Quirky-Flood-Litmus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,945

lifetime

Volume

$4.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 07-21 15:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

76% 0% $-4

Sports

11% — —

Politics

7% — —

Crypto

5% 25% $-4

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp alcaraz rinderk 2026 03 09 first set winner Alcaraz vs Rinderknech	7	$61	89	89	+0	open	—	03-10 02:44
atp djokovi draper 2026 03 10 set handicap home 1pt5	8	$57	71	71	+0	open	—	03-12 02:22
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	16	$47	59	59	+0	open	—	03-14 04:58
will xrp reach 1pt6 in march 2026	11	$47	60	60	+0	open	—	03-15 16:40
will usa win the 2026 world baseball classic	12	$45	95	95	+0	open	—	03-16 00:48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	14	$44	72	72	+0	open	—	03-16 03:58
will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 871	18	$43	93	93	+0	open	—	03-11 12:27
will japan make the 2026 world baseball classic final	13	$42	48	48	+0	open	—	03-13 02:22
col1 cdf adc 2026 03 14 draw	10	$40	44	44	+0	open	—	03-14 09:59
spx opens up or down on march 13 2026	12	$39	60	60	+0	open	—	03-13 02:42
will gold gc hit low 4700 by end of march	12	$38	56	56	+0	open	—	03-18 15:35
highest temperature in atlanta on march 13 2026 68 69f	18	$38	53	53	+0	open	—	03-13 13:40
will reminders of him score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	13	$36	74	40	+34	open	—	03-14 08:26
bkarg fer rac 2026 03 11	11	$36	46	46	+0	open	—	03-11 00:20
highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 54forhigher	11	$35	122	122	+0	open	—	03-10 12:37
bkcba tia zhe2 2026 03 11	5	$35	41	41	+0	open	—	03-11 12:04
cs2 gz1 rstr 2026 03 11	46	$33	46	46	+0	open	—	03-12 04:02
will bbl esports win masters santiago 2026	10	$33	105	67	+37	open	—	03-10 05:07
atp alcaraz norrie 2026 03 12 set totals 2pt5	4	$33	72	72	+0	open	—	03-13 03:05
tsla above 390 on march 31 2026	9	$32	42	42	+0	open	—	03-16 12:27
will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	4	$32	34	34	+0	open	—	03-10 06:39
bkkbl kcc any 2026 03 14	5	$32	99	34	+65	open	—	03-14 06:51
nba dal mil 2026 01 25	5	$31	45	45	+0	open	—	03-14 08:17
will trump be said at the oscars	6	$31	38	38	+0	open	—	03-15 11:15
will reminders of him opening weekend box office be between 19m and 22m	6	$31	55	54	+0	open	—	03-15 03:11
spx up or down on march 13 2026	4	$31	42	42	+0	open	—	03-13 02:45
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	7	$31	53	53	+0	open	—	03-12 04:10
will tsla dip to 330 in march	4	$31	108	108	+0	open	—	03-23 08:01
meta above 640 on march 13 2026	7	$30	75	34	+41	open	—	03-12 03:43
atp djokovi draper 2026 03 10 set totals 2pt5	20	$30	35	35	+0	open	—	03-12 01:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 15:35:24	Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2	Pacquiao	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x821a04…
06-26 00:49:23	will there be 1 pentakills at msi 20260609183410414	No	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0xeeabaa…
06-26 00:13:07	will there be 1 pentakills at msi 20260609183410414	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x19f3d8…
06-10 13:26:15	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0x9cdac3…
06-10 11:25:51	wti closes above 90 on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x7c54da…
06-10 06:10:33	wti closes above 90 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc625cf…
06-10 05:55:06	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x223243…
06-10 02:49:12	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x40cfc9…
06-04 21:28:09	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0x8e9251…
06-04 01:46:00	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0x2717e9…
06-03 22:35:07	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 30	No	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x3e7945…
06-03 10:38:27	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xcea904…
06-03 08:17:46	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0xe954d0…
06-03 04:51:32	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x16df07…
06-03 04:48:48	Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?	Yes	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0x024307…
06-03 04:46:35	Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x213bc2…
06-03 04:40:55	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x91bdfc…
06-03 04:12:17	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x0043ea…
06-03 03:31:39	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0x99775b…
06-03 01:14:04	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc947e2…
06-03 00:42:34	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x01a810…
06-03 00:40:25	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0xac06b4…
06-02 16:37:44	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0xccf79b…
06-01 14:13:33	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x132468…
06-01 12:58:11	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0xac55a4…
05-31 11:44:01	Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0xca5037…
05-31 10:37:50	Will Ritesh Tandon advance from the CA-17 primary?	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x2966bd…
05-31 04:35:16	Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0x4bb954…
05-31 00:37:55	Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0xc1b4d5…
05-31 00:37:53	Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x452d10…
05-30 18:16:21	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x601a86…
05-30 10:15:15	Will Ritesh Tandon advance from the CA-17 primary?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xf4b68f…
05-29 20:13:33	Will Ritesh Tandon advance from the CA-17 primary?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x490acc…
05-29 19:49:44	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x8c52cf…
05-29 19:46:33	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc7e41e…
05-29 19:17:51	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0xde7c0e…
05-29 17:53:32	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x7221ad…
05-29 17:53:25	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0xefd96f…
05-29 17:47:03	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0x546ba0…
05-29 00:17:45	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xfac7a7…
05-28 16:52:56	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x32226f…
05-28 14:49:51	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x05f91d…
05-28 14:14:05	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on May 28?	No	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0x9bed15…
05-28 14:02:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 25-31?	Yes	SELL	2	22¢	$1	0x7d5703…
05-28 13:45:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0xe68f18…
05-28 13:37:01	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on May 28?	No	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x4e1913…
05-25 16:20:03	Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $23.5B?	No	SELL	1	43¢	$1	0x586e79…
05-25 14:43:48	Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $23.5B?	No	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0x641614…
05-25 14:36:36	Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $23.5B?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1d080e…
05-25 03:22:51	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x4a760b…
05-25 01:13:33	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0226b8…
05-23 09:54:07	ITF Bol: Weronika Falkowska vs Eva Bennemann	Eva Bennemann	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x550f17…
05-23 09:54:07	ITF Bol: Weronika Falkowska vs Eva Bennemann	Eva Bennemann	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x0d2da3…
05-23 07:47:36	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	26¢	$0	0xa15605…
05-22 21:45:46	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0x45a1b6…
05-22 21:45:44	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x94e240…
05-22 11:22:46	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xe272a6…
05-22 02:28:47	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x5dac7b…
05-13 23:14:33	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 15?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x01fc46…
05-13 23:04:03	Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x14a5b3…
05-09 11:16:50	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x204250…
05-09 07:55:18	Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xd60f77…
05-08 21:14:30	Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xaff7f0…
05-07 02:12:20	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0xcb210d…
05-05 15:29:52	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0fc4c9…
04-28 08:47:42	Will Trump say "Free World" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x49a30b…
04-28 08:03:46	Will Trump say "Free World" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x964b4d…
04-28 06:33:48	Will Trump say "Free World" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x922759…
04-28 05:01:58	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0xbef725…
04-28 02:21:08	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	SELL	2	23¢	$1	0x49eb91…
04-28 01:45:30	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x7f71ff…
04-27 21:06:30	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0x1ff131…
04-27 21:06:16	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x6f3c18…
04-27 21:02:12	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xc9c291…
04-27 16:29:28	Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x090e24…
04-27 13:43:58	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x4bb530…
04-27 13:18:10	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xb1c436…
04-27 12:51:10	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x70f330…
04-27 12:37:02	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3d7872…
04-27 11:12:58	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	No	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x126e1a…
04-26 14:37:08	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x841c0e…
04-25 10:06:34	Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0xc0c724…
04-25 06:02:24	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?	Yes	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0xc9e9a3…
04-25 06:01:48	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?	Yes	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x76f539…
04-25 05:43:36	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x4c2016…
04-25 05:20:48	Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xb4a80a…
04-23 20:58:30	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x59ee8b…
04-23 14:29:48	Will Meta (META) close at $650-$660 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xf6b0aa…
04-23 11:00:18	Will Meta (META) close at $650-$660 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x10741e…
04-22 19:13:02	Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x3af4df…
04-22 19:05:38	Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x6f5744…
04-22 16:29:10	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0x93373a…
04-22 07:19:52	Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xcfe20c…
04-22 06:18:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x527d23…
04-22 06:17:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0xee6d73…
04-22 06:13:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x1e3d5b…
04-22 05:48:52	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0xc379d4…
04-22 05:48:52	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x74191e…
04-22 05:48:50	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x7d5574…
04-22 05:48:50	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x312199…