Realized P&L
-$277
Unrealized P&L
+$206
Hit rate
75.8%
Resolved
196
Trades
335
lifetime
Volume
$33.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$101
Open exposure
$3.19K
11 positions
First seen
2026-02-21
last 10-30 23:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Other
70% 54% +$106
Politics
19% 29% +$10
Sports
11% 60% -$372
Tech
0% 0% -$20
Crypto
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,693 $1,860 80¢ $2.1K +$281 10-27 13:10
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,034 $694 72¢ $740 +$46 10-27 10:25
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +180 $150 84¢ $152 +$2 10-23 20:46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +278 $50 18¢ $49 -$1 10-13 22:20
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +65 $30 63¢ $41 +$11 10-25 20:46
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +1,132 $53 3¢ $35 -$18 10-31 12:39
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +154 $15 12¢ $19 +$4 10-25 22:25
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027 Yes +100 $10 8¢ $8 -$2 10-14 13:43
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +29 $5 16¢ $5 $0 10-13 17:08
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +166 $110 2¢ $2 -$108 10-04 18:00
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +33 $10 2¢ $1 -$9 10-24 22:36