(anonymous) 0x85b535…7c3c42
bot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$68
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
53.2%
Resolved
250
Trades
1,509
lifetime
Volume
$8.17K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$259
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 10-31 03:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Politics
59% 46% -$109
Other
32% 61% +$125
Sports
6% 50% +$81
Tech
2% 48% -$28
Crypto
0% 60% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +36 $29 76¢ $27 -$2 10-29 13:22
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +38 $24 70¢ $27 +$3 10-30 16:40
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +30 $24 76¢ $23 -$1 10-30 17:11
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +34 $24 68¢ $23 -$1 10-29 17:41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +39 $32 57¢ $22 -$10 10-29 22:57
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +26 $20 78¢ $20 +$0 10-30 22:02
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +22 $14 72¢ $16 +$2 10-29 04:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +29 $14 52¢ $15 +$1 10-30 21:37
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? No +18 $12 74¢ $13 +$1 10-24 18:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +8 $9 96¢ $8 -$1 10-30 19:11
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? No +8 $7 100¢ $8 +$1 10-09 07:24
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +8 $7 86¢ $7 +$0 10-29 17:32
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +12 $7 60¢ $7 $0 10-30 00:52
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? No +25 $12 24¢ $6 -$6 09-18 22:47
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? Yes +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-29 22:22
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 $0 10-30 18:27
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +33 $13 14¢ $4 -$8 10-29 17:32
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +7 $0 64¢ $4 +$4 10-31 03:11
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +10 $3 32¢ $3 +$0 10-27 16:01
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +3 $2 82¢ $2 $0 10-29 02:09
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 80¢ $2 $0 10-27 04:54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? Yes +2 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 10-30 00:26
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? No +2 $1 91¢ $1 $0 09-24 03:53
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? No +5 $2 25¢ $1 $0 10-31 01:49
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +2 $1 63¢ $1 $0 10-27 01:37
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes +7 $1 18¢ $1 +$0 10-26 16:15
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $1 14¢ $1 $0 10-16 18:06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? No +1 $1 91¢ $1 +$0 10-31 02:28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +3 $1 34¢ $1 +$0 10-22 21:22
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $0 10-30 22:10