Affectionate-Variable — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$477

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.9%

Resolved

733

Trades

9,481

lifetime

Volume

$6.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 05-19 07:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

78% 19% -$555

Crypto

17% 9% +$68

Politics

5% 15% +$12

Sports

0% 50% +$1

Tech

0% 20% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will XRP reach $1.50 May 11-17?	157	$428	813	+813	Yes	+$385	05-12 16:12
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	68	$321	340	+340	Yes	+$19	04-27 22:32
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	127	$294	635	+635	No	-$294	05-12 15:31
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	68	$285	343	+343	Yes	+$59	04-27 09:24
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?	77	$230	385	+385	Yes	+$155	05-11 09:06
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	45	$207	226	+226	Yes	+$19	05-08 02:18
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	45	$177	227	+227	Yes	+$50	05-06 18:00
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	58	$160	297	+297	No	-$160	05-09 15:57
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	127	$150	635	+635	No	-$150	05-12 15:31
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	32	$126	162	+162	Yes	+$36	04-25 14:01
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	42	$112	215	+215	No	-$112	05-06 14:29
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	22	$108	110	+110	Yes	+$2	04-27 16:45
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	58	$103	300	+300	Yes	+$197	05-09 15:57
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?	40	$101	200	+200	Yes	+$99	05-11 01:59
Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?	22	$97	110	+110	Yes	+$13	04-29 18:51
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	127	$95	635	+635	No	-$95	05-12 15:31
Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 11-17?	157	$93	838	+838	No	-$93	05-12 16:12
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	42	$90	217	+217	Yes	+$126	05-06 14:29
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	71	$89	355	+355	No	-$89	05-11 09:06
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	28	$88	132	+132	No	-$88	05-11 03:18
Will XRP reach $1.60 May 11-17?	157	$86	839	+839	No	-$86	05-12 16:12
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	23	$84	112	+112	Yes	+$28	04-27 15:15
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?	22	$83	110	+110	Yes	+$27	05-09 17:31
Will London have less than 20mm of precipitation in April?	16	$73	80	+80	Yes	+$7	04-27 01:45
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	17	$73	85	+85	Yes	+$13	05-04 02:22
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	127	$72	635	+635	No	-$72	05-12 15:31
Will "Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 3.5m?	15	$70	75	+75	Yes	+$5	05-04 11:46
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	13	$64	65	+65	Yes	+$1	04-29 21:07
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m?	40	$61	200	+200	No	-$61	05-11 01:58
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?	30	$56	151	+151	Yes	+$95	05-03 18:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 07:16:02	Will Bangladesh win?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xfb0ce5…
05-19 07:16:02	Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xe5797f…
05-19 07:16:02	Will Pakistan win?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x7519c4…
05-19 07:12:35	Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xac0a85…
05-19 07:12:35	Will Pakistan win?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x95f027…
05-19 07:12:35	Will Bangladesh win?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x37c301…
05-19 07:11:15	Will Bangladesh win?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x700b75…
05-19 07:11:13	Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xd86672…
05-19 07:11:13	Will Pakistan win?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x99e7c3…
05-19 06:51:12	Will Dunfermline Athletic FC win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xe4978d…
05-19 06:51:12	Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x61cf1b…
05-19 06:51:12	Will Celtic FC vs. Dunfermline Athletic FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x1d7f3c…
05-12 16:12:31	Will XRP dip to $0.70 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf387e6…
05-12 16:12:31	Will XRP dip to $1.20 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x9be02e…
05-12 16:12:31	Will XRP dip to $1.10 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x91f0bb…
05-12 16:12:31	Will XRP reach $1.50 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x86d42f…
05-12 16:12:31	Will XRP dip to $0.90 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x760eee…
05-12 16:12:31	Will XRP reach $1.90 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x601d56…
05-12 16:12:31	Will XRP reach $1.80 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5d6ec5…
05-12 16:12:31	Will XRP reach $1.70 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x55da26…
05-12 16:12:31	Will XRP dip to $1.00 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x45134c…
05-12 16:12:31	Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4481df…
05-12 16:12:31	Will XRP reach $2.10 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x22145a…
05-12 16:12:31	Will XRP reach $2.00 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x13dca4…
05-12 16:12:31	Will XRP reach $1.60 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x05db91…
05-12 16:12:31	Will XRP dip to $0.80 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x045cb3…
05-12 16:12:24	Will XRP dip to $0.70 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xea5290…
05-12 16:12:24	Will XRP dip to $1.00 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe5ad80…
05-12 16:12:24	Will XRP reach $1.70 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xd7720e…
05-12 16:12:24	Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd5363e…
05-12 16:12:24	Will XRP reach $1.90 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd16a46…
05-12 16:12:24	Will XRP reach $1.50 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb5f6f7…
05-12 16:12:24	Will XRP dip to $1.10 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb069d4…
05-12 16:12:24	Will XRP reach $2.10 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa91343…
05-12 16:12:24	Will XRP reach $1.80 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa38a68…
05-12 16:12:24	Will XRP dip to $1.20 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x910f84…
05-12 16:12:24	Will XRP reach $2.00 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7dfe7b…
05-12 16:12:24	Will XRP dip to $0.80 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x492e9e…
05-12 16:12:24	Will XRP dip to $0.90 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2f8af6…
05-12 16:12:24	Will XRP reach $1.60 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x0921ba…
05-12 16:12:21	Will XRP reach $1.60 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xe7e467…
05-12 16:12:21	Will XRP reach $1.90 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd09ed5…
05-12 16:12:21	Will XRP dip to $1.00 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9eca45…
05-12 16:12:21	Will XRP dip to $0.70 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7a11be…
05-12 16:12:21	Will XRP dip to $0.80 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x644016…
05-12 16:12:19	Will XRP reach $2.00 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xed74c2…
05-12 16:12:19	Will XRP dip to $1.20 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xeb7157…
05-12 16:12:19	Will XRP reach $1.70 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xcf1d14…
05-12 16:12:19	Will XRP dip to $1.10 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc169d6…
05-12 16:12:19	Will XRP dip to $0.90 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa608c3…
05-12 16:12:19	Will XRP reach $1.80 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x682709…
05-12 16:12:19	Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x604b6d…
05-12 16:12:19	Will XRP reach $2.10 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4c86b3…
05-12 16:12:19	Will XRP reach $1.50 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1f0d8c…
05-12 16:12:10	Will XRP dip to $1.00 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xda233f…
05-12 16:12:10	Will XRP reach $1.90 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd4b6e2…
05-12 16:12:10	Will XRP reach $1.50 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xca534d…
05-12 16:12:10	Will XRP dip to $0.80 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbf4e28…
05-12 16:12:10	Will XRP dip to $0.70 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xacf014…
05-12 16:12:10	Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x97cc77…
05-12 16:12:10	Will XRP reach $1.80 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x491e3b…
05-12 16:12:10	Will XRP reach $1.70 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x2fe589…
05-12 16:12:10	Will XRP reach $1.60 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x2ceeb8…
05-12 16:12:10	Will XRP reach $2.00 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x27ce5f…
05-12 16:12:10	Will XRP reach $2.10 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0b0378…
05-12 16:12:10	Will XRP dip to $1.20 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x07a10b…
05-12 16:12:10	Will XRP dip to $0.90 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x02694b…
05-12 16:12:10	Will XRP dip to $1.10 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x022d67…
05-12 16:12:07	Will XRP reach $2.00 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe7d4b4…
05-12 16:12:05	Will XRP reach $1.50 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd5dc0b…
05-12 16:12:05	Will XRP dip to $0.90 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd26270…
05-12 16:12:05	Will XRP reach $2.10 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc6e3fe…
05-12 16:12:05	Will XRP dip to $1.10 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc445e6…
05-12 16:12:05	Will XRP dip to $0.80 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb095e5…
05-12 16:12:05	Will XRP reach $1.80 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa777c7…
05-12 16:12:05	Will XRP dip to $1.20 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x9d053d…
05-12 16:12:05	Will XRP dip to $0.70 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8a2689…
05-12 16:12:05	Will XRP dip to $1.00 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x81d041…
05-12 16:12:05	Will XRP reach $1.70 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x698641…
05-12 16:12:05	Will XRP reach $1.60 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x60b97a…
05-12 16:12:05	Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5b3818…
05-12 16:12:05	Will XRP reach $1.90 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3893ef…
05-12 16:11:58	Will XRP reach $2.10 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb0b310…
05-12 16:11:56	Will XRP reach $1.90 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xbe3985…
05-12 16:11:56	Will XRP reach $1.70 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x996fe9…
05-12 16:11:56	Will XRP reach $2.00 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8b3417…
05-12 16:11:56	Will XRP reach $1.80 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6f47ec…
05-12 16:11:56	Will XRP dip to $0.80 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6d17f7…
05-12 16:11:56	Will XRP reach $1.50 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x5df57f…
05-12 16:11:56	Will XRP reach $1.60 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x5b32c5…
05-12 16:11:56	Will XRP dip to $0.90 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4a03f9…
05-12 16:11:56	Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x34a5ae…
05-12 16:11:56	Will XRP dip to $1.10 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2834bd…
05-12 16:11:56	Will XRP dip to $0.70 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1ff647…
05-12 16:11:56	Will XRP dip to $1.00 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x148b41…
05-12 16:11:56	Will XRP dip to $1.20 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x01bb00…
05-12 16:11:49	Will XRP reach $2.00 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe40ccf…
05-12 16:11:49	Will XRP dip to $1.00 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xbf835e…
05-12 16:11:49	Will XRP dip to $1.20 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x839385…
05-12 16:11:49	Will XRP reach $1.80 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x82d35a…