Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
98
lifetime
Volume
$9.70K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$99
Open exposure
$489
5 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 06-17 03:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
78% 0%
Other
22%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +201 $173 90¢ $181 +$8 06-13 19:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +192 $157 78¢ $151 $-7 06-14 16:58
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +154 $142 91¢ $140 $-2 06-17 16:03
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +146 $9 $9 $-0 06-12 23:59
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Yes -634 $-27 $-8 +$18 05-27 23:57