Slight-Moth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10.1K

Unrealized P&L

+$180

Hit rate

80.5%

Resolved

155

Trades

2,103

lifetime

Volume

$1.07M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$507

Open exposure

$6.11K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 21:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Politics

55% 72% -$9,051

Other

42% 78% +$15,468

Tech

2% 80% +$3,631

Sports

0% 100% +$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No		+6,066	$5,760	99¢	$6.0K	+$252	10-27 21:25
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Yes		-316	-$25	31¢	$-97	-$71	09-07 14:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	16	$77.2K	70,353	10,000	+60,353	Yes	+$2,333	01-22 09:03
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	18	$48.4K	25,000	25,000	+0	No	+$1,465	06-20 09:38
will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	147	$47.5K	53,292	0	+53,292	Yes	+$5,794	02-01 22:25
will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	196	$36.7K	42,063	0	+42,063	No	+$5,379	02-12 18:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	45	$34.9K	40,785	0	+40,785	No	+$5,884	04-17 13:03
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	40	$28.6K	21,119	10,000	+11,119	No	+$2,433	03-29 19:23
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	20	$27.3K	25,217	8,468	+16,749	No	+$711	03-26 21:08
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	61	$25.7K	17,954	20,954	-3,000	No	-$7,633	06-03 20:59
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	278	$25.6K	29,102	0	+29,102	Yes	+$3,479	02-13 10:56
will joo cotrim de figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	9	$25.1K	28,860	0	+28,860	No	+$3,715	01-15 18:04
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	106	$23.2K	16,684	10,271	+6,413	No	+$3,610	03-29 12:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$22.7K	21,000	7,000	+14,000	No	+$140	05-29 14:51
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	31	$19.9K	11,100	11,100	+0	No	+$2,193	04-22 20:34
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	57	$19.7K	21,811	0	+21,811	Yes	+$2,086	05-09 17:52
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	37	$16.2K	8,551	8,551	+0	No	-$47	03-31 19:19
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	101	$15.9K	11,000	11,000	+0	No	-$3,022	03-18 20:44
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	3	$15.7K	15,000	15,000	+0	Yes	-$12,543	06-15 13:10
will democrat party dp finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	1	$15.1K	15,764	0	+15,764	No	+$677	02-06 22:04
will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	8	$13.9K	14,496	0	+14,496	No	+$561	08-04 13:22
Iran leadership change by April 30?	7	$13.2K	8,000	8,000	+0	No	-$369	04-07 09:06
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	10	$12.9K	7,743	7,743	+0	No	+$2,541	04-18 07:39
will sanseit win the third most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	2	$12.8K	13,232	0	+13,232	No	+$437	02-04 02:45
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	11	$12.7K	13,894	0	+13,894	Yes	+$1,237	05-10 01:03
will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	15	$12.5K	13,000	0	+13,000	No	+$541	07-07 23:46
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	13	$11.8K	8,000	8,000	+0	Yes	-$2,238	03-09 19:55
Will Nationalist Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?	9	$11.5K	12,249	0	+12,249	No	+$787	05-27 22:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	11	$11.4K	11,702	0	+11,702	No	+$295	05-21 05:05
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	26	$11.3K	12,037	0	+12,037	No	+$763	03-23 14:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	5	$11.3K	12,000	0	+12,000	No	+$729	05-11 18:10
will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	8	$11.0K	11,450	0	+11,450	No	+$439	06-17 04:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 21:15:05	Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	65	96¢	$63	0x14cebc…
10-28 21:12:20	Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	107	97¢	$105	0xede2b0…
10-27 21:25:30	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x51ce94…
10-27 20:20:05	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	330	94¢	$309	0x595bf8…
10-27 20:19:57	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	310	94¢	$291	0x4d17c3…
10-27 20:17:24	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xe94b91…
10-27 20:17:24	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	384	94¢	$360	0xc6d594…
10-27 20:17:24	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	162	94¢	$152	0xabc54f…
10-27 20:17:21	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	465	94¢	$435	0x1f8b8f…
10-27 20:17:18	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x9e4879…
10-27 20:16:02	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	163	94¢	$152	0x987def…
10-27 20:15:53	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$93	0xacc6cd…
10-27 20:15:38	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	180	94¢	$169	0x5ff0a8…
10-27 20:15:15	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	397	94¢	$372	0x30b4c2…
10-27 19:52:54	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,529	96¢	$1,470	0x942638…
10-27 19:50:11	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	971	96¢	$933	0xfa82ca…
10-27 19:41:17	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	931	95¢	$887	0x1c6d9f…
10-27 19:29:02	Will Ra'am win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$8	0x3cbd3f…
10-27 19:28:42	Will RZP-Zehut win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	167	88¢	$148	0xb1a4ba…
09-10 22:02:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	SELL	5,000	41¢	$2,056	0xce245f…
09-07 14:26:40	Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Yes	SELL	316	8¢	$25	0xcb48e9…
09-01 16:39:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	BUY	1,935	92¢	$1,780	0x1050d0…
09-01 10:27:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	BUY	160	92¢	$147	0x4ca6d7…
09-01 09:01:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	BUY	2,905	92¢	$2,673	0x9824ae…
08-23 08:47:55	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,973	89¢	$1,748	0x56a06f…
08-23 04:34:31	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0xf933e4…
08-20 15:30:30	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	5,000	40¢	$1,991	0x6cc43f…
08-20 02:04:46	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	5,000	96¢	$4,825	0xada576…
08-19 22:38:34	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xd55955…
08-19 19:54:39	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	BUY	1,321	90¢	$1,189	0x3e241f…
08-19 17:11:58	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	BUY	140	90¢	$126	0xd25ea9…
08-19 17:11:48	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	BUY	539	90¢	$485	0xc37fac…
08-18 14:09:18	iran oman hormuz agreement by august 22	No	BUY	3,000	90¢	$2,700	0xc9cde2…
08-15 22:37:00	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	4,922	84¢	$4,140	0x7ecd38…
08-11 08:15:04	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	No	BUY	2,441	95¢	$2,317	0x42ea92…
08-11 07:42:12	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	No	BUY	559	95¢	$530	0x672641…
08-05 04:14:15	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	SELL	2,000	79¢	$1,580	0xfa9815…
08-04 13:22:44	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	No	BUY	3,000	94¢	$2,820	0xc267c1…
08-03 15:39:57	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x3e82d5…
08-03 15:26:47	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	No	BUY	297	95¢	$282	0xbd27f7…
08-03 14:06:57	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	No	BUY	184	95¢	$175	0x20d2c8…
08-03 13:22:20	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	No	BUY	3,000	96¢	$2,874	0xaa6fcb…
08-02 08:18:00	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	No	BUY	5,000	96¢	$4,825	0x8ad856…
08-02 02:14:08	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	5,000	91¢	$4,550	0x7093f3…
08-02 02:06:51	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	No	BUY	2,404	98¢	$2,360	0x02ff64…
08-01 23:13:02	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	No	BUY	596	98¢	$586	0x2b1af7…
07-21 21:23:15	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	5,000	92¢	$4,595	0x08e3ad…
07-21 16:54:51	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	2,000	97¢	$1,944	0xd7eda4…
07-07 23:46:07	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	3,000	98¢	$2,949	0xe24551…
07-03 00:04:58	will wti dip to 50 in july 2026 844	No	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0x2a9e5d…
07-02 12:01:38	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	5,000	95¢	$4,755	0x203bdb…
07-01 14:59:05	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	56	95¢	$53	0x938b59…
07-01 14:59:04	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	321	95¢	$306	0xf9ffde…
07-01 14:59:04	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	321	95¢	$306	0xcf7837…
07-01 14:59:04	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	312	95¢	$296	0xa80e4e…
07-01 14:59:01	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	56	95¢	$53	0xe0424c…
07-01 14:59:01	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	321	95¢	$306	0x075502…
07-01 12:44:53	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x2a5f05…
07-01 12:44:52	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	69	95¢	$66	0xb197d7…
07-01 12:43:55	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	147	95¢	$140	0x718491…
07-01 12:43:55	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	510	95¢	$485	0x180eb1…
07-01 12:38:19	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	587	95¢	$558	0x0f58ef…
07-01 12:38:17	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	2,031	95¢	$1,932	0x3da775…
07-01 12:37:25	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	247	95¢	$235	0x69b373…
07-01 09:59:14	will wti dip to 50 in july 2026 844	No	BUY	169	97¢	$165	0x68822d…
07-01 09:43:55	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	146	81¢	$118	0xe35347…
06-30 21:55:58	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	2,854	81¢	$2,312	0xee3bec…
06-22 12:07:19	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	SELL	3,000	69¢	$2,067	0xa33257…
06-21 19:43:29	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2,000	78¢	$1,560	0x2bb770…
06-21 18:21:13	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,276	82¢	$1,047	0x4d51a1…
06-21 18:20:55	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0xdb6312…
06-21 18:20:47	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,700	82¢	$1,394	0xadc0ff…
06-21 18:20:35	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x86bd87…
06-21 18:20:34	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x042f61…
06-20 09:38:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	23,500	100¢	$23,430	0xd44f8e…
06-17 04:07:11	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	No	BUY	2,500	94¢	$2,340	0x3043b2…
06-15 13:10:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10,000	5¢	$500	0x9341d0…
06-15 13:10:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	15,000	10¢	$1,557	0x948f9c…
06-13 17:08:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1,500	99¢	$1,485	0x7cc1b9…
06-13 17:07:52	Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	1,500	100¢	$1,493	0x35df38…
06-12 10:04:42	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	No	BUY	855	97¢	$826	0xec2fb4…
06-12 10:02:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?	No	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0x214148…
06-12 08:10:27	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	No	BUY	106	97¢	$102	0x400a3f…
06-12 07:28:46	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	No	BUY	2,000	97¢	$1,932	0xc80626…
06-11 22:14:28	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	No	BUY	950	97¢	$918	0x14d6ff…
06-11 09:42:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5,740	84¢	$4,822	0x50955d…
06-11 09:37:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	156	84¢	$131	0x39f0ad…
06-11 09:36:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0x8c7a1c…
06-11 09:28:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x10d8fe…
06-11 08:59:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	84¢	$840	0x16f43a…
06-11 08:59:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	84¢	$840	0xdfafa9…
06-11 08:58:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	62	84¢	$52	0x3d5aa4…
06-11 08:56:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x44c297…
06-11 08:56:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x8aa1a6…
06-11 08:54:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xe291e4…
06-11 08:54:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x5dc421…
06-11 08:53:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x6db1c9…
06-11 08:52:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x6a0ae7…
06-11 08:46:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x82d43c…
06-11 08:40:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,765	84¢	$1,482	0x399799…