Realized P&L
-$69
Unrealized P&L
+$72
Hit rate
68.3%
Resolved
27
Trades
425
lifetime
Volume
$16.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$460
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-24
last 07-01 16:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
65% 100% +$42
Crypto
26% 42% $-111
Other
9%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 148 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -1,786 $-195 12¢ $-223 $-29 06-17 17:37
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -3,324 $-319 $-216 +$103 06-16 16:35
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -100 $-9 10¢ $-10 $-1 06-17 13:38
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? Yes -111 $-8 $-6 +$2 06-17 13:30
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +64 $9 $5 $-4 07-01 16:18