Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$40

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved (90d)

177

Trades (90d)

246

246 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$446

$446 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$58

4 positions

First seen

2026-08-31

last 10-23 05:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 36% +$40

Other

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
another fed rate hike in 2026	Yes	-48	-$41	73¢	$-35	+$6	09-30 06:32
another fed rate hike in 2026	No	-48	-$7	27¢	$-13	-$6	09-30 06:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-10	-$9	97¢	$-10	$0	08-31 14:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-10	-$1	3¢	$-0	+$0	08-31 14:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
another fed rate hike in 2026	6	$48	0	96	-96	open	—	09-30 06:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$24	23	23	+0	Down	+$22	10-06 09:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	0	20	-20	open	—	08-31 14:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$4	10-22 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-10 21:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-16 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-12 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-06 23:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-11 13:30 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-11 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-12 22:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-17 15:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-17 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-07 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-21 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-09 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-21 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-22 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-21 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-05 19:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-16 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 02:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-12 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-18 18:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-23 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-16 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 05:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 05:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x87d434…
10-23 04:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb83986…
10-23 01:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8daed3…
10-23 01:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x09b3e3…
10-23 01:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd0a851…
10-23 01:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa2a5ec…
10-22 22:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe00fce…
10-22 22:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa13b2f…
10-22 22:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6c871a…
10-22 18:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x29daaa…
10-22 18:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1ebb0f…
10-22 14:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc9e016…
10-22 13:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x820352…
10-22 13:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xeb6985…
10-22 11:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe8a805…
10-22 07:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc7b77e…
10-22 06:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xbfa192…
10-22 04:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x640dfc…
10-22 03:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x85fcda…
10-22 03:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf82b8d…
10-22 02:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x23f02a…
10-22 02:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xbccad2…
10-22 02:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc492e9…
10-22 01:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x449709…
10-22 00:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6a384d…
10-21 23:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8c4fcd…
10-21 15:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc9664f…
10-21 14:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x31493b…
10-21 11:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7787e1…
10-21 11:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7cfaff…
10-21 11:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0beb3c…
10-21 08:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2bff64…
10-21 08:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x40cf7c…
10-21 08:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe4f975…
10-21 06:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x4e8045…
10-21 06:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8efd60…
10-21 05:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc268bb…
10-21 05:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbfb1dd…
10-21 04:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3da7af…
10-21 01:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x671ffd…
10-21 01:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x1bf495…
10-21 00:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8158e3…
10-21 00:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x7785d4…
10-21 00:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x77789d…
10-20 21:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6c5fa6…
10-20 16:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9f5c36…
10-20 15:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x18f21d…
10-20 04:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb214a0…
10-20 01:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0bbbd5…
10-19 23:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb516b8…
10-19 22:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x30fc77…
10-19 22:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xdf0b3d…
10-19 21:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x94d2de…
10-19 19:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x70d154…
10-19 14:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x075dc4…
10-19 14:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3a5d11…
10-19 13:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x4f06fa…
10-19 13:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2b0b81…
10-19 10:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x526fd9…
10-19 04:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe700e1…
10-19 00:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x57c42d…
10-18 20:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x98d09f…
10-18 18:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe37342…
10-18 18:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbcf338…
10-18 17:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x63dbf3…
10-18 15:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xca5d9b…
10-18 13:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x971d87…
10-18 12:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xba2947…
10-18 12:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8970b9…
10-18 11:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x48ea10…
10-18 02:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x92d37a…
10-18 02:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3c2ebe…
10-18 01:05:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7817ad…
10-17 23:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1cd3eb…
10-17 23:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3c5e40…
10-17 21:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9a8f21…
10-17 20:10:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xeddb0b…
10-17 18:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd601e7…
10-17 17:20:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd9c8ee…
10-17 15:14:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x7a1fc9…
10-17 15:07:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x232228…
10-17 14:57:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x252aa8…
10-17 13:14:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5fe8f8…
10-17 13:07:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4c8d19…
10-17 12:54:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x873ba3…
10-17 12:00:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x423608…
10-17 11:54:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x62ddba…
10-17 11:03:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4574d4…
10-17 10:24:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xae0cc5…
10-17 04:05:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7443a3…
10-17 02:34:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xcacacd…
10-17 01:39:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x29fdbe…
10-17 01:12:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe00410…
10-16 20:24:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x860da9…
10-16 20:14:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x240e8f…
10-16 20:12:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x604c81…
10-16 13:59:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x20c0d5…
10-16 13:53:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8d57bc…
10-16 13:11:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x327276…
10-16 12:40:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xdb9683…