Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
485
lifetime
Volume
$4.64K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$17
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 06-16 12:49
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
79%
Politics
13%
Other
8%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 203 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 06-13 17:01
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +25 $7 17¢ $4 $-2 06-16 02:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -28 $-4 12¢ $-3 +$0 06-13 10:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +19 $4 18¢ $3 $-1 06-13 17:23
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +0 $1 83¢ $0 $-1 06-14 23:37
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -0 $1 54¢ $-0 $-1 06-16 01:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -0 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-12 01:58