Realized P&L (7d)
-$125
Unrealized P&L
+$63
Hit rate
16.3%
Resolved (7d)
159
Trades (7d)
1,039
2,908 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$7.43K
$17.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$1.28K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-21
last 11-08 09:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Other
84% 22% -$210
Politics
5% 0% -$3
Crypto
5% 57% -$23
Tech
4% 100% +$0
Sports
1% 0% -$5
Pop-Culture
0% 33% -$26
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 242 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11? Yes +148 $43 76¢ $113 +$70 11-07 02:20
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 8? No +107 $89 100¢ $107 +$18 11-06 23:44
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on November 8? No +115 $92 76¢ $87 -$5 11-07 11:26
Will 220-224 House members vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31? No +108 $90 78¢ $84 -$6 11-07 23:53
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on November 9? No +75 $55 74¢ $56 +$1 11-07 19:39
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $9.00 on November 30, 2026? Yes +60 $26 74¢ $44 +$18 10-30 10:09
Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +61 $32 68¢ $41 +$9 11-02 16:21
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on November 8? No +40 $31 100¢ $40 +$8 11-06 17:29
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the January interest rate announcement? Yes +74 $32 52¢ $38 +$6 11-03 06:05
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30? Yes +50 $40 75¢ $37 -$3 11-03 06:46
Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by December 31, 2027? No +45 $36 83¢ $37 +$1 10-30 03:20
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the January interest rate announcement? No +74 $45 48¢ $36 -$9 11-03 06:00
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November? No +40 $28 90¢ $36 +$8 11-02 19:44
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11? No +149 $108 24¢ $35 -$73 11-07 02:20
Will TikTok Pro - Events be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 13? No +40 $29 85¢ $34 +$5 11-07 04:47
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 9? No +40 $32 84¢ $33 +$1 11-07 12:44
Will Roy Lichtenstein's “Reflections on ‘Painter and Model’” sell for between $25m and $30m at auction? No +50 $33 64¢ $33 -$1 11-07 05:58
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027? No +40 $35 80¢ $32 -$2 11-03 07:33
Will Roy Lichtenstein's “Reflections on ‘Painter and Model’” sell for between $20m and $25m at auction? No +50 $38 64¢ $32 -$6 11-07 08:43
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on November 9? Yes +52 $23 60¢ $31 +$9 11-07 18:04
Will there be no next Grok model (4.8+) release by November 30, 2026? No +60 $44 52¢ $31 -$13 11-03 14:29
Will Jason or Lucia die in GTA VI? Yes +38 $20 80¢ $30 +$10 11-03 14:29
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on November 8? No +45 $31 66¢ $30 -$1 11-07 23:32
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on November 9? No +45 $30 65¢ $29 -$1 11-08 09:28
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 25 bps at the January meeting? No +33 $29 88¢ $29 +$0 11-07 22:01
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 8? No +40 $31 72¢ $29 -$2 11-06 23:23
Will there be no next Grok model (4.8+) release by November 30, 2026? Yes +60 $16 48¢ $29 +$13 10-31 03:04
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +38 $27 75¢ $28 +$1 10-29 14:46
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on November 8? Yes +118 $24 24¢ $28 +$4 11-07 11:26
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? No +39 $24 70¢ $27 +$3 11-07 21:02