Superior-Greenhouse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$50

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

57.2%

Resolved

1,742

Trades

2,399

lifetime

Volume

$2.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$25

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 11-01 17:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 157 days

Categories

Other

88% 58% -$17

Politics

11% 83% +$69

Crypto

1% 35% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		-35	-$16	72¢	$-25	-$9	05-29 09:16
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes		-7	-$1	4¢	$-0	+$1	05-29 13:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on June 2?	4	$201	199	199	+0	No	-$1	06-02 19:58
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$101	62	62	+0	Yes	+$21	04-07 13:20
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$70	40	40	+0	No	+$10	04-29 19:30
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$58	34	34	+0	No	+$8	04-12 18:33
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$46	84	0	+84	Yes	+$38	01-29 21:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	2	$23	27	27	+0	Yes	-$16	04-18 08:17
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-23 12:39
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$16	0	35	-35	open	—	05-29 09:16
will elon musk testify against altman	1	$15	19	0	+19	Yes	+$4	04-28 15:00
Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?	1	$15	18	0	+18	Yes	+$3	04-28 14:58
X banned in any European country by December 31?	1	$11	0	19	-19	open	—	05-29 09:17
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?	2	$10	6	6	+0	No	+$2	05-21 13:35
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$8	18	0	+18	No	-$8	01-10 21:06
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 9?	4	$6	4	4	+0	No	+$1	07-09 20:12
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 9?	4	$6	5	5	+0	No	+$1	07-09 19:13
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 30?	5	$5	9	0	+9	No	-$5	05-30 11:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-07 20:47
highest temperature in austin on july 9 2026 96 97f	4	$4	4	4	+0	No	+$0	07-09 20:11
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 21?	2	$4	4	4	+0	Yes	+$2	10-21 19:52
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 19?	2	$4	3	3	+0	No	+$2	10-18 20:03
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 23?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	10-23 07:14
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 10?	3	$4	3	2	+2	No	+$1	07-09 16:15
highest temperature in austin on july 9 2026 98 99f	2	$4	3	3	+0	No	+$2	07-09 22:57
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on May 9?	4	$4	8	5	+2	No	-$2	05-08 20:27
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 1?	3	$4	6	3	+3	Yes	-$4	06-01 23:47
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on July 9?	2	$4	3	3	+0	No	+$1	07-09 01:57
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 26?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	05-26 13:13
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 12?	3	$3	4	2	+2	No	$0	06-12 10:28
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 21?	2	$3	4	4	+0	Yes	+$2	10-21 05:42
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 19?	2	$3	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	10-19 10:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 17:26:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on November 3?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x08a8df…
11-01 16:56:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 1?	No	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xfdac3e…
11-01 16:54:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on November 3?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xfcad8b…
11-01 15:33:34	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on November 2?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8c0d83…
11-01 11:29:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on November 2?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xcccf5d…
11-01 09:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on November 2?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe483cb…
11-01 07:17:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on November 2?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf40beb…
11-01 05:58:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0x18b746…
11-01 05:35:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 1?	No	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0xd98f39…
11-01 05:29:57	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on November 2?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe819a9…
11-01 04:36:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 2?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x47e07a…
11-01 04:14:19	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on November 1?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x106912…
11-01 04:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on November 1?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x94ba7f…
11-01 02:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x45f6a9…
11-01 01:41:43	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on November 1?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x52d58b…
11-01 01:30:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 2?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x530ec4…
11-01 01:28:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x2b666c…
11-01 01:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x84bc3a…
10-31 22:48:01	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on November 2?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x72e30f…
10-31 20:59:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x53e10e…
10-31 20:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on November 1?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xe98318…
10-31 20:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf2ca1f…
10-31 19:22:03	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x46e05f…
10-31 18:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on November 2?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa034e1…
10-31 17:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7d367f…
10-31 17:33:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on November 2?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa41880…
10-31 17:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfac439…
10-31 16:56:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xec2899…
10-31 15:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa7a9cf…
10-31 14:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on November 1?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x67a278…
10-31 12:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on November 1?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x64dbbe…
10-31 10:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 1?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x139f8b…
10-31 09:07:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 31?	No	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x725f83…
10-31 09:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on November 1?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0058b3…
10-31 08:53:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x875566…
10-31 08:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on October 31?	No	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x2463a9…
10-31 05:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x50b3ec…
10-31 05:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on November 1?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x0c6e22…
10-31 05:18:13	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on November 1?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7979ac…
10-31 04:47:19	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on November 1?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x013d08…
10-31 04:44:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on November 1?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x129801…
10-31 04:33:15	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on November 1?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf90586…
10-31 03:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xca3c98…
10-31 03:49:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 1?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5dff38…
10-31 02:03:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x003030…
10-31 00:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb8f538…
10-30 23:59:37	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0e73bf…
10-30 22:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 31?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xcaaac2…
10-30 19:29:09	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 30?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x328c48…
10-30 17:17:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x96cbf0…
10-30 16:47:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x85e1a0…
10-30 16:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 31?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe71128…
10-30 13:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 22°C on October 31?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xad6112…
10-30 12:43:46	Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on October 31?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x98b098…
10-30 12:38:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xbfa3ae…
10-30 11:54:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on October 31?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8aa49a…
10-30 07:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 31?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xca2c78…
10-30 05:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xba7257…
10-30 04:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xade66a…
10-30 03:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 31?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0b3473…
10-30 02:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf78a33…
10-30 02:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x48ffce…
10-29 23:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfca139…
10-29 21:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or higher on October 31?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc52633…
10-29 21:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 29?	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$1	0x759848…
10-29 20:18:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x942d18…
10-29 19:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6eff33…
10-29 19:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 29?	Yes	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x9a3b71…
10-29 17:52:35	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 29?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xde0712…
10-29 17:38:35	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 29?	Yes	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x150ea2…
10-29 17:27:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 31?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x66b4ba…
10-29 17:22:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on October 31?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb327e9…
10-29 17:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x333cce…
10-29 16:16:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb0a96d…
10-29 15:57:35	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 29?	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x8373c6…
10-29 15:26:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 31?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb4f941…
10-29 14:31:26	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on October 30?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa0e949…
10-29 14:24:07	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 30?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc61285…
10-29 14:24:02	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on October 30?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf4d6ca…
10-29 12:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on October 30?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4b55f1…
10-29 11:20:32	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x2d0ea2…
10-29 10:52:31	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 29?	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xce6171…
10-29 07:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	No	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x225aa3…
10-29 07:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 29?	No	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x5c7555…
10-29 07:26:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4384ed…
10-29 05:36:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 29?	No	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x18bfb6…
10-29 05:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 30?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe8fe20…
10-29 04:38:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 30?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x3e6cce…
10-29 03:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 30?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xdfce53…
10-29 02:22:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xace060…
10-29 01:35:44	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 30?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x4fd7da…
10-28 22:59:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x479904…
10-28 20:33:23	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd2763a…
10-28 20:14:01	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on October 30?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x0fd382…
10-28 19:37:31	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on October 29?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc67f74…
10-28 19:35:25	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on October 29?	No	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0xd1821a…
10-28 19:34:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C or higher on October 29?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe28e47…
10-28 18:34:11	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 30?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x4a8945…
10-28 17:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x684950…
10-28 17:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 30?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x78798e…