8a2689…
05-12 16:12:05	Will XRP dip to $1.00 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x81d041…
05-12 16:12:05	Will XRP reach $1.70 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x698641…
05-12 16:12:05	Will XRP reach $1.60 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x60b97a…
05-12 16:12:05	Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5b3818…
05-12 16:12:05	Will XRP reach $1.90 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3893ef…
05-12 16:11:58	Will XRP reach $2.10 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb0b310…
05-12 16:11:56	Will XRP reach $1.90 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xbe3985…
05-12 16:11:56	Will XRP reach $1.70 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x996fe9…
05-12 16:11:56	Will XRP reach $2.00 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8b3417…
05-12 16:11:56	Will XRP reach $1.80 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6f47ec…
05-12 16:11:56	Will XRP dip to $0.80 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6d17f7…
05-12 16:11:56	Will XRP reach $1.50 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x5df57f…
05-12 16:11:56	Will XRP reach $1.60 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x5b32c5…
05-12 16:11:56	Will XRP dip to $0.90 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4a03f9…
05-12 16:11:56	Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x34a5ae…
05-12 16:11:56	Will XRP dip to $1.10 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2834bd…
05-12 16:11:56	Will XRP dip to $0.70 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1ff647…
05-12 16:11:56	Will XRP dip to $1.00 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x148b41…
05-12 16:11:56	Will XRP dip to $1.20 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x01bb00…
05-12 16:11:49	Will XRP reach $2.00 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe40ccf…
05-12 16:11:49	Will XRP dip to $1.00 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xbf835e…
05-12 16:11:49	Will XRP dip to $1.20 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x839385…
05-12 16:11:49	Will XRP reach $1.80 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x82d35a…
05-12 16:11:49	Will XRP dip to $0.70 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x602d77…
05-12 16:11:47	Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xef7116…
05-12 16:11:47	Will XRP reach $2.10 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xeb3b50…
05-12 16:11:47	Will XRP dip to $1.10 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc8507c…
05-12 16:11:47	Will XRP reach $1.60 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xb3685f…
05-12 16:11:47	Will XRP reach $1.90 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x945ebc…
05-12 16:11:47	Will XRP reach $1.50 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x5e5b07…
05-12 16:11:47	Will XRP dip to $0.90 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x476b14…
05-12 16:11:47	Will XRP reach $1.70 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x23875c…
05-12 16:11:47	Will XRP dip to $0.80 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x12bd6d…
05-12 16:11:40	Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xeaf09c…
05-12 16:11:40	Will XRP reach $1.80 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xda60fd…