Stale-Barber — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$399

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.5%

Resolved

414

Trades

598

lifetime

Volume

$8.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-13 12:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 44% -$406

Other

40% 34% +$55

Sports

2% 24% -$47

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$457	376	376	+0	No	+$4	03-25 08:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 07:00 UTC	4	$437	474	36	+437	Down	-$354	01-12 07:14
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8PM ET	1	$155	156	0	+156	Up	+$0	04-28 00:58
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	3	$130	100	100	+0	Yes	+$46	10-23 15:43
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	2	$126	100	100	+0	No	-$8	06-02 07:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 13:15 UTC	1	$100	182	0	+182	Down	+$82	01-11 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2AM ET	1	$100	100	0	+100	Down	+$0	05-04 06:59
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	2	$94	100	100	+0	Yes	+$62	11-06 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1AM ET	2	$91	91	0	+91	Down	+$0	04-27 05:49
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	3	$88	100	100	+0	No	+$38	06-22 09:31
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	2	$87	100	100	+0	No	+$23	10-02 08:15
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	3	$87	100	100	+0	No	+$53	10-12 23:46
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	2	$86	100	100	+0	No	+$38	11-10 03:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$82	82	0	+82	Up	+$0	05-13 03:28
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	2	$78	100	100	+0	No	+$28	06-11 00:02
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	1	$75	100	0	+100	Yes	+$25	10-16 13:29
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	2	$74	100	100	+0	No	$0	09-10 15:55
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	2	$71	100	100	+0	Yes	+$15	10-02 08:15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	2	$70	100	100	+0	Yes	+$14	06-16 00:49
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	2	$70	100	100	+0	No	+$12	06-07 09:12
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-21 00:00 UTC	1	$68	68	0	+68	Down	+$0	04-21 03:58
ethereum up or down april 19 2026 9pm et	1	$66	66	0	+66	Up	+$0	04-20 01:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET	1	$66	66	0	+66	Down	+$0	05-18 01:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 11:45 UTC	2	$61	45	45	+1	Up	+$22	01-08 11:52
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	2	$60	99	0	+99	Yes	+$39	06-11 23:56
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	2	$59	100	100	+0	No	+$7	07-22 07:07
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	2	$57	100	100	+0	Yes	+$3	09-22 13:12
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	4	$56	60	40	+20	Knicks	+$9	11-08 02:21
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$55	100	0	+100	Yes	+$45	08-03 14:32
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 15:45 UTC	2	$52	43	43	+0	Up	+$33	01-13 15:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 12:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x7d9b4d…
11-13 12:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x0150d4…
11-13 12:37:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x9c1e06…
11-13 12:37:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0xa7911a…
11-13 12:37:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x3499a0…
11-13 12:32:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x3011f6…
11-13 12:20:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xf683af…
11-13 12:19:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x15cb2a…
11-13 12:05:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x2c680b…
11-13 11:01:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xe09e04…
11-13 10:53:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbe8495…
11-13 10:53:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0x9c1a67…
11-13 10:53:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x5c835c…
11-13 10:53:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x511ef9…
11-13 10:36:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x68f5db…
11-13 10:01:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xb7dcd4…
11-13 09:58:42	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x52aac2…
11-13 09:47:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xf39930…
11-13 09:47:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x138cb5…
11-13 09:41:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x4b3418…
11-13 09:32:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x24a05f…
11-13 09:32:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd3d776…
11-13 08:15:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x2dedf3…
11-13 05:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xaa6f74…
11-13 04:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x682c6e…
11-13 04:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x4c1928…
11-13 04:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x08cef2…
11-13 04:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x61a52a…
11-13 04:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xb4370d…
11-13 03:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xa70395…
11-13 03:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x5b6333…
11-13 03:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xb68fb9…
11-13 03:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xd3091a…
11-13 02:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x428b3e…
11-13 02:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe93e07…
11-13 02:07:36	Mavericks vs. Timberwolves	Mavericks	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xb82146…
11-13 02:02:30	Pistons vs. Wizards	Wizards	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x4b9b31…
11-12 16:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x8cfd62…
11-12 15:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	13	42¢	$5	0xcbc32c…
11-12 15:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0x042abc…
11-12 15:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x265493…
11-12 15:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x19c741…
11-12 13:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x007488…
11-12 12:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x005fda…
11-12 12:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0xc72200…
11-12 12:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0x66bb5d…
11-12 12:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xb1c53d…
11-12 12:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x821460…
11-12 12:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xdc58e1…
11-12 10:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9742ca…
11-12 09:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x09e9e5…
11-12 09:53:19	Solana Up or Down - November 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xc49ea7…
11-12 09:49:52	Solana Up or Down - November 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x7686c9…
11-12 09:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	30¢	$3	0xefb4a9…
11-12 09:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xdaa8b4…
11-12 09:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x9bf2c9…
11-12 09:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x6167b2…
11-12 09:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xf88a9e…
11-12 09:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x2a2a70…
11-12 04:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xd408f1…
11-12 04:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x3b1a8a…
11-12 04:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x2e46d0…
11-12 04:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xfe84a4…
11-12 04:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x3d8db8…
11-12 04:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0x283ed4…
11-12 04:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xc92df1…
11-12 04:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x17f479…
11-12 03:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa7ef17…
11-12 03:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xb8b6eb…
11-12 03:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x0f848c…
11-12 03:16:40	Warriors vs. Rockets	Warriors	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x52bd8c…
11-12 03:15:52	Nuggets vs. Grizzlies	Grizzlies	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x39d9e5…
11-12 03:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xfd08c5…
11-12 03:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x002bb1…
11-12 02:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xa73251…
11-12 02:50:36	Spurs vs. Bulls	Bulls	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x611a5e…
11-12 02:50:24	Spurs vs. Bulls	Bulls	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8f0960…
11-12 02:47:09	Thunder vs. Trail Blazers	Thunder	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x2ce78d…
11-12 02:44:39	Magic vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd6ede0…
11-12 02:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x934668…
11-12 02:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x14339a…
11-11 15:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x6da56b…
11-11 15:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x72d340…
11-11 15:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x8a2922…
11-11 15:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xea5d4a…
11-11 10:32:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x8eb743…
11-11 10:32:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x5477dc…
11-11 10:03:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x32f2e4…
11-11 09:49:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x622c7d…
11-11 09:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xe3a850…
11-11 09:32:16	Spurs vs. Bulls	Bulls	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x79527e…
11-11 09:31:55	Lakers vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x1d922c…
11-11 03:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xadb3d6…
11-11 03:28:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xd824d5…
11-11 03:16:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x843bd8…
11-11 02:25:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x1c0499…
11-11 02:21:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xae280c…
11-11 01:52:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xbf4322…
11-11 01:37:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xcc3258…
11-11 01:37:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x443c7d…