Twin-Cholesterol — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.87K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.9%

Resolved

205

Trades

1,595

lifetime

Volume

$34.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 09-19 23:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Politics

66% 30% +$5,390

Crypto

18% 49% -$254

Other

16% 21% -$263

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1065 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	10	$7.0K	9,413	9,163	+250	No	+$6,141	05-26 18:59
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	2	$5.1K	2,874	2,874	+0	No	+$128	05-26 06:00
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	13	$3.5K	9,929	9,929	+0	open	—	07-16 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$2.0K	1,020	1,020	+0	Up	+$10	05-23 18:20
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$1.3K	1,719	1,719	+0	Yes	-$133	05-25 12:47
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	8	$1.1K	3,244	3,244	+0	open	—	08-01 16:03
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	9	$1.1K	1,077	1,077	+0	No	+$234	05-22 22:15
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?	3	$656	426	426	+0	Yes	+$180	06-14 21:52
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	7	$445	244,255	0	+244,255	Yes	-$445	06-17 21:10
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	2	$442	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$42	05-10 15:30
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	2	$394	308	308	+0	open	—	05-09 20:42
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	4	$392	4,044	4,044	+0	open	—	08-02 15:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$390	246	246	+0	No	+$50	05-17 11:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:15 UTC	5	$388	392	360	+32	Down	+$59	08-02 15:17
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	3	$386	268	268	+0	No	+$48	06-20 11:33
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	2	$377	1,214	1,214	+0	open	—	07-31 21:38
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	2	$350	312	312	+0	No	+$250	05-25 23:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	6	$346	813	813	+0	open	—	07-16 13:31
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	4	$340	538	538	+0	Yes	-$6	08-01 20:33
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	4	$339	310	310	+0	Yes	-$155	06-20 14:12
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	2	$321	3,291	3,291	+0	Yes	-$121	08-01 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	3	$312	269	145	+124	Up	-$88	05-25 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	6	$309	198	198	+0	Down	+$9	05-11 05:08
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	3	$296	712	712	+0	No	-$84	05-31 17:22
iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	3	$293	812	812	+0	No	+$7	07-14 09:30
iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	4	$271	998	998	+0	Yes	+$71	07-13 18:50
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	3	$247	1,075	100	+975	Yes	-$189	07-24 17:31
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	8	$216	902	649	+254	No	-$38	05-20 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$204	108	108	+0	Up	+$4	05-11 05:03
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	2	$204	333	333	+0	No	+$4	05-25 22:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-19 23:21:33	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	244	27¢	$66	0x1b38e4…
09-19 23:17:24	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	5,874	1¢	$65	0x88087b…
09-19 23:00:15	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	5,124	2¢	$95	0x6f9e75…
09-19 22:57:06	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	750	2¢	$12	0x10c9cd…
09-01 18:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1e320d…
09-01 18:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4e92c9…
09-01 18:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x37a370…
09-01 18:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbe1f5d…
09-01 18:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x34f4b0…
09-01 18:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x25053a…
09-01 18:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xd14cb4…
09-01 18:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x925023…
09-01 18:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x76ed44…
09-01 18:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x3592aa…
09-01 18:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf1cb57…
09-01 18:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x774025…
09-01 17:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x01fe39…
09-01 17:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0xcc3c84…
09-01 17:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc0cbf6…
09-01 17:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	54¢	$6	0x524844…
09-01 17:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xebf5ce…
09-01 17:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xbb38e6…
09-01 17:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x6a914d…
08-31 22:58:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3dd91b…
08-31 22:57:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xfd2ccd…
08-31 22:57:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:55 UTC	Up	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0xd19d5d…
08-31 22:57:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:55 UTC	Up	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x1d0c5a…
08-31 22:57:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8ef83b…
08-31 22:57:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:55 UTC	Up	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0x3d46fc…
08-31 22:57:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xac8ec4…
08-31 22:56:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:55 UTC	Up	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xf77d96…
08-31 22:56:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd865eb…
08-31 22:56:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xde937d…
08-31 22:56:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:55 UTC	Up	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x221ab2…
08-31 22:55:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x11cce7…
08-31 22:54:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:50 UTC	Down	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x25d4dd…
08-31 22:54:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:50 UTC	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x868680…
08-31 22:53:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:50 UTC	Down	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0xcc9da3…
08-31 22:53:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x83e80d…
08-31 22:53:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x68109c…
08-31 22:53:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0a9227…
08-31 22:52:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:50 UTC	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xb39f85…
08-31 22:52:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:50 UTC	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x5ac11a…
08-31 22:51:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2b6166…
08-31 22:51:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xefffb6…
08-31 22:51:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbc735d…
08-31 22:51:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc313cf…
08-31 22:51:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:50 UTC	Down	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0xaa807b…
08-31 22:51:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc172de…
08-31 22:47:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:45 UTC	Up	SELL	6	9¢	$0	0x861582…
08-31 22:47:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:45 UTC	Up	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xe9c04e…
08-31 22:46:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x9f3d46…
08-31 22:46:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf0838c…
08-31 22:46:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xe79750…
08-31 22:46:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x74db83…
08-31 22:46:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x5b339a…
08-31 22:45:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x65cb57…
08-31 16:58:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd77e1c…
08-31 16:58:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:55 UTC	Up	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0xd5c199…
08-31 16:58:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9ac6ec…
08-31 16:58:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:55 UTC	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x25c19a…
08-31 16:57:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa75bb1…
08-31 16:57:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x28cf92…
08-31 16:57:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:55 UTC	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xa521ff…
08-31 16:57:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4fe0fe…
08-31 16:57:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:55 UTC	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xe4e326…
08-31 16:57:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:55 UTC	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0xfb647a…
08-31 16:57:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x917db2…
08-31 16:56:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x120741…
08-31 16:56:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:55 UTC	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x0159b6…
08-31 16:56:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3d3dec…
08-31 16:56:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:55 UTC	Down	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0xfb2dfe…
08-31 16:56:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:55 UTC	Down	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xbd084e…
08-31 16:56:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5e3586…
08-31 16:56:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:55 UTC	Down	SELL	4	13¢	$1	0x59604f…
08-31 16:55:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb3d784…
08-31 16:55:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd5d66e…
08-31 16:54:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x048311…
08-31 16:53:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9fbdad…
08-31 16:53:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:50 UTC	Down	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0x7189f3…
08-31 16:53:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe13661…
08-31 16:53:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:50 UTC	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xe43ec2…
08-31 16:53:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:50 UTC	Down	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x1c51d1…
08-31 16:53:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x16725b…
08-31 16:53:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x59cf20…
08-31 16:53:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x148a40…
08-31 16:52:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x13ba02…
08-31 16:52:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf5cc51…
08-31 16:52:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:50 UTC	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x4b22e7…
08-31 16:52:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:50 UTC	Up	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x5d8ac5…
08-31 16:52:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd51a5b…
08-31 16:52:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:50 UTC	Up	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x53e50f…
08-31 16:52:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb5fa0e…
08-31 16:52:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:50 UTC	Down	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x3ee067…
08-31 16:51:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa42ba6…
08-31 16:51:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:50 UTC	Up	SELL	2	21¢	$1	0xd1d3c3…
08-31 16:51:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x35dbed…
08-31 16:51:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3e3759…
08-31 16:51:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xef776d…
08-31 16:51:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x979b26…