Messy-Analysis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$637

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.0%

Resolved

1,018

Trades

8,346

lifetime

Volume

$146.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 06-02 01:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Other

100% 97% +$637

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 17?	75	$1.6K	827	827	+0	No	+$18	05-17 10:27
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 11?	62	$955	491	491	+0	No	+$21	05-11 09:42
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 1?	19	$915	467	467	+0	No	+$16	06-01 05:25
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 29?	37	$908	459	459	+0	No	+$8	05-29 07:29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 29?	24	$908	459	459	+0	No	+$8	05-29 02:10
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 30?	17	$904	457	457	+0	No	+$8	05-30 10:47
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 30?	29	$903	456	456	+0	No	+$7	05-30 07:22
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 30?	47	$902	457	457	+0	No	+$8	05-30 02:00
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on May 27?	20	$889	451	451	+0	No	+$6	05-27 12:30
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 17?	16	$862	437	437	+0	No	+$4	05-17 02:13
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 31?	40	$855	437	437	+0	No	-$5	05-31 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 15?	40	$850	432	432	+0	No	+$10	05-15 01:51
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on May 14?	16	$849	431	431	+0	No	+$9	05-14 08:57
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 27?	12	$848	430	430	+0	No	+$9	05-27 05:25
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 12?	21	$848	429	429	+0	No	+$8	05-12 00:13
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 16?	45	$846	427	427	+0	No	+$6	05-16 18:11
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on May 11?	14	$846	427	427	+0	No	+$6	05-11 05:15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on May 28?	11	$845	426	426	+0	No	+$5	05-28 00:28
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 28?	16	$823	424	424	+0	No	+$23	05-28 05:25
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 31?	21	$815	437	437	+0	No	-$28	05-31 12:33
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 47°F or below on May 11?	15	$814	412	412	+0	No	+$6	05-10 07:40
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on May 28?	62	$805	406	406	+0	No	+$5	05-27 16:34
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 17?	15	$800	405	405	+0	No	+$2	05-17 13:01
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 16?	11	$784	396	396	+0	No	+$6	05-16 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on May 7?	15	$781	397	397	+0	No	+$1	05-07 13:16
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on May 28?	49	$772	390	390	+0	No	+$7	05-28 05:21
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on May 31?	17	$767	389	389	+0	No	+$4	05-31 07:21
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 27?	21	$758	388	388	-0	No	-$6	05-27 06:04
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 30?	39	$749	378	378	+0	No	+$5	04-30 09:36
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 8?	13	$741	377	377	+0	No	+$6	05-08 12:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 01:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 2?	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0xc04b3a…
06-01 09:08:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C or higher on June 1?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xf8ba60…
06-01 09:08:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C or higher on June 1?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb26281…
06-01 09:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 1?	No	SELL	147	100¢	$147	0x581ba9…
06-01 08:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C or higher on June 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb77a17…
06-01 08:19:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C or higher on June 1?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xda60bd…
06-01 08:19:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C or higher on June 1?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x2d5f2c…
06-01 08:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C or higher on June 1?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xfe8e9e…
06-01 07:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C or higher on June 1?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x460eb0…
06-01 05:25:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 1?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x21bebb…
06-01 05:03:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 1?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb3fa58…
05-31 20:44:16	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2a8ed2…
05-31 17:23:33	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C or higher on June 1?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x283dfc…
05-31 16:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on June 1?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xe34829…
05-31 13:37:20	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C or higher on June 1?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x01ee34…
05-31 13:36:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C or higher on June 1?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xd82b34…
05-31 13:36:05	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C or higher on June 1?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xaf0392…
05-31 12:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 31?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x476f2e…
05-31 12:32:47	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 31?	No	SELL	113	89¢	$101	0xf22dd8…
05-31 12:32:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 31?	No	SELL	29	89¢	$26	0x04d130…
05-31 12:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 31?	No	SELL	85	90¢	$76	0x9dcae1…
05-31 12:31:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 31?	No	SELL	168	90¢	$152	0x3f3549…
05-31 12:30:17	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 31?	No	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0x693962…
05-31 12:25:05	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 31?	No	SELL	25	94¢	$23	0xc61667…
05-31 12:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 31?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xb69d73…
05-31 11:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 2?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xefd31e…
05-31 10:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 2?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$37	0xbbf35b…
05-31 10:53:39	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 2?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xe47a9f…
05-31 10:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on June 2?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5ff9e4…
05-31 08:42:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on May 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x726ef1…
05-31 08:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 31?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe8c47b…
05-31 08:14:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 31?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xeb6e76…
05-31 08:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 31?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x11a60c…
05-31 07:38:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 31?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x9237eb…
05-31 07:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 31?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xe24a09…
05-31 07:33:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd494ef…
05-31 07:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2a2ac5…
05-31 07:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xebc892…
05-31 07:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3345d1…
05-31 07:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on May 31?	No	SELL	307	100¢	$305	0x21cf24…
05-31 07:18:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 2?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x01296b…
05-31 07:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 31?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xe35f42…
05-31 07:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 31?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xf933f3…
05-31 07:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd2d27b…
05-31 07:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8e3aae…
05-31 07:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 31?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x367d55…
05-31 07:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 31?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x1a43e9…
05-31 07:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb79ee9…
05-31 07:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 31?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x208428…
05-31 07:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1c808e…
05-31 07:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 31?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xf4b9ff…
05-31 07:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 31?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x94c8e8…
05-31 07:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on June 2?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9e197e…
05-31 07:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5189be…
05-31 07:10:17	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 31?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x724351…
05-31 07:10:17	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4e1bbb…
05-31 07:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on May 31?	No	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0x35fe39…
05-31 07:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 31?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xaa8b05…
05-31 07:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xeea0ee…
05-31 07:03:35	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on May 31?	No	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0x95ca1c…
05-31 07:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on May 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb68e3e…
05-31 05:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on June 2?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x8c3b6b…
05-31 05:08:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 2?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xe1937a…
05-31 05:05:59	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on May 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x49be51…
05-31 05:04:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on June 2?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xff3c88…
05-31 04:46:23	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on May 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb32529…
05-31 04:36:47	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on June 2?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x811b1a…
05-31 04:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 31?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0xb3846e…
05-31 04:31:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 31?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xa08a58…
05-31 04:27:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 31?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x9109d2…
05-31 04:18:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf5bf92…
05-31 04:18:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 31?	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0xe7d60b…
05-31 04:18:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc0fb58…
05-31 04:18:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb0a120…
05-31 04:18:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa9a79d…
05-31 04:18:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 31?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x6ece61…
05-31 04:18:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x522f6c…
05-31 04:18:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x43b064…
05-31 04:18:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 31?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x2886f1…
05-31 04:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 31?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x7dec64…
05-31 04:15:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 31?	No	SELL	76	97¢	$74	0xdafc21…
05-31 04:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 31?	No	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0x9df9ef…
05-31 04:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 31?	No	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0x9c883c…
05-31 04:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 31?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xb7d501…
05-31 04:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 31?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xb39c52…
05-31 04:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 31?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x11f12c…
05-31 04:04:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 31?	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0x692598…
05-31 04:04:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 31?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xf3a5f9…
05-31 04:04:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 31?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xc8581d…
05-31 04:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 31?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0x20b168…
05-31 04:03:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on May 31?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x1980e4…
05-31 04:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 31?	No	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0x0752c0…
05-31 04:02:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 31?	No	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0x0260b2…
05-31 04:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 31?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x52b923…
05-31 04:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 31?	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0x03ff63…
05-31 00:58:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on May 31?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x22e092…
05-31 00:58:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on May 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdaf905…
05-31 00:58:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on May 31?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x6e27e8…
05-31 00:58:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on May 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x025f03…
05-31 00:06:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 1?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x8aad81…