Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$50

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved (90d)

409

Trades (90d)

1,062

1,062 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$3.05K

$3.05K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-09-29

last 10-30 21:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 49% +$21

Politics

20% 33% -$41

Other

17% 44% -$30

Tech

2% 0% -$1

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 111 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No		+153	$11	6¢	$8	-$2	10-30 13:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?	7	$169	106	106	+0	Yes	+$4	09-30 11:41
will bitcoin reach 84k on september 30 2026	3	$90	56	50	+5	Yes	+$1	09-30 11:11
will xauusd reach 4200 in september 2026	3	$81	42	42	+0	Yes	+$3	09-30 07:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 25?	3	$67	56	56	+0	Yes	-$8	10-25 07:41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	4	$64	33	33	+0	Yes	+$0	09-30 06:04
bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 10am et	3	$63	36	36	+0	Down	+$6	10-14 14:40
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 25?	2	$60	42	42	+0	No	-$7	10-25 08:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	6	$60	52	33	+19	Yes	-$4	10-15 15:39
will bitcoin reach 83k on october 19 2026	3	$59	39	32	+7	Yes	-$2	10-19 06:10
bitcoin above 80k on october 14 2026	3	$59	30	30	+0	Yes	$0	10-14 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4AM ET	8	$57	61	56	+5	Up	+$5	10-27 08:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 24?	3	$55	50	50	+0	Yes	+$24	10-24 14:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	6	$44	63	63	+0	Up	+$14	10-26 17:47
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	10	$43	71	71	+0	Yes	-$1	10-06 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	4	$41	176	71	+105	Up	-$30	10-25 09:13
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	4	$41	36	5	+31	Yes	+$0	09-30 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3PM ET	4	$41	51	51	+0	Up	+$11	10-26 19:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 19?	6	$40	33	33	+0	Yes	+$8	10-19 10:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11AM ET	6	$32	32	32	+0	Up	+$2	10-26 15:54
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	3	$32	18	18	+0	Yes	+$3	10-06 20:33
pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 31 2026 20260925	1	$31	31	0	+31	Yes	+$0	10-01 04:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9PM ET	8	$31	30	23	+6	Down	+$0	10-21 01:59
will bitcoin dip to 80k on october 16 2026	4	$30	70	70	+0	No	+$20	10-16 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7AM ET	8	$28	26	26	+0	Up	+$3	10-21 11:35
will bitcoin dip to 78k on october 13 2026	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	10-13 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	3	$27	19	19	+0	Up	+$7	10-27 16:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on October 6?	6	$26	21	21	+0	Yes	-$2	10-06 17:34
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	7	$26	121	121	+0	open	—	10-26 22:17
Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?	4	$26	14	14	+0	Yes	+$0	10-04 18:28
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	4	$25	37	37	+0	open	—	10-29 15:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 21:02:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on October 30?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x2e13ef…
10-30 21:02:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 30?	Yes	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x0580fa…
10-30 16:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe8368d…
10-30 16:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x10b207…
10-30 16:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x48472b…
10-30 16:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x66ed82…
10-30 13:51:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x83753c…
10-30 13:51:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf762d8…
10-30 13:43:58	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xfa24d7…
10-30 13:43:21	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x229c10…
10-30 13:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7b9549…
10-30 13:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf68aa5…
10-30 13:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x182e43…
10-30 13:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xc33cef…
10-30 13:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe922d9…
10-30 13:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf36a51…
10-30 13:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x546858…
10-30 13:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x56a743…
10-30 13:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x18eccc…
10-30 13:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x55698c…
10-30 13:17:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	153	7¢	$10	0x14591d…
10-30 13:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x964cd1…
10-30 13:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x271a76…
10-30 13:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd54558…
10-30 13:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2d0f0b…
10-30 11:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf24991…
10-30 11:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8978f0…
10-30 11:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe167e0…
10-30 11:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x013ed9…
10-30 11:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa8b257…
10-30 11:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8722d6…
10-30 11:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9b7487…
10-30 10:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0783b2…
10-30 10:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xeb410f…
10-30 10:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x31c495…
10-30 10:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xaca608…
10-30 10:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6e388b…
10-30 10:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa86ba4…
10-30 09:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xa4c6b4…
10-30 09:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb2ccea…
10-30 09:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xea4de8…
10-30 09:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd3f8c0…
10-30 09:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x081a55…
10-30 09:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7598e2…
10-30 09:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7185df…
10-30 09:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd32aa0…
10-30 09:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0dd84b…
10-30 08:40:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9ef761…
10-30 08:40:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6393b2…
10-30 08:40:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6426d9…
10-30 08:40:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd703f5…
10-30 08:40:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6b15e2…
10-30 08:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe6667a…
10-30 08:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc21fa5…
10-30 08:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd07c3a…
10-30 08:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2fe352…
10-30 08:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8a24ea…
10-30 06:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x12dcea…
10-30 06:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2f9342…
10-30 06:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb64571…
10-30 06:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x648c0e…
10-30 06:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf2a133…
10-30 06:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x03dbba…
10-30 06:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8d877e…
10-30 06:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x9541d2…
10-29 17:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4d2312…
10-29 17:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3c12d9…
10-29 17:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4dd338…
10-29 17:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1b601b…
10-29 17:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x124ace…
10-29 17:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9cc69c…
10-29 17:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa74c1f…
10-29 16:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x59abdb…
10-29 16:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc42f7f…
10-29 16:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdb9c05…
10-29 16:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5add63…
10-29 16:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x429d3f…
10-29 16:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x584a84…
10-29 16:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x899d39…
10-29 16:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe76bf4…
10-29 16:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x6b99dc…
10-29 16:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3ccaf9…
10-29 16:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0c4969…
10-29 15:49:08	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x874828…
10-29 15:49:05	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x8647eb…
10-29 15:49:01	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0x14f824…
10-29 15:47:46	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x415c6f…
10-29 15:47:38	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x176f80…
10-29 15:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x68439b…
10-29 15:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x6be0ba…
10-29 15:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xb8930b…
10-29 15:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x20623d…
10-29 15:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdbb6cd…
10-29 15:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x706115…
10-29 15:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x213287…
10-29 15:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x91cbad…
10-29 15:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1fdad1…
10-29 15:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9f4ed5…
10-29 15:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x06a634…
10-29 15:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9631ee…