Playful-Stepuncle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.5%

Resolved

259

Trades

307

lifetime

Volume

$928

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 05-30 16:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

77% 92% +$11

Politics

16% 87% -$10

Crypto

4% 87% -$1

Sports

2% 53% -$4

Tech

1% 50% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-30).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 15?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-15 20:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	4	$12	13	2	+10	No	-$2	05-13 15:26
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	05-16 23:15
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-15 18:00
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-15 18:00
Las Vegas Aces vs. Connecticut Sun	1	$10	11	0	+11	Las Vegas Aces	+$1	05-15 21:30
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-15 19:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-15 20:30
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-15 18:00
Will Sholdon Daniels be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?	2	$9	6	6	+0	No	-$1	05-25 23:22
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 18?	2	$9	9	0	+9	Up	+$0	05-18 19:11
Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	2	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	-$2	05-25 13:22
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	2	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	-$2	05-21 23:40
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	-$2	05-25 13:16
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 18?	2	$7	9	0	+9	Up	+$2	05-18 19:14
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 20?	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	-$3	05-20 20:59
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	-$4	05-22 06:16
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	4	$6	4	4	+0	No	$0	04-27 22:26
Will "Mortal Kombat 2" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?	2	$6	7	0	+7	No	+$1	05-10 09:27
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	2	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	-$5	05-22 06:17
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 18?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-18 20:13
Will Meta (META) close above $630 on May 19?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-19 19:00
Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-25 23:00
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 19?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-19 19:45
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-20 23:00
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 21?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-21 19:45
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-19 19:00
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-22 19:44
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	05-20 20:00
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 18?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-18 18:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 16:07:42	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x09bf49…
05-30 12:25:32	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x07d94d…
05-25 23:22:53	Will Sholdon Daniels be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?	No	SELL	6	79¢	$4	0x2eb644…
05-25 23:00:24	Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2d0a7d…
05-25 23:00:17	Will Sholdon Daniels be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xbb699a…
05-25 23:00:12	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x354077…
05-25 23:00:06	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4092d3…
05-25 13:22:52	Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xbc565e…
05-25 13:16:57	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x7b6d7a…
05-25 11:00:11	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 12.5m and 13.5m?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4f8957…
05-25 11:00:08	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11.5m and 12.5m?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8aaca5…
05-24 23:10:11	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x06e42c…
05-24 23:05:10	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xb3bb07…
05-24 23:00:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe4b2be…
05-24 23:00:26	Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xea820b…
05-24 23:00:23	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5bf760…
05-24 23:00:19	Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x437f69…
05-24 23:00:16	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc0b62c…
05-24 23:00:12	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x02bcfd…
05-24 23:00:09	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x995113…
05-23 23:20:10	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x42b43c…
05-23 23:00:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x44f554…
05-23 23:00:17	Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3436aa…
05-23 23:00:13	Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa6a765…
05-23 23:00:11	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8d8d06…
05-23 23:00:08	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc40dd4…
05-22 20:15:37	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4d83d6…
05-22 20:15:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaec18c…
05-22 20:00:44	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1f1b64…
05-22 20:00:41	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa6fbb5…
05-22 20:00:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x016259…
05-22 20:00:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaa62a3…
05-22 19:45:48	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $620 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf95402…
05-22 19:45:41	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $197.50 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x173185…
05-22 19:45:40	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x868f5b…
05-22 19:45:34	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $138 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5fed1d…
05-22 19:45:33	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $141 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x347d6f…
05-22 19:44:42	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe7b674…
05-22 19:44:35	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $312 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x32c79d…
05-22 19:44:30	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3f906b…
05-22 19:44:26	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on May 22?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x60fa58…
05-22 19:44:21	Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf9b6ad…
05-22 19:44:17	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5cb43b…
05-22 06:17:15	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xc9bba0…
05-22 06:16:38	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	No	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x7dd3be…
05-21 23:40:26	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x401f78…
05-21 23:00:23	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x939b0a…
05-21 23:00:20	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x54d9c4…
05-21 23:00:16	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x45c13d…
05-21 23:00:13	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1b67d0…
05-21 23:00:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6ecb1f…
05-21 23:00:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4fed4a…
05-21 20:00:12	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe969bf…
05-21 20:00:07	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9cfa15…
05-21 19:45:37	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x95a560…
05-21 19:45:30	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x97c2ee…
05-21 19:30:32	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x13aae5…
05-21 19:15:31	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 21?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x192342…
05-21 19:00:14	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xee42fd…
05-21 19:00:10	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x01c798…
05-21 19:00:07	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfec9ed…
05-20 23:00:17	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 255,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc15177…
05-20 23:00:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb0ed04…
05-20 20:59:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 20?	No	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xbfc88b…
05-20 20:00:28	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 20?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x33f0e1…
05-20 20:00:25	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 20?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7abdb0…
05-20 20:00:21	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 20?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5552a0…
05-20 20:00:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf73413…
05-20 20:00:06	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xebacbc…
05-20 19:45:32	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa24021…
05-20 19:30:31	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xab6dd7…
05-20 19:15:32	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd33605…
05-20 19:00:23	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x83f4dd…
05-20 19:00:18	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1ff423…
05-20 19:00:15	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf3465a…
05-20 19:00:11	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x556f23…
05-20 19:00:08	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 20?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfc1457…
05-20 15:00:07	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x201520…
05-20 06:00:16	Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.9B?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf668f5…
05-20 06:00:13	Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.8B?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x01183b…
05-20 06:00:07	Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.7B?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x76f973…
05-19 23:00:21	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x31ac13…
05-19 23:00:18	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3e0c17…
05-19 23:00:14	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7fc543…
05-19 23:00:11	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbfc8b5…
05-19 23:00:07	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x61e482…
05-19 20:15:43	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x872b17…
05-19 20:15:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd74cec…
05-19 20:15:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 19?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa94c05…
05-19 20:00:17	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x96a73c…
05-19 20:00:12	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x59d2f4…
05-19 20:00:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on May 19?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x078773…
05-19 19:45:37	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x200b5a…
05-19 19:45:33	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 19?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xba6906…
05-19 19:31:59	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 19?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x478041…
05-19 19:15:32	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 on May 19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1f372a…
05-19 19:15:17	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 19?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xffa316…
05-19 19:00:36	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on May 19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1c5e03…
05-19 19:00:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3e6c6c…
05-19 19:00:21	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x78237b…