Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$69

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

61.3%

Resolved

471

Trades

1,185

lifetime

Volume

$3.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$22

9 positions

First seen

2026-09-29

last 11-01 16:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 48% +$12

Other

22% 42% -$31

Politics

18% 34% -$50

Tech

1% 0% -$1

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 111 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	+23	$12	52¢	$12	+$0	11-01 14:02
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	+1,500	$6	0¢	$2	-$4	11-01 16:57
2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	+1,000	$1	0¢	$2	+$0	11-01 06:52
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+26	$1	5¢	$1	+$0	11-01 06:55
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+3	$1	42¢	$1	+$0	11-01 06:55
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	82¢	$1	+$0	11-01 07:58
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+4	$1	26¢	$1	+$0	11-01 07:57
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	+5	$10	20¢	$1	-$9	11-01 06:57
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+12	$1	6¢	$1	$0	11-01 06:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	13	$191	123	123	+0	No	+$0	10-31 19:25
Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?	7	$169	106	106	+0	Yes	+$4	09-30 11:41
will bitcoin reach 84k on september 30 2026	3	$90	56	50	+5	Yes	+$1	09-30 11:11
will xauusd reach 4200 in september 2026	3	$81	42	42	+0	Yes	+$3	09-30 07:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 25?	3	$67	56	56	+0	Yes	-$8	10-25 07:41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	4	$64	33	33	+0	Yes	+$0	09-30 06:04
bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 10am et	3	$63	36	36	+0	Down	+$6	10-14 14:40
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 25?	2	$60	42	42	+0	No	-$7	10-25 08:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	6	$60	52	33	+19	Yes	-$4	10-15 15:39
will bitcoin reach 83k on october 19 2026	3	$59	39	32	+7	Yes	-$2	10-19 06:10
bitcoin above 80k on october 14 2026	3	$59	30	30	+0	Yes	$0	10-14 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4AM ET	8	$57	61	56	+5	Up	+$5	10-27 08:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 24?	3	$55	50	50	+0	Yes	+$24	10-24 14:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	6	$44	63	63	+0	Up	+$14	10-26 17:47
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	10	$43	71	71	+0	Yes	-$1	10-06 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	4	$41	176	71	+105	Up	-$30	10-25 09:13
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	4	$41	36	5	+31	Yes	+$0	09-30 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3PM ET	4	$41	51	51	+0	Up	+$11	10-26 19:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 19?	6	$40	33	33	+0	Yes	+$8	10-19 10:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11AM ET	6	$32	32	32	+0	Up	+$2	10-26 15:54
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	3	$32	18	18	+0	Yes	+$3	10-06 20:33
pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 31 2026 20260925	1	$31	31	0	+31	Yes	+$0	10-01 04:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9PM ET	8	$31	30	23	+6	Down	+$0	10-21 01:59
will bitcoin dip to 80k on october 16 2026	4	$30	70	70	+0	No	+$20	10-16 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7AM ET	8	$28	26	26	+0	Up	+$3	10-21 11:35
will bitcoin dip to 78k on october 13 2026	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	10-13 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	3	$27	19	19	+0	Up	+$7	10-27 16:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on October 6?	6	$26	21	21	+0	Yes	-$2	10-06 17:34
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	5	$26	42	37	+5	open	—	11-01 06:57
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	14	$26	188	188	+0	open	—	10-31 06:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 16:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xde37f6…
11-01 16:57:46	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x7e6965…
11-01 16:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd3edd5…
11-01 16:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xeb0aa6…
11-01 16:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xf80a16…
11-01 16:01:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x7d18ee…
11-01 16:01:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xadf7ab…
11-01 16:01:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x369b39…
11-01 16:01:19	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x41927d…
11-01 14:02:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xb56292…
11-01 12:58:30	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x60401c…
11-01 12:58:24	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x02e9a6…
11-01 11:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe2f15b…
11-01 11:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe3bda1…
11-01 11:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5261b3…
11-01 11:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc70c41…
11-01 11:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0654b7…
11-01 11:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x343c37…
11-01 11:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x724ef6…
11-01 11:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x0d64d9…
11-01 11:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xf3f4ea…
11-01 11:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x723501…
11-01 11:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x37bfbe…
11-01 11:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x175f00…
11-01 11:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8bd411…
11-01 10:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa95b9a…
11-01 10:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0xc9d40b…
11-01 10:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x58edc0…
11-01 07:59:52	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9c3edc…
11-01 07:59:34	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4ff127…
11-01 07:59:09	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x748ffd…
11-01 07:58:33	Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x252105…
11-01 07:58:18	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb8cf39…
11-01 07:57:58	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6a7a3c…
11-01 07:57:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x2a3f5e…
11-01 07:57:43	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9f2af5…
11-01 07:57:28	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1eabff…
11-01 07:57:16	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x37688a…
11-01 07:56:49	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1ef114…
11-01 07:56:39	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3d71ac…
11-01 07:54:34	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x56c39f…
11-01 07:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	33	8¢	$3	0xe9dc5c…
11-01 07:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb70947…
11-01 07:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc2c49d…
11-01 07:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x37d427…
11-01 07:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x56989e…
11-01 07:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0xcdc0ed…
11-01 07:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x737f1a…
11-01 07:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6ede31…
11-01 07:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xeb3cc2…
11-01 07:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	Up	SELL	13	67¢	$9	0x547052…
11-01 07:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0xbb764f…
11-01 07:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xcc8c49…
11-01 07:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x011109…
11-01 07:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x824830…
11-01 07:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x92d138…
11-01 07:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb52af4…
11-01 07:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5610d1…
11-01 07:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	13	30¢	$4	0xcc4908…
11-01 07:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1fc097…
11-01 07:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xcae9d4…
11-01 07:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x75e1dc…
11-01 07:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6d53c6…
11-01 07:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9f2070…
11-01 07:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xf2b5f9…
11-01 06:57:18	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x095621…
11-01 06:55:16	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x24a289…
11-01 06:55:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1e1e3c…
11-01 06:54:58	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3b476b…
11-01 06:52:18	2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x58a26e…
11-01 06:49:04	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa5eafd…
11-01 06:47:24	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x2d1c02…
10-31 22:22:13	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x51f23e…
10-31 22:17:13	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xd0a903…
10-31 22:13:01	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,128	1¢	$9	0x678461…
10-31 22:09:58	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,128	1¢	$13	0x1f2e2a…
10-31 22:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbf73a6…
10-31 22:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x88189a…
10-31 22:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc4f6ee…
10-31 22:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xadd004…
10-31 22:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x38db3e…
10-31 19:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6faa66…
10-31 19:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3ce9d7…
10-31 19:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe124e1…
10-31 19:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfc4974…
10-31 19:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0xd57002…
10-31 19:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x607dae…
10-31 19:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4962f1…
10-31 19:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x0f71b9…
10-31 19:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4ffb0c…
10-31 19:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2678aa…
10-31 19:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x5cbd5a…
10-31 19:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x960671…
10-31 19:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x583f3f…
10-31 19:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1cd010…
10-31 19:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf3a97e…
10-31 19:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb535ec…
10-31 19:25:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	89	98¢	$87	0x923f6d…
10-31 14:06:39	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf8754c…
10-31 14:06:30	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x7f034a…