Punctual-Guerrilla — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 05-21 16:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

50% 0% $-13

Other

39% — —

Crypto

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$305	197	197	+0	open	—	04-05 16:32
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	9	$257	1,190	1,190	+0	open	—	04-29 14:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$127	1,505	1,505	+0	open	—	04-09 19:31
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	3	$110	105	105	+0	open	—	04-06 11:04
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	4	$67	208	208	+0	open	—	04-07 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$52	28	28	+0	open	—	05-21 15:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$49	55	54	+1	open	—	04-06 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	05-21 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$39	156	0	+156	open	—	05-21 16:05
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$34	25	25	+0	open	—	03-28 22:00
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?	4	$31	119	119	+0	open	—	04-06 23:55
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?	3	$23	117	0	+117	open	—	04-07 13:47
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	2	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	04-07 13:47
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?	2	$10	33	33	+0	open	—	04-07 13:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	$-10	05-09 19:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$3	3,400	0	+3,400	Yes	$-3	05-09 19:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 16:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	156	25¢	$39	0x26552b…
05-21 16:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x9aa6e8…
05-21 15:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	28	95¢	$27	0x7c8661…
05-21 15:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x66af1d…
05-09 19:41:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,400	0¢	$2	0xc036b1…
05-09 19:35:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf99442…
05-09 19:31:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x1494f4…
04-29 14:06:10	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	Yes	SELL	375	4¢	$13	0x5cb95c…
04-09 19:32:13	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	Yes	BUY	375	15¢	$55	0xd7144d…
04-09 19:31:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,505	4¢	$55	0x579149…
04-09 19:29:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,505	5¢	$72	0xcc1c34…
04-09 19:29:13	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	Yes	SELL	670	11¢	$72	0x8fb16d…
04-07 20:15:15	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	Yes	BUY	115	14¢	$17	0x6119b4…
04-07 20:15:01	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	Yes	SELL	208	8¢	$17	0x2642ed…
04-07 13:47:57	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?	Yes	BUY	66	21¢	$14	0xfb84cb…
04-07 13:47:41	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?	Yes	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0x35fe8e…
04-07 13:47:35	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	SELL	15	58¢	$9	0x00791f…
04-06 23:55:23	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	Yes	BUY	69	14¢	$9	0x25eb52…
04-06 23:55:07	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?	Yes	SELL	78	12¢	$9	0xcba46f…
04-06 14:06:15	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?	Yes	BUY	23	19¢	$4	0x3508bb…
04-06 14:05:09	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x174b9c…
04-06 14:02:45	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xa3e4c6…
04-06 14:02:13	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?	Yes	SELL	42	12¢	$5	0x1aa364…
04-06 13:59:21	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?	Yes	BUY	80	14¢	$11	0xc127d4…
04-06 13:54:51	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	Yes	SELL	145	10¢	$15	0x0605d2…
04-06 13:53:47	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?	Yes	BUY	39	14¢	$5	0x2da297…
04-06 13:52:53	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xb25622…
04-06 13:49:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	54	41¢	$22	0xa65e3d…
04-06 11:17:53	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	Yes	BUY	209	12¢	$25	0xfd5555…
04-06 11:16:57	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	Yes	BUY	400	12¢	$48	0x144dc2…
04-06 11:15:25	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	Yes	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0xe0fca1…
04-06 11:04:49	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	No	SELL	105	72¢	$76	0xc400e0…
04-05 16:47:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	55	49¢	$27	0xd1ff0e…
04-05 16:38:17	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	No	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x143807…
04-05 16:38:01	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x64ff9a…
04-05 16:32:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	148	100¢	$147	0x52e95a…
03-29 19:19:04	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	Yes	BUY	96	25¢	$24	0x59d8c4…
03-29 19:18:38	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	Yes	BUY	38	24¢	$9	0xfddbbd…
03-29 19:18:18	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	49	67¢	$33	0xbf6c47…
03-29 19:12:18	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	Yes	BUY	74	24¢	$18	0xa3751b…
03-29 19:07:24	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x7e5ea7…
03-28 22:00:58	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	97	60¢	$58	0xbfd717…
03-28 22:00:34	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	25	67¢	$17	0x13958f…
03-28 21:59:38	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0x1fccd6…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	13	$163.8K	2,792	05-08 17:02
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	13	$83.0K	5,562	05-09 05:57
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	13	$32.6K	2,673	04-30 18:14
High-Alarm 0x9238…b73e	13	$26.3K	472	05-08 19:27
(anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d	13	$8.94K	851	04-26 03:13
(anonymous) 0x50a3…0a78	13	$1.01K	128	04-20 19:41
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	12	$3.64M	2,971	05-09 12:49
Demanding-Chopsticks 0x8f69…7df1	12	$370.2K	1,729	05-08 18:35