Messy-Seaside — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

708

lifetime

Volume

$182.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$258

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-19 18:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

51% 100% +$14

Other

33% — —

Crypto

11% 100% +$5

Politics

5% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$3.1K	3,094	0	+3,094	open	—	04-25 15:02
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$3.0K	3,005	0	+3,005	open	—	04-06 16:53
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$3.0K	2,971	0	+2,971	open	—	03-24 17:13
will the toronto raptors win more than 39pt5 regular season games in 202526	1	$3.0K	2,970	0	+2,970	open	—	03-21 16:15
nba tor den 2026 03 20 rebounds immanuel quickley 3pt5	1	$3.0K	2,966	0	+2,966	open	—	03-21 03:22
fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	4	$2.9K	2,948	0	+2,948	open	—	06-21 05:54
will iran strike israel on march 10	1	$2.9K	2,928	0	+2,928	open	—	03-14 09:42
will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	1	$2.9K	2,920	0	+2,920	open	—	03-10 08:13
nba nop sac 2026 03 05 total 235pt5	1	$2.9K	2,895	0	+2,895	open	—	03-06 05:11
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$2.9K	2,899	0	+2,899	open	—	01-30 12:51
Will the US strike Somalia next?	1	$2.9K	2,873	0	+2,873	open	—	01-27 22:08
Will Apple release AirTag 2 by June 30?	2	$2.9K	2,866	0	+2,866	open	—	01-26 14:36
Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?	1	$2.9K	2,863	0	+2,863	open	—	01-26 12:15
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$2.9K	2,861	0	+2,861	open	—	01-28 06:53
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5	1	$2.9K	2,855	0	+2,855	open	—	05-23 03:09
nba gsw min 2026 01 24 spread home 5pt5	1	$2.8K	2,860	0	+2,860	open	—	01-26 02:22
cs2 eye ursa 2026 01 21	3	$2.8K	2,826	0	+2,826	open	—	01-22 00:08
Seeker FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$2.8K	2,824	0	+2,824	open	—	01-21 17:36
Trove FDV above $40M one day after launch?	1	$2.7K	2,728	0	+2,728	open	—	01-20 06:09
nba phx phi 2026 01 20 rebounds devin booker 3pt5	2	$2.7K	2,765	0	+2,765	open	—	01-21 02:42
ethereum up or down on january 17	3	$2.7K	2,679	0	+2,679	open	—	01-17 16:55
mar1 rcz com 2026 01 25 btts	1	$2.6K	2,623	0	+2,623	open	—	01-25 17:37
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$2.5K	2,570	0	+2,570	open	—	06-18 04:29
Moonbirds FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$2.4K	2,451	0	+2,451	open	—	01-29 13:55
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$2.4K	2,400	0	+2,400	Thunder	+$14	05-12 02:50
nba dal nyk 2026 01 19 spread home 9pt5	1	$2.3K	2,351	0	+2,351	open	—	01-20 00:10
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	4	$2.0K	1,023	1,023	-0	open	—	01-19 09:30
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5	1	$2.0K	2,031	0	+2,031	open	—	05-16 03:59
lol nsea ktc 2026 01 22	1	$2.0K	2,029	0	+2,029	open	—	01-22 09:08
will kim keon hee be sentenced to prison by march 31	1	$2.0K	1,996	0	+1,996	open	—	01-29 07:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 18:20:03	will ethereum dip to 800 in july 2026 717	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1b390e…
07-13 03:17:47	will spy reach 800 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9a8357…
07-13 01:30:23	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026 944	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc069d7…
07-12 03:50:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x492aaf…
07-11 22:56:28	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x352146…
07-11 22:34:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc3bb80…
07-11 19:39:28	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x38c9cf…
07-11 18:36:43	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7e663f…
07-11 18:06:31	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb7707c…
07-11 18:06:31	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xae3bd5…
07-11 18:01:28	will wti reach 90 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x273032…
07-11 18:01:05	will wti reach 95 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xaec14d…
07-11 17:57:31	will wti dip to 40 in july 2026 719	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa87406…
06-21 17:11:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1,050	100¢	$1,046	0x99bc6a…
06-21 05:55:59	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfe6b81…
06-21 05:54:44	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	1,870	100¢	$1,868	0x878c1f…
06-21 05:54:05	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x92bc43…
06-21 05:53:38	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	962	100¢	$961	0x1d95a7…
06-21 05:53:22	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x73f271…
06-21 05:48:38	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	204	100¢	$204	0x33f725…
06-20 18:47:41	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 spread home 2pt5	Netherlands	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf4c0cb…
06-18 04:29:02	o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2,570	99¢	$2,544	0x037271…
06-18 04:27:08	o1 FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	186	98¢	$183	0xe40d07…
06-18 04:26:35	o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	398	100¢	$397	0x3a0f2a…
06-14 02:56:06	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread away 12pt5	Spurs	BUY	1,275	100¢	$1,273	0xf5b1ab…
06-14 02:54:36	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread home 24pt5	Knicks	BUY	373	98¢	$367	0xd5e9ad…
06-14 02:54:09	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread away 15pt5	Spurs	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x540c27…
06-14 02:53:57	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 points karl anthony towns 16pt5	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0xd698b5…
06-14 02:50:31	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread away 10pt5	Spurs	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x80292c…
06-14 02:48:03	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread away 10pt5	Spurs	BUY	65	98¢	$64	0x4461df…
06-14 02:38:36	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread away 14pt5	Spurs	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xebfab6…
06-14 02:38:36	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread away 14pt5	Spurs	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc6084b…
06-14 02:36:00	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread away 13pt5	Spurs	BUY	522	100¢	$522	0x1250f6…
06-14 02:34:07	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread away 14pt5	Spurs	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0xb8de03…
06-14 02:33:55	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread away 15pt5	Spurs	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0xd5449f…
06-14 02:33:00	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread away 14pt5	Spurs	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb2341f…
06-14 02:29:10	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread away 15pt5	Spurs	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x0861ad…
06-14 02:28:51	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread away 16pt5	Spurs	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x15974c…
06-14 02:26:22	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread away 14pt5	Spurs	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x3e7f77…
06-14 02:15:46	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 rebounds jalen brunson 0pt5	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x27df44…
06-11 02:36:09	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread home 14pt5	Spurs	BUY	1,274	100¢	$1,271	0xdedbbf…
06-04 03:11:04	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 total 222pt5	Under	BUY	1,825	100¢	$1,823	0x5e8d7c…
06-04 03:10:22	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 assists victor wembanyama 3pt5	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x00760e…
06-04 03:10:04	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 total 212pt5	Under	BUY	1,000	99¢	$990	0x9b59ab…
06-04 03:09:22	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 mikal bridges 3 pointers ou 1pt5	Under	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x3c7d4d…
06-04 03:08:55	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 assists og anunoby 1pt5	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x78cfd2…
06-04 03:06:45	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 points deaaron fox 15pt5	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6141b8…
06-04 03:03:28	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 9pt5	Knicks	BUY	232	99¢	$230	0x5d93f0…
05-31 08:07:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e0e0d…
05-31 08:00:43	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	401	100¢	$401	0x83ad2b…
05-31 02:45:17	Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5	No	BUY	129	99¢	$128	0xd9924f…
05-31 02:44:24	Spread: Thunder (-5.5)	Spurs	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x36930f…
05-31 02:44:00	De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x489c2d…
05-31 02:41:24	Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	Spurs	BUY	1,665	100¢	$1,663	0x32794c…
05-31 02:41:07	Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xb28d27…
05-31 02:40:46	Spread: Thunder (-2.5)	Spurs	BUY	788	99¢	$778	0x803201…
05-31 02:40:28	Spread: Thunder (-5.5)	Spurs	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0xf4929b…
05-31 02:40:12	Spread: Thunder (-3.5)	Spurs	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7d1d28…
05-31 02:40:12	Spread: Thunder (-3.5)	Spurs	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x3c71bd…
05-31 02:40:09	Spread: Thunder (-3.5)	Spurs	BUY	208	99¢	$206	0x6b2d51…
05-29 16:08:05	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb11463…
05-29 02:39:32	Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5	Yes	BUY	1,874	98¢	$1,837	0x4c4d43…
05-29 02:38:38	Spread: Spurs (-2.5)	Spurs	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0x994db6…
05-29 02:38:17	Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	Spurs	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0xa092ad…
05-27 02:45:41	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5	Over	BUY	767	100¢	$766	0x53e764…
05-27 02:44:45	Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdb12fa…
05-27 02:41:18	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5	Over	BUY	1,946	100¢	$1,944	0x68a9c6…
05-27 02:40:31	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	344	100¢	$343	0x94fd30…
05-26 02:32:33	Knicks vs. Cavaliers: Odd/Even Score	Odd	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0e7657…
05-26 02:27:10	Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x09a39f…
05-26 02:26:56	Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5d0059…
05-26 02:26:42	James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x17856d…
05-26 02:25:40	Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2e4217…
05-26 02:25:14	Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5	No	BUY	58	99¢	$57	0x603101…
05-26 02:24:02	OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x66e30f…
05-26 02:23:31	nba nyk cle 2026 05 25 points jarrett allen 3pt5	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcc6553…
05-26 02:22:54	Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x677a04…
05-26 02:22:30	James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x0de4e6…
05-26 02:21:55	Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x765cd8…
05-26 02:20:36	Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x40c576…
05-26 02:20:20	nba nyk cle 2026 05 25 rebounds dean wade 0pt5	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x21abb9…
05-26 02:19:47	Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf62918…
05-26 02:19:35	Dean Wade: Assists O/U 0.5	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x276b23…
05-26 02:19:19	OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	51	100¢	$50	0xee1645…
05-26 02:19:00	Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xda1c7d…
05-26 02:18:37	Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x57d9e7…
05-25 03:19:04	Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even Score	Odd	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe495af…
05-25 02:51:53	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xd54732…
05-25 02:48:19	Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5	No	BUY	723	100¢	$722	0x2d04f9…
05-25 02:48:00	Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4bbe76…
05-25 02:46:55	De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x4a7eca…
05-25 02:45:42	Spread: Spurs (-8.5)	Spurs	BUY	1,284	100¢	$1,283	0x7fbb7d…
05-25 02:40:34	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5	No	BUY	71	99¢	$71	0x50650f…
05-25 02:40:04	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5	Under	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x46bc1f…
05-25 02:39:41	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe26558…
05-25 02:38:54	Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x9198ab…
05-23 03:09:24	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5	Over	BUY	2,855	100¢	$2,852	0x9c9615…
05-23 03:06:17	Spread: Spurs (-8.5)	Thunder	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0x5cd6a9…
05-20 02:52:16	Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	Knicks	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x87065f…
05-20 02:51:41	Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	Knicks	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x099cd2…