Truthful-Rehospitalization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

56.6%

Resolved

246

Trades

593

lifetime

Volume

$747

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 08-05 16:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 45% +$4

Other

2% 30% -$4

Politics

1% 0% -$4

Sports

1% 33% -$2

Tech

0% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-05).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+12	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	05-18 20:53
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+8	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	05-18 20:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 06:45 UTC	23	$38	37	35	+2	Up	-$1	02-03 06:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 20:55 UTC	3	$28	31	31	+0	Up	+$8	07-20 20:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 05:00 UTC	4	$21	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	02-02 05:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 06:30 UTC	17	$18	190	139	+51	Up	+$1	02-02 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$18	20	20	+0	Down	+$16	05-30 00:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 07:00 UTC	14	$17	21	21	+0	Down	+$1	02-02 07:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 06:45 UTC	11	$15	14	12	+1	Up	+$2	02-02 07:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 20:50 UTC	3	$14	20	15	+5	Up	-$6	07-20 20:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 04:30 UTC	12	$12	10	10	+0	Up	$0	02-03 04:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 09:00 UTC	10	$11	11	10	+2	Down	+$0	02-02 09:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 05:45 UTC	10	$10	11	10	+2	Down	+$0	02-03 05:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 23:00 UTC	10	$10	12	12	+0	Up	+$0	02-03 23:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 08:45 UTC	6	$10	29	29	+0	Down	+$4	02-02 08:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 09:10 UTC	8	$9	11	9	+2	Down	-$1	08-01 09:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 17:45 UTC	7	$8	7	6	+2	Down	+$2	07-27 17:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 02:00 UTC	8	$8	7	7	+0	Down	$0	02-04 02:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 06:30 UTC	8	$8	11	11	+0	Down	$0	02-03 06:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 04:45 UTC	3	$8	10	8	+2	Down	-$1	02-02 04:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 06:00 UTC	6	$6	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	02-03 06:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 01:45 UTC	6	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	02-02 01:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	4	$6	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-30 16:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 06:15 UTC	6	$6	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	02-03 06:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 01:15 UTC	8	$6	5	5	+0	Down	$0	02-04 01:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 21:00 UTC	6	$6	8	8	+0	Up	$0	02-04 21:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 04:15 UTC	7	$6	6	6	+0	Down	$0	02-03 04:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 05:30 UTC	6	$6	5	4	+0	Down	$0	02-03 05:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 19:20 UTC	3	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	06-10 19:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 19:15 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	06-12 19:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 21:45 UTC	5	$5	16	4	+13	Down	-$3	02-03 21:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 08:00 UTC	5	$5	25	2	+23	Up	-$3	02-02 08:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-05 16:27:35	Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x96d13a…
08-01 09:15:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x064794…
08-01 09:14:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd9b9b2…
08-01 09:14:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd5af0a…
08-01 09:14:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x02c356…
08-01 09:14:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xffb9e2…
08-01 09:13:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xca9b35…
08-01 09:13:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 09:10 UTC	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x84ea42…
08-01 09:12:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xdc8438…
08-01 09:12:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 09:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x2ba389…
08-01 09:11:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x09b974…
08-01 09:11:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 09:10 UTC	Down	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x678030…
08-01 09:10:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x096a9e…
08-01 09:10:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb5c091…
08-01 09:07:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2a7b17…
08-01 09:05:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x2c2a43…
08-01 09:02:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	60¢	$3	0xf3fa23…
08-01 09:00:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x62d60d…
07-27 18:26:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 18:25 UTC	Up	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x34e093…
07-27 18:26:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 18:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x597f7c…
07-27 18:26:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x480f5d…
07-27 18:16:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0cf084…
07-27 18:14:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 18:10 UTC	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xba0864…
07-27 18:13:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcc03b2…
07-27 18:06:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x63089a…
07-27 17:47:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x97d3dc…
07-27 17:47:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 17:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xa53761…
07-27 17:47:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1231b1…
07-27 17:46:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 17:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0xd0b7f8…
07-27 17:46:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xeddada…
07-27 17:46:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 17:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x8e46ea…
07-27 17:45:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x865549…
07-27 17:44:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xae3e92…
07-20 21:00:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xd04f62…
07-20 20:55:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 20:55 UTC	Down	SELL	31	59¢	$18	0x3afc7e…
07-20 20:55:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa3a58b…
07-20 20:55:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x594811…
07-20 20:53:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2fbfef…
07-20 20:52:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 20:50 UTC	Up	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0x781358…
07-20 20:51:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x043b81…
07-19 19:43:37	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xea37a0…
07-19 19:43:30	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc76ab4…
07-19 19:11:28	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xda58e8…
06-12 21:50:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc980a9…
06-12 21:25:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf932ba…
06-12 21:05:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x95a4c0…
06-12 19:44:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf68b96…
06-12 19:31:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xfe4b34…
06-12 19:25:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd852ac…
06-12 19:20:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 19:15 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf54c97…
06-12 19:17:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x62f55d…
06-12 19:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0xd99df7…
06-12 19:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7b3170…
06-10 22:25:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x664f2e…
06-10 19:55:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 19:50 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xae1ed9…
06-10 19:51:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5637fb…
06-10 19:24:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 19:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x132078…
06-10 19:23:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xcf2fff…
06-10 19:22:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd58608…
06-07 21:45:30	bitcoin above 61600 on june 7 2026 6pm et	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc2096c…
06-07 21:43:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xda583d…
05-31 21:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x640f42…
05-31 21:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xaeaadb…
05-31 21:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x691950…
05-31 20:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x582a6c…
05-31 20:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xbf5466…
05-31 20:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x35886d…
05-31 19:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc641bd…
05-31 19:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5da983…
05-31 00:01:48	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xdfb9e1…
05-31 00:01:24	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x993062…
05-30 20:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x5c1173…
05-30 20:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xeaa899…
05-30 20:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9a5057…
05-30 20:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xb24f0e…
05-30 20:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xdafed9…
05-30 16:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x475be1…
05-30 16:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfc82e4…
05-30 16:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0xbaa5c6…
05-30 16:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1fe5f9…
05-30 16:18:26	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6d0215…
05-30 16:13:11	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x8ccb3f…
05-30 16:12:22	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x55462f…
05-30 16:09:50	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x893251…
05-30 16:09:41	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xeb61b0…
05-30 02:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb2bb04…
05-30 02:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x295af8…
05-30 02:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x054978…
05-30 02:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbcf3a6…
05-30 02:13:18	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x773b99…
05-30 02:11:05	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x758c7e…
05-30 02:10:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7c2764…
05-30 02:07:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb8b006…
05-30 02:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb74109…
05-30 01:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x1c7f3f…
05-30 01:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0x7f5989…
05-30 01:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5ccf93…
05-30 01:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfa3466…
05-30 01:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3405fe…
05-30 01:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x381780…