Stale-Barber — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$73

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.1%

Resolved (7d)

152

Trades (7d)

255

692 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$1.49K

$9.09K lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-15 15:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 42% -$444

Other

38% 34% +$55

Sports

2% 28% -$43

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$457	376	376	+0	No	+$4	03-25 08:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 07:00 UTC	4	$437	474	36	+437	Down	-$354	01-12 07:14
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8PM ET	1	$155	156	0	+156	Up	+$0	04-28 00:58
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	3	$130	100	100	+0	Yes	+$46	10-23 15:43
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	2	$126	100	100	+0	No	-$8	06-02 07:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 13:15 UTC	1	$100	182	0	+182	Down	+$82	01-11 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2AM ET	1	$100	100	0	+100	Down	+$0	05-04 06:59
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	2	$94	100	100	+0	Yes	+$62	11-06 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1AM ET	2	$91	91	0	+91	Down	+$0	04-27 05:49
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	3	$88	100	100	+0	No	+$38	06-22 09:31
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	2	$87	100	100	+0	No	+$23	10-02 08:15
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	3	$87	100	100	+0	No	+$53	10-12 23:46
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	2	$86	100	100	+0	No	+$38	11-10 03:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$82	82	0	+82	Up	+$0	05-13 03:28
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	2	$78	100	100	+0	No	+$28	06-11 00:02
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	1	$75	100	0	+100	Yes	+$25	10-16 13:29
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	2	$74	100	100	+0	No	$0	09-10 15:55
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	2	$71	100	100	+0	Yes	+$15	10-02 08:15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	2	$70	100	100	+0	Yes	+$14	06-16 00:49
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	2	$70	100	100	+0	No	+$12	06-07 09:12
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-21 00:00 UTC	1	$68	68	0	+68	Down	+$0	04-21 03:58
ethereum up or down april 19 2026 9pm et	1	$66	66	0	+66	Up	+$0	04-20 01:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET	1	$66	66	0	+66	Down	+$0	05-18 01:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 11:45 UTC	2	$61	45	45	+1	Up	+$22	01-08 11:52
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	2	$60	99	0	+99	Yes	+$39	06-11 23:56
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	2	$59	100	100	+0	No	+$7	07-22 07:07
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	2	$57	100	100	+0	Yes	+$3	09-22 13:12
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	4	$56	60	40	+20	Knicks	+$9	11-08 02:21
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$55	100	0	+100	Yes	+$45	08-03 14:32
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 15:45 UTC	2	$52	43	43	+0	Up	+$33	01-13 15:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 15:20:59	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0x902839…
11-15 15:03:40	Solana Up or Down - November 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xdb661d…
11-15 15:03:40	Solana Up or Down - November 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x2307cb…
11-15 15:03:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	37¢	$15	0x9799e0…
11-15 14:46:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x102c8c…
11-15 14:46:44	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x5d6bb4…
11-15 14:27:59	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x4b1049…
11-15 13:50:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x78b5ce…
11-15 13:39:35	Solana Up or Down - November 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x478b98…
11-15 13:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0xf26d29…
11-15 13:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x0d572d…
11-15 13:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x2ccfdf…
11-15 13:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xa5a181…
11-15 13:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x60dfae…
11-15 13:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x47aadf…
11-15 13:21:22	Solana Up or Down - November 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	37	80¢	$30	0xd5dd72…
11-15 13:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0x258e99…
11-15 13:19:05	Solana Up or Down - November 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0xf8fd63…
11-15 13:07:41	Solana Up or Down - November 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x0bbb05…
11-15 13:02:16	Solana Up or Down - November 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xe9d020…
11-15 12:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xf39bd5…
11-15 12:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xfbf8fd…
11-15 12:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xcf649f…
11-15 11:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x1a7b95…
11-15 11:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x655966…
11-15 11:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x2ffcf3…
11-15 11:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x54e79a…
11-15 11:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x9c2ffa…
11-15 10:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x556088…
11-15 10:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xd6d060…
11-15 10:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xab44aa…
11-15 10:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xbce9a4…
11-15 10:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x62c108…
11-15 10:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9f6335…
11-15 10:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x9ecd82…
11-15 10:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x321375…
11-15 10:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x73513c…
11-15 10:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x31fe28…
11-15 09:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xc38e53…
11-15 09:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x155886…
11-15 09:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xffd172…
11-15 07:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x82fe1a…
11-15 07:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xd07c32…
11-15 07:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x53e995…
11-15 06:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x081b3b…
11-15 05:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x6e7d75…
11-15 02:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x7a72d8…
11-14 16:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x118f05…
11-14 16:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x98f31a…
11-14 15:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xaab352…
11-14 15:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x288379…
11-14 13:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x7e2071…
11-14 13:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x7b6ca0…
11-14 13:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x8027b6…
11-14 13:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x6aceac…
11-14 13:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x1237db…
11-14 13:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x15dcef…
11-14 13:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xc1d4ef…
11-14 13:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x6ca623…
11-14 13:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xcfbedc…
11-14 13:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x63c9b5…
11-14 13:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x2965b6…
11-14 13:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xe61411…
11-14 13:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0x72708b…
11-14 13:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x625b76…
11-14 12:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x8745b0…
11-14 12:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x68ef25…
11-14 12:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xed59d0…
11-14 10:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x1466c9…
11-14 10:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xce9f09…
11-14 10:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x98420e…
11-14 10:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xe8a925…
11-14 10:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x26ba0f…
11-14 09:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x9e3584…
11-14 09:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xe101f9…
11-14 08:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xb97535…
11-14 08:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x89e06a…
11-14 08:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x17ef83…
11-14 07:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xdeccde…
11-14 04:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xceada9…
11-14 03:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x1523db…
11-14 03:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x0674c9…
11-14 03:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xd1b0a7…
11-14 03:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x64e486…
11-14 03:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xb3caa6…
11-14 03:16:37	Jazz vs. Rockets	Jazz	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x5aa069…
11-14 03:14:40	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x973d0e…
11-14 03:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x41178d…
11-14 02:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xa08c00…
11-14 02:26:35	Warriors vs. Spurs	Warriors	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xfd79ec…
11-14 02:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x3ad12f…
11-14 01:59:53	Cavaliers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x88758f…
11-14 01:59:04	Jazz vs. Rockets	Jazz	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xb70b51…
11-14 01:58:10	Hawks vs. Bulls	Hawks	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xd64680…
11-13 12:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x7d9b4d…
11-13 12:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x0150d4…
11-13 12:37:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x9c1e06…
11-13 12:37:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0xa7911a…
11-13 12:37:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x3499a0…
11-13 12:32:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x3011f6…