Playful-Stepuncle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.9%

Resolved

Trades

259

lifetime

Volume

$790

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 05-24 23:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

82% 89% $-2

Politics

11% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 88% $-1

Sports

2% 50% $-1

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 15?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	05-15 20:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	4	$12	13	2	+10	No	$-2	05-13 15:26
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-15 18:00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-15 18:00
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-16 23:15
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-15 19:00
Las Vegas Aces vs. Connecticut Sun	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-15 21:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-15 20:30
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-15 18:00
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 18?	2	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	05-18 19:11
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-21 23:40
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 18?	2	$7	9	0	+9	open	—	05-18 19:14
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 20?	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-20 20:59
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-22 06:16
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	4	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-27 22:26
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	05-22 06:17
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 18?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 20:13
Will Meta (META) close above $630 on May 19?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-19 19:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-22 20:00
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-19 23:00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 18:15
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 18?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-18 18:16
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 20?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-20 19:00
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-20 20:00
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 20?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-20 19:00
Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 23:00
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-19 23:00
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-19 19:00
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 18?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 18:00
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-22 19:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 23:00:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe4b2be…
05-23 23:20:10	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x42b43c…
05-23 23:00:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x44f554…
05-23 23:00:08	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc40dd4…
05-22 20:15:37	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4d83d6…
05-22 20:15:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaec18c…
05-22 20:00:44	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1f1b64…
05-22 20:00:41	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa6fbb5…
05-22 20:00:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x016259…
05-22 20:00:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaa62a3…
05-22 19:45:48	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $620 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf95402…
05-22 19:45:41	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $197.50 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x173185…
05-22 19:45:40	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x868f5b…
05-22 19:45:34	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $138 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5fed1d…
05-22 19:45:33	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $141 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x347d6f…
05-22 19:44:42	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe7b674…
05-22 19:44:35	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $312 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x32c79d…
05-22 19:44:30	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3f906b…
05-22 19:44:26	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on May 22?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x60fa58…
05-22 19:44:21	Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf9b6ad…
05-22 19:44:17	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5cb43b…
05-22 06:17:15	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xc9bba0…
05-22 06:16:38	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	No	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x7dd3be…
05-21 23:40:26	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x401f78…
05-21 23:00:23	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x939b0a…
05-21 23:00:20	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x54d9c4…
05-21 23:00:16	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x45c13d…
05-21 23:00:13	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1b67d0…
05-21 23:00:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6ecb1f…
05-21 23:00:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4fed4a…
05-21 20:00:07	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9cfa15…
05-21 19:45:37	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x95a560…
05-21 19:45:30	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x97c2ee…
05-21 19:30:32	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x13aae5…
05-21 19:15:31	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 21?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x192342…
05-21 19:00:14	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xee42fd…
05-21 19:00:10	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x01c798…
05-21 19:00:07	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfec9ed…
05-20 23:00:17	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 255,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc15177…
05-20 23:00:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb0ed04…
05-20 20:59:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 20?	No	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xbfc88b…
05-20 20:00:28	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 20?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x33f0e1…
05-20 20:00:25	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 20?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7abdb0…
05-20 20:00:21	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 20?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5552a0…
05-20 20:00:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf73413…
05-20 20:00:06	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xebacbc…
05-20 19:45:32	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa24021…
05-20 19:30:31	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xab6dd7…
05-20 19:15:32	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd33605…
05-20 19:00:23	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x83f4dd…
05-20 19:00:18	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1ff423…
05-20 19:00:15	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf3465a…
05-20 19:00:11	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x556f23…
05-20 19:00:08	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 20?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfc1457…
05-20 15:00:07	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x201520…
05-20 06:00:16	Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.9B?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf668f5…
05-20 06:00:13	Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.8B?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x01183b…
05-20 06:00:07	Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.7B?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x76f973…
05-19 23:00:21	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x31ac13…
05-19 23:00:18	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3e0c17…
05-19 23:00:14	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7fc543…
05-19 23:00:11	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbfc8b5…
05-19 23:00:07	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x61e482…
05-19 20:15:43	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x872b17…
05-19 20:15:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd74cec…
05-19 20:15:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 19?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa94c05…
05-19 20:00:17	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x96a73c…
05-19 20:00:12	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x59d2f4…
05-19 20:00:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on May 19?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x078773…
05-19 19:45:37	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x200b5a…
05-19 19:45:33	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 19?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xba6906…
05-19 19:31:59	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 19?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x478041…
05-19 19:15:32	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 on May 19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1f372a…
05-19 19:15:17	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 19?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xffa316…
05-19 19:00:36	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on May 19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1c5e03…
05-19 19:00:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3e6c6c…
05-19 19:00:21	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x78237b…
05-19 19:00:17	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb724cf…
05-19 19:00:14	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x29c5e7…
05-19 19:00:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x151fe6…
05-19 00:20:49	Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xb79988…
05-18 23:00:06	Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9fa048…
05-18 20:14:05	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x84f4b8…
05-18 20:14:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xff75c6…
05-18 20:13:58	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 18?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe9802b…
05-18 20:13:55	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcb356d…
05-18 20:13:51	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xfa86c5…
05-18 20:13:48	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 18?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x477b18…
05-18 20:13:44	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe22ffa…
05-18 20:13:41	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 18?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x346d07…
05-18 20:13:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0778df…
05-18 19:14:32	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$2	0xad7122…
05-18 19:11:07	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x80ab4f…
05-18 18:30:35	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaa4c28…
05-18 18:30:31	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x887cbf…
05-18 18:16:07	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x21a37c…
05-18 18:16:03	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x77c875…
05-18 18:15:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb7eb5f…
05-18 18:00:39	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xb7c97d…
05-18 18:00:34	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa6d1b5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	138	$9.80M	13,954	05-31 21:55
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	125	$10.9K	2,101	05-25 21:58
(anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8	95	$11.7K	607	05-24 14:28
Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43	91	$183.9K	2,989	05-29 20:02
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	78	$114.0K	10,711	05-27 03:07
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	69	$322.8K	5,128	05-31 10:07
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	62	$44.5K	627	05-27 05:54
Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c	61	$56.4K	1,114	05-24 02:15