Knowledgeable-Diaper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.6%

Resolved

117

Trades

252

lifetime

Volume

$1.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 08-31 02:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

93% 52% +$3

Politics

5% 100% +$2

Pop-Culture

2% 100% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	$0	06-25 12:57
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	06-21 16:32
Nothing Ever Happens: May	2	$35	18	18	+0	Nothing	+$1	05-31 20:29
Will MrBeast's next video get between 41 and 43 million views on day 2?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	06-15 10:08
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	2	$28	15	15	+0	No	+$1	05-22 20:05
Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$1	05-14 21:18
Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	2	$24	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 13:47
Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	05-13 04:26
First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-02 15:57
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	05-31 22:16
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	06-29 02:50
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 9?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-09 02:37
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on June 6?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-06 00:40
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 1?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-01 02:41
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 12?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-12 01:14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 6?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 11:01
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 28?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-27 12:45
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on June 5?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-04 18:56
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 22:26
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C or higher on May 1?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-30 14:09
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 16?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-16 18:33
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 9?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-09 10:56
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 13?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-12 17:26
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C or higher on May 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-10 17:25
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on May 1?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-01 00:12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 10?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-10 03:42
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C or higher on June 1?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-31 15:46
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 3?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	06-02 19:45
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 15?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	$0	05-15 08:51
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C or below on May 10?	3	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-10 07:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 02:51:24	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x80b4a3…
06-29 06:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x0225e0…
06-29 02:50:10	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x01e8b7…
06-29 02:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x34910a…
06-29 02:20:29	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 29?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xfaf7b7…
06-28 12:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xd0f697…
06-28 12:16:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on June 29?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x6ab6b7…
06-27 22:14:44	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xc2170e…
06-27 21:23:05	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 28?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf65988…
06-27 11:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8c5a5d…
06-27 07:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0e648e…
06-26 22:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x69a97c…
06-26 06:35:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 26?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x486c0b…
06-25 12:57:31	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xfffe27…
06-25 12:57:13	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xaf2cc3…
06-25 04:35:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 25?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xd86b9f…
06-25 04:32:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 25?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x9c78f9…
06-25 04:27:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 25?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xb4da6a…
06-25 04:16:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 25?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xb18bf9…
06-24 11:14:19	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 24?	No	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x05a094…
06-24 10:43:46	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x137f91…
06-23 12:22:20	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 24?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x145230…
06-23 12:09:47	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 24?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc5e6af…
06-22 11:04:11	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x11d180…
06-22 10:42:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 22?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x45c1a6…
06-22 10:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 22?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x8e70cd…
06-22 08:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 22?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x116253…
06-21 16:32:32	Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x74a65c…
06-20 15:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x73d4f8…
06-20 15:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xa55fe9…
06-20 15:09:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcb061c…
06-20 15:07:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x032d7f…
06-20 13:52:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 21?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x855566…
06-19 18:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xaf9e23…
06-19 16:54:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 20?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x541d9f…
06-18 06:43:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xf49386…
06-18 06:41:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 18?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x0466a4…
06-17 00:19:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xba3c72…
06-16 18:07:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 17?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9577fe…
06-16 17:39:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 17?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3e18a8…
06-16 17:17:23	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 17?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x36599c…
06-16 17:11:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 17?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x3c93d7…
06-15 10:08:07	Will MrBeast's next video get between 41 and 43 million views on day 2?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x039b5c…
06-15 07:08:07	Will MrBeast's next video get between 41 and 43 million views on day 2?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa1f570…
06-14 09:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 14?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x7e0e19…
06-14 08:56:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 14?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xf1675d…
06-13 09:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xfbd6b9…
06-13 08:45:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 13?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xa8d62b…
06-12 12:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C or higher on June 13?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x5890c0…
06-12 12:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C or higher on June 13?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x716594…
06-12 12:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C or higher on June 13?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3bc7a3…
06-11 22:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x0b8da6…
06-11 21:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xd88e05…
06-11 21:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 12?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xaff473…
06-11 06:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xebb3ce…
06-11 06:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 11?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x84a73c…
06-09 09:38:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 9?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xeaa94a…
06-09 08:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 9?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xb13127…
06-08 16:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on June 9?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xb56786…
06-08 12:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on June 9?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x418055…
06-08 07:25:48	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x6d26b7…
06-07 20:48:10	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 8?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x0d361b…
06-07 06:48:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on June 7?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xcf832a…
06-07 06:27:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on June 7?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x8ba76d…
06-06 16:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x471a68…
06-06 15:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xa7b133…
06-06 12:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 7?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xd840e5…
06-06 00:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x77c971…
06-05 12:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on June 6?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe31985…
06-04 18:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x6439c1…
06-04 12:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on June 5?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4cb6e7…
06-03 14:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xd2458f…
06-03 12:04:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 4?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x022c36…
06-02 19:45:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x459710…
06-02 15:57:01	First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9faf7e…
06-02 12:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 3?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xaed656…
06-02 07:26:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xee00b1…
06-02 03:37:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 2?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xac92b5…
06-01 16:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xdb2536…
06-01 12:41:47	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 2?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf1e8e7…
06-01 06:18:36	First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbea6c2…
05-31 22:16:18	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x12ca16…
05-31 20:29:15	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x90aaa8…
05-31 15:46:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C or higher on June 1?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x36042c…
05-31 14:50:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C or higher on June 1?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x3f416f…
05-31 12:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C or higher on June 1?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x47971c…
05-31 03:35:23	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5226e9…
05-31 03:31:04	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x502e58…
05-30 13:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x84e12e…
05-30 07:12:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xaaac7f…
05-30 07:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6e0e51…
05-29 11:34:11	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0x528180…
05-29 06:21:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on May 29?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x06436c…
05-29 06:14:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on May 29?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x4fcbc7…
05-28 13:42:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa90974…
05-28 13:39:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 29?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaaedb7…
05-28 07:36:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 28?	No	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x9f7cea…
05-28 07:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x96461b…
05-27 12:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6ae944…
05-27 12:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x040e78…