Loose-Keystone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$35

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.0%

Resolved

Trades

248

lifetime

Volume

$32.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$132

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 09-04 23:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

36% 22% -$5

Politics

29% 14% -$1

Sports

29% 31% +$42

Crypto

6% 56% $0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	6	$1.4K	688	688	+0	No	-$1	04-10 15:13
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$976	490	490	+0	No	$0	04-08 21:31
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$930	466	466	+0	No	$0	04-04 01:54
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	6	$902	453	453	+0	open	—	07-12 09:17
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$856	429	429	+0	No	$0	04-04 05:40
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	6	$618	310	310	-0	No	$0	07-04 17:22
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$516	260	260	+0	open	—	05-10 19:12
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$508	255	255	+0	No	$0	03-24 07:34
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$506	254	254	+0	No	$0	05-13 19:12
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$504	252	252	+0	No	$0	03-12 16:38
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$500	251	251	+0	No	$0	05-19 14:18
will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	2	$496	248	248	+0	No	$0	03-28 08:20
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	2	$496	248	248	+0	No	$0	05-18 21:35
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$494	248	248	+0	No	$0	05-14 21:54
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$488	245	245	+0	No	$0	04-07 05:07
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$486	245	245	+0	open	—	05-15 14:50
will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$480	240	240	+0	No	$0	03-23 06:21
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$476	242	242	+0	No	$0	05-20 14:05
Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$474	237	237	+0	No	$0	03-04 14:31
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$472	236	236	+0	No	$0	04-16 23:17
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	2	$468	234	234	+0	No	+$0	03-21 13:38
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$468	234	234	+0	No	+$0	05-20 23:31
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$464	234	234	+0	open	—	05-16 05:25
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$462	231	231	+0	No	$0	04-14 23:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	2	$462	232	232	+0	No	$0	04-03 15:35
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$460	232	232	+0	open	—	05-12 09:22
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	2	$458	229	229	+0	No	+$0	02-10 18:15
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$456	228	228	+0	No	$0	03-03 09:42
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$448	224	224	+0	open	—	05-16 22:32
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$448	225	225	+0	No	$0	04-01 21:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-04 23:20:07	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x12458a…
07-17 07:32:30	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x8d2302…
07-17 00:13:10	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xc841ce…
07-16 21:08:02	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x6abcae…
07-16 18:14:49	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x46ccee…
07-16 16:18:44	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x65d4da…
07-16 16:18:11	Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x8d4975…
07-16 04:51:44	Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf4e7b6…
07-16 02:16:17	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xf8923f…
07-15 23:04:23	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x4e8cdd…
07-15 23:03:59	Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xd04803…
07-15 21:15:52	Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x6431a5…
07-15 18:48:38	Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x726958…
07-14 15:01:22	Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xd6a526…
07-14 04:27:58	Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xf0e9ce…
07-13 21:22:50	Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xa7f33c…
07-13 21:22:23	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x53d391…
07-13 18:40:23	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x9e8dc3…
07-13 13:33:23	Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x8cb95e…
07-12 17:42:02	Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xb4d838…
07-12 17:41:40	Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x707bde…
07-12 09:17:47	Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x991333…
07-12 09:17:20	Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x04ff30…
07-12 04:03:02	Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xa12e1b…
07-11 23:41:19	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x46209d…
07-11 22:11:37	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x4c10b7…
07-11 19:47:02	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0x9cd012…
07-11 13:26:50	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x7127f0…
07-11 02:03:35	Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xdfe864…
07-10 13:39:07	Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x5f7405…
07-10 01:39:58	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xf2e42f…
07-09 15:42:43	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x6b303e…
07-09 02:48:49	Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x03c10e…
07-08 18:22:55	Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7a6805…
07-08 18:22:29	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0xe56e02…
07-08 09:05:16	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x599cb4…
07-07 10:09:29	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xb20421…
07-06 15:02:59	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x0baf62…
07-06 09:48:08	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x24efa0…
07-06 04:55:20	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe92c47…
07-06 04:54:55	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x210003…
07-06 01:29:59	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xa46741…
07-06 01:29:32	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x31b258…
07-05 17:01:26	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x2b7b87…
07-05 08:12:32	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x5fb562…
07-05 00:15:10	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x254d5f…
07-04 21:43:22	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x36cd90…
07-04 17:22:26	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xc9c688…
07-04 17:22:01	Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x58c830…
07-04 11:31:38	Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc49ac8…
07-04 07:32:43	Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x07cb4b…
07-04 05:00:59	Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x82a629…
07-04 05:00:40	Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xc5c5ff…
07-04 00:15:04	Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xc0eb7c…
07-03 13:05:22	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xc99e4e…
07-03 08:18:40	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x39bb39…
07-03 01:38:28	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x0f3838…
07-02 20:58:14	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x9843e6…
07-02 20:57:46	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xfed21e…
07-02 11:49:04	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x81ea21…
07-02 08:50:35	Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xd02121…
07-02 08:07:11	Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6cbe36…
07-02 08:06:50	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xec25c8…
07-02 04:26:11	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0xb76097…
07-02 04:25:44	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xa80dca…
07-01 22:18:47	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xa550f8…
07-01 20:08:07	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xf6c039…
07-01 17:16:07	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xb7b000…
07-01 17:15:38	Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x389f51…
07-01 08:44:28	Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xcc43fc…
07-01 08:44:07	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xecb022…
06-28 06:27:31	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x80aa1d…
06-28 04:14:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x3453ec…
06-27 08:57:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x1329cf…
06-25 06:00:04	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x9d4ddc…
06-24 14:30:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x70e91a…
06-24 14:29:59	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xf78497…
06-24 14:29:43	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xd2dfdf…
06-23 08:45:28	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x52b068…
06-21 19:39:52	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x10ca4b…
06-21 13:35:50	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xf198fe…
06-20 22:36:10	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x835db2…
06-20 13:15:50	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x19c396…
06-20 13:15:20	Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x2f8a52…
06-20 09:59:08	Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xb52a8b…
06-14 23:19:15	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x367ab8…
06-14 15:30:40	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x1bc011…
06-14 15:30:18	Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x66f5b9…
06-14 08:22:34	Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x69c587…
05-28 10:38:24	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	216	99¢	$214	0x58f236…
05-27 05:14:21	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	216	99¢	$214	0x2fa658…
05-26 04:08:08	Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	204	99¢	$203	0x7d0ceb…
05-26 02:09:48	Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	204	99¢	$203	0x492938…
05-26 02:09:26	Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	197	100¢	$197	0xc852c5…
05-25 21:22:03	Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	197	100¢	$197	0x3af71b…
05-25 12:37:50	Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	173	100¢	$173	0x6d0f59…
05-25 02:31:31	Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	173	100¢	$173	0xfb185d…
05-25 02:31:12	Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	211	99¢	$209	0x03cbb4…
05-23 12:35:51	Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	211	99¢	$209	0x8c8b47…
05-23 12:35:33	Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	218	98¢	$215	0xc5cc60…