Realized P&L
-$547
Unrealized P&L
+$286
Hit rate
73.4%
Resolved
201
Trades
347
lifetime
Volume
$36.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$106
Open exposure
$3.26K
10 positions
First seen
2026-02-21
last 11-01 11:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 47 days
Categories
Other
66% 53% -$104
Politics
18% 25% -$90
Sports
17% 58% -$331
Tech
0% 0% -$20
Crypto
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,693 $1,860 82¢ $2.2K +$335 10-27 13:10
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,034 $694 72¢ $750 +$56 10-27 10:25
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +180 $150 88¢ $159 +$9 10-23 20:46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +278 $50 16¢ $46 -$4 10-13 22:20
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +65 $30 69¢ $45 +$15 10-25 20:46
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +1,132 $53 3¢ $36 -$17 10-31 12:39
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +154 $15 10¢ $16 +$1 10-25 22:25
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027 Yes +100 $10 10¢ $10 $0 10-14 13:43
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -139 -$7 4¢ $-6 +$1 11-01 02:07
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +166 $110 1¢ $2 -$108 10-04 18:00