Quirky-Flood-Litmus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$810

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

11.8%

Resolved

515

Trades

2,080

lifetime

Volume

$4.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 11-04 18:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 99 days

Categories

Other

76% 11% -$634

Sports

11% 12% -$98

Politics

8% 5% -$62

Crypto

5% 42% -$11

Tech

1% 0% -$3

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	-18	-$5	17¢	$-3	+$2	05-28 17:57
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?	Yes	-23	-$8	11¢	$-3	+$6	05-25 01:08
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	Yes	-2	-$1	11¢	$-0	+$1	06-01 12:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp alcaraz rinderk 2026 03 09 first set winner Alcaraz vs Rinderknech	7	$61	89	89	+0	Rinderknech	+$11	03-10 02:44
atp djokovi draper 2026 03 10 set handicap home 1pt5	8	$57	71	71	+0	Draper	+$7	03-12 02:22
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	16	$47	59	59	+0	No	-$3	03-14 04:58
will xrp reach 1pt6 in march 2026	11	$47	60	60	+0	Yes	-$3	03-15 16:40
will usa win the 2026 world baseball classic	12	$45	95	95	+0	No	-$5	03-16 00:48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	14	$44	72	72	+0	Yes	-$5	03-16 03:58
will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 871	18	$43	93	93	+0	No	-$7	03-11 12:27
will japan make the 2026 world baseball classic final	13	$42	48	48	+0	No	-$8	03-13 02:22
col1 cdf adc 2026 03 14 draw	10	$40	44	44	+0	No	-$8	03-14 09:59
spx opens up or down on march 13 2026	12	$39	60	60	+0	Up	-$3	03-13 02:42
will gold gc hit low 4700 by end of march	12	$38	56	56	+0	Yes	-$9	03-18 15:35
highest temperature in atlanta on march 13 2026 68 69f	18	$38	53	53	+0	Yes	-$4	03-13 13:40
will reminders of him score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	13	$36	74	40	+34	No	-$13	03-14 08:26
bkarg fer rac 2026 03 11	11	$36	46	46	+0	Racing de Chivilcoy	-$4	03-11 00:20
highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 54forhigher	11	$35	122	122	+0	No	-$8	03-10 12:37
bkcba tia zhe2 2026 03 11	5	$35	41	41	+0	Tianjin Pioneers	+$0	03-11 12:04
cs2 gz1 rstr 2026 03 11	46	$33	46	46	+0	Ground Zero	-$5	03-12 04:02
will bbl esports win masters santiago 2026	10	$33	105	67	+37	No	-$14	03-10 05:07
atp alcaraz norrie 2026 03 12 set totals 2pt5	4	$33	72	72	+0	Under 2.5	-$3	03-13 03:05
tsla above 390 on march 31 2026	9	$32	42	42	+0	No	-$3	03-16 12:27
will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	4	$32	34	34	+0	No	-$3	03-10 06:39
bkkbl kcc any 2026 03 14	5	$32	99	34	+65	Anyang	-$16	03-14 06:51
nba dal mil 2026 01 25	5	$31	45	45	+0	Bucks	-$3	03-14 08:17
will trump be said at the oscars	6	$31	38	38	+0	No	-$4	03-15 11:15
will reminders of him opening weekend box office be between 19m and 22m	6	$31	55	54	+0	No	-$5	03-15 03:11
spx up or down on march 13 2026	4	$31	42	42	+0	Down	-$4	03-13 02:45
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	7	$31	53	53	+0	Yes	-$5	03-12 04:10
will tsla dip to 330 in march	4	$31	108	108	+0	No	-$5	03-23 08:01
meta above 640 on march 13 2026	7	$30	75	34	+41	No	+$21	03-12 03:43
atp djokovi draper 2026 03 10 set totals 2pt5	20	$30	35	35	+0	Over 2.5	-$1	03-12 01:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 18:38:18	Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points per game in 2026-27?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xff7990…
10-15 18:33:23	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 in October?	Yes	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x9ed20d…
10-15 17:04:40	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 in October?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xadf1d6…
10-15 04:28:05	Will the Republican Party win the NM-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0xd3f966…
10-13 15:32:26	Will the Cleveland Browns make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0x30e48d…
10-13 06:31:41	Will the Cleveland Browns make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1614d1…
10-13 05:09:53	Will the Republican Party win the NM-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0xe27edd…
10-12 10:37:24	Will the Republican Party win the NM-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x6db683…
10-06 16:37:36	Will the Republican Party win the NM-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xb28c72…
09-17 15:07:07	ByteDance IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x63a71c…
09-01 06:27:15	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x3a2042…
09-01 06:21:49	Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0xba9287…
08-18 03:55:39	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0xdc522c…
08-17 20:08:36	ByteDance IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0xe92b16…
08-14 15:35:57	Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf44e11…
08-14 10:46:52	ByteDance IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xf9053a…
08-14 10:46:42	ByteDance IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0xc5d116…
08-13 04:47:22	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x73f9b3…
08-13 01:44:21	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x3cce49…
08-12 22:36:00	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x31d2cb…
08-12 21:45:28	ByteDance IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xec31dd…
08-11 10:44:21	ByteDance IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x3d9aeb…
08-03 02:17:27	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x110c20…
08-02 18:27:15	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb75b00…
08-02 10:07:20	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?	Yes	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x337f7a…
07-21 15:35:24	Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2	Pacquiao	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x821a04…
06-26 00:49:23	will there be 1 pentakills at msi 20260609183410414	No	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0xeeabaa…
06-26 00:13:07	will there be 1 pentakills at msi 20260609183410414	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x19f3d8…
06-26 00:08:46	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?	Yes	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0xc67106…
06-15 23:54:40	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0xab77d6…
06-10 16:55:13	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x272231…
06-10 15:20:39	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x59589e…
06-10 13:44:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x06274b…
06-10 13:26:15	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0x9cdac3…
06-10 12:46:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xd72196…
06-10 11:25:51	wti closes above 90 on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x7c54da…
06-10 06:10:33	wti closes above 90 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc625cf…
06-10 05:55:06	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x223243…
06-10 02:49:12	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x40cfc9…
06-08 06:55:24	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?	Yes	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0x2b9f78…
06-07 21:57:31	Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May?	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x027e9b…
06-07 17:14:07	Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x9e23f1…
06-07 15:50:15	Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0xbeaef2…
06-07 15:44:16	Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x84f433…
06-07 15:13:31	Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	No	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xf2b196…
06-04 21:28:09	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0x8e9251…
06-04 10:44:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 6?	Yes	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0x342fe5…
06-04 06:31:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 6?	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x551ccf…
06-04 06:26:33	Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	No	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xc959a3…
06-04 05:11:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on June 8?	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x98de73…
06-04 05:11:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on June 8?	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x921e39…
06-04 05:11:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on June 8?	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x32af8b…
06-04 05:11:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on June 8?	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0xd006dc…
06-04 05:11:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on June 8?	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0xbe5d64…
06-04 05:11:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on June 8?	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x197049…
06-04 03:40:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on June 8?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa21252…
06-04 01:46:00	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0x2717e9…
06-03 22:35:07	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 30	No	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x3e7945…
06-03 15:25:28	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x0cb948…
06-03 11:26:03	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xa3d00e…
06-03 11:25:59	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x52eff2…
06-03 10:38:27	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xcea904…
06-03 08:17:46	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0xe954d0…
06-03 04:51:32	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x16df07…
06-03 04:48:48	Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?	Yes	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0x024307…
06-03 04:46:35	Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x213bc2…
06-03 04:40:55	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x91bdfc…
06-03 04:12:17	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x0043ea…
06-03 04:00:33	Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	No	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0xa39109…
06-03 04:00:28	Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xfefca2…
06-03 03:40:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?	No	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0xf3acfc…
06-03 03:39:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?	No	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xef098b…
06-03 03:31:39	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0x99775b…
06-03 03:27:58	Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?	Yes	SELL	22	22¢	$5	0xbd314f…
06-03 03:03:23	Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?	Yes	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x681eaa…
06-03 01:14:04	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc947e2…
06-03 00:42:34	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x01a810…
06-03 00:40:25	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0xac06b4…
06-02 16:37:44	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0xccf79b…
06-02 04:01:14	Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 3?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x2cc565…
06-02 03:11:15	Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xfcc8f7…
06-02 00:13:18	Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xe038f2…
06-01 14:13:33	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x132468…
06-01 12:58:11	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0xac55a4…
06-01 06:39:37	Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x656ab7…
06-01 06:31:36	Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0xb34763…
05-31 12:47:33	Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x379710…
05-31 11:44:01	Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0xca5037…
05-31 10:37:50	Will Ritesh Tandon advance from the CA-17 primary?	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x2966bd…
05-31 04:35:16	Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0x4bb954…
05-31 01:04:10	Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x75d2b5…
05-31 00:37:55	Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0xc1b4d5…
05-31 00:37:53	Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x452d10…
05-31 00:16:06	Will Ecuador win on 2026-05-30?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x2efd5b…
05-30 18:16:21	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x601a86…
05-30 10:15:15	Will Ritesh Tandon advance from the CA-17 primary?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xf4b68f…
05-29 20:13:33	Will Ritesh Tandon advance from the CA-17 primary?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x490acc…
05-29 19:49:44	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x8c52cf…
05-29 19:46:33	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc7e41e…
05-29 19:17:51	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0xde7c0e…