Severe-Year — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.16K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.3%

Resolved

11,800

Trades

48,433

lifetime

Volume

$286.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 10-16 09:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 79% +$1,159

Other

0% 56% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 205 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 20 7am et	28	$218	224	224	+0	Up	+$1	02-20 12:02
bitcoin up or down february 20 6am et	16	$172	191	159	+31	Down	-$11	02-20 10:56
bitcoin up or down february 13 1pm et	13	$164	168	168	+0	Up	+$2	02-13 18:00
bitcoin up or down february 9 4am et	19	$164	168	168	+0	Down	+$2	02-09 08:50
bitcoin up or down february 12 9am et	16	$164	168	168	+0	Down	+$2	02-12 13:56
bitcoin up or down february 11 3am et	16	$164	171	165	+5	Down	+$2	02-11 07:21
bitcoin up or down february 16 9am et	28	$164	168	168	+0	Up	+$2	02-16 13:42
bitcoin up or down february 19 9am et	22	$164	168	168	+0	Up	+$2	02-19 13:56
bitcoin up or down february 13 11am et	22	$164	178	158	+20	Up	+$2	02-13 16:00
bitcoin up or down february 13 2pm et	15	$163	168	168	+0	Down	+$1	02-13 19:01
bitcoin up or down february 12 2pm et	12	$162	170	162	+8	Up	$0	02-12 18:56
bitcoin up or down february 12 4pm et	9	$161	168	168	+0	Up	-$1	02-12 21:00
bitcoin up or down february 16 5am et	11	$161	168	168	+0	Down	-$1	02-16 10:00
bitcoin up or down february 20 5am et	14	$160	115	221	-106	Down	+$52	02-20 10:01
bitcoin up or down february 11 3pm et	13	$158	172	157	+15	Down	+$3	02-11 20:00
bitcoin up or down february 18 10am et	24	$158	157	167	-10	Up	-$4	02-18 15:00
bitcoin up or down february 11 2am et	20	$155	160	158	+2	Up	+$11	02-11 07:00
bitcoin up or down february 18 3am et	14	$154	165	150	+15	Up	+$13	02-18 08:00
bitcoin up or down february 9 5pm et	13	$154	168	146	+22	Down	-$9	02-09 20:04
bitcoin up or down february 6 1pm et	16	$153	156	156	+0	Down	+$2	02-06 18:00
bitcoin up or down february 17 8am et	14	$150	183	126	+57	Up	+$16	02-17 12:49
bitcoin up or down february 20 2am et	16	$149	112	192	-80	Down	+$40	02-20 07:00
bitcoin up or down february 6 11am et	24	$149	156	156	+0	Up	-$2	02-06 16:00
bitcoin up or down january 29 5pm et	10	$146	150	150	+0	Up	+$2	01-29 22:00
bitcoin up or down february 2 10am et	18	$146	150	150	+0	Up	+$2	02-02 15:00
bitcoin up or down january 27 4am et	18	$146	136	161	-24	Down	-$14	01-27 09:01
bitcoin up or down february 27 8am et	10	$145	170	128	+42	Up	-$19	02-27 13:00
bitcoin up or down february 20 3am et	13	$145	154	144	+10	Up	-$3	02-20 07:59
bitcoin up or down february 10 2pm et	26	$145	128	168	-40	Up	+$22	02-10 18:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 08:15 UTC	33	$144	162	135	+27	Up	+$17	02-19 08:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 09:03:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd7b51e…
10-16 09:03:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x783133…
10-16 08:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x171cc1…
10-16 08:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcebb00…
10-16 08:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa9b536…
10-16 08:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb5c94b…
10-16 08:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x151dd3…
10-16 08:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb58d7c…
10-16 08:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5a018d…
10-16 08:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe3c363…
10-16 08:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x533f85…
10-16 08:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1b6718…
10-16 08:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa48bb4…
10-16 08:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5f273f…
10-16 08:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xad29eb…
10-16 08:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4ad2d5…
10-16 07:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6e83cc…
10-16 07:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x02bb8b…
10-16 07:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x831548…
10-16 07:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xca58aa…
10-16 07:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x45d80b…
10-16 07:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0b2db0…
10-16 07:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcb6695…
10-16 06:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5a586c…
10-16 06:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xffa893…
10-16 06:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xee0605…
10-16 06:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd5e58d…
10-16 06:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8ad7de…
10-16 06:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0129ac…
10-16 05:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x28088d…
10-16 05:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x29f114…
10-16 05:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x69c4c3…
10-16 04:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xccac8c…
10-16 04:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x474464…
10-16 04:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x96b46e…
10-16 03:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xffcc88…
10-16 03:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2e99f3…
10-16 03:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8cec2b…
10-16 03:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x27d78c…
10-16 03:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x17df48…
10-16 03:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe8a96e…
10-16 03:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4dba62…
10-16 03:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbe11d7…
10-16 03:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x904fe0…
10-16 02:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x500b40…
10-16 02:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf13a2d…
10-16 02:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xca94dc…
10-16 02:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc4415f…
10-16 02:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf86fea…
10-16 01:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdfb81f…
10-16 01:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x131206…
10-16 01:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6d2d95…
10-16 01:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x21abcb…
10-16 01:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x58cfe3…
10-16 01:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x40dff8…
10-16 01:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9d2daa…
10-16 01:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7b5d45…
10-16 01:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3f782d…
10-16 00:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x956413…
10-16 00:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x74a508…
10-16 00:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x17dce6…
10-16 00:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4ec610…
10-16 00:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x475b5f…
10-15 23:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xba043b…
10-15 23:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0da239…
10-15 23:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc50df9…
10-15 23:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6a9b98…
10-15 23:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa58950…
10-15 23:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x08eb85…
10-15 23:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x957f25…
10-15 23:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3d507b…
10-15 23:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf3a044…
10-15 23:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe17bf7…
10-15 23:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x961a36…
10-15 23:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x06f503…
10-15 22:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8ffbb7…
10-15 22:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa80481…
10-15 22:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbdc302…
10-15 22:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2d2842…
10-15 22:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5bdc94…
10-15 22:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd3e597…
10-15 22:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7f549f…
10-15 21:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x4892f1…
10-15 21:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8587f9…
10-15 21:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3bcaa7…
10-15 21:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2f15c6…
10-15 20:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9d5018…
10-15 20:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6fbc1b…
10-15 20:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x51666e…
10-15 20:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcfc1f3…
10-15 20:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x212d87…
10-15 20:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd09abb…
10-15 20:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb51d15…
10-15 20:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x26fb4d…
10-15 20:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfbd8ac…
10-15 19:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x35abe9…
10-15 19:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf916d7…
10-15 19:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x373746…
10-15 19:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x56069f…
10-15 19:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x01eb90…