Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$234
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
663
lifetime
Volume
$224.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$338
Open exposure
$5.00K
5 positions
First seen
2026-06-25
last 07-17 02:54
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Tech
53%
Politics
26%
Other
16%
Sports
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +10,051 $2,235 22¢ $2.3K +$26 07-16 22:46
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +6,977 $1,545 22¢ $1.5K $-45 07-16 22:47
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +1,605 $792 56¢ $891 +$99 07-10 13:55
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +428 $316 76¢ $325 +$10 07-10 13:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +2,500 $350 $26 $-324 07-11 16:03