Lopsided-Survivor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.5%

Resolved

Trades

131

lifetime

Volume

$878

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 05-21 10:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 38% $-11

Other

34% 100% +$5

Politics

2% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
World Championships: Slovenia vs. Czechia	1	$200	241	0	+241	open	—	05-16 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	18	$96	70	61	+9	Up	$-4	05-10 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	16	$88	62	54	+8	Down	$-2	05-10 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	15	$88	84	72	+11	Down	+$2	05-10 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	9	$52	55	26	+29	Up	$-8	05-10 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	5	$42	29	29	+0	open	—	05-19 06:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	8	$41	270	270	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 08:28
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$39	65	65	+0	open	—	05-08 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	5	$29	23	23	+0	Down	$-1	05-10 08:37
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 15?	3	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	05-15 19:10
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 18?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	05-18 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	3	$20	24	16	+8	open	—	05-19 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	3	$15	11	6	+5	open	—	05-21 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	3	$15	21	8	+13	open	—	05-19 06:23
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 18?	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-18 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	05-19 10:15
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	2	$8	8	8	+0	Yes	$-0	05-08 06:17
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 15?	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-15 12:17
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	3	$7	816	816	+0	open	—	05-07 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	5	$6	5	4	+1	Down	+$1	05-10 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	05-19 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$5	193	0	+193	open	—	05-21 10:59
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-02 09:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-18 21:11
Will Donald Trump dance on May 2, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-02 11:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$4	4,269	0	+4,269	open	—	05-19 11:49
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-18 12:01
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 14?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	05-14 09:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	Down	$-1	05-10 08:51
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	2	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	05-09 10:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 10:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	193	3¢	$5	0x9aca7e…
05-21 10:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1d7f17…
05-21 10:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x05cb2f…
05-21 10:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xbc8fc9…
05-20 15:41:06	World Championships: Czechia vs. Italy	Czechia	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x516e33…
05-20 09:15:18	World Championships: USA vs. Germany	USA	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xb8c3d0…
05-19 11:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4,269	0¢	$4	0x6e5c32…
05-19 10:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x49eeb6…
05-19 10:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc0eff1…
05-19 10:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x3cb67e…
05-19 06:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x29f4b3…
05-19 06:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x0dddbf…
05-19 06:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa51ede…
05-19 06:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xa130cc…
05-19 06:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xfc5d35…
05-19 06:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x005632…
05-19 06:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x648d57…
05-19 06:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x04bb77…
05-19 06:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	16	66¢	$10	0x52e080…
05-19 06:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x23341a…
05-19 06:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xd45a36…
05-18 21:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xbfc1c5…
05-18 19:33:07	World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechia	Czechia	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xbe8c88…
05-18 19:20:03	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 19?	No	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x26d762…
05-18 13:37:57	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 19?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4ca25f…
05-18 12:10:34	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x445a4e…
05-18 12:03:08	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x787b31…
05-18 12:01:14	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x9a3972…
05-18 09:30:25	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x988a33…
05-18 09:29:48	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x62ed3d…
05-16 18:57:38	World Championships: Slovenia vs. Czechia	Czechia	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x76f1d1…
05-15 19:10:05	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x8a99e7…
05-15 15:16:15	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x212e04…
05-15 12:17:59	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0xfb5b5e…
05-15 12:17:12	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x7272db…
05-15 07:43:49	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x769ea3…
05-14 09:32:49	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x7de9fe…
05-10 08:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x780ea3…
05-10 08:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xc794db…
05-10 08:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xbff47e…
05-10 08:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdd91ad…
05-10 08:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x97dc7c…
05-10 08:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x8354f3…
05-10 08:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4253b3…
05-10 08:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0306fa…
05-10 08:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0xc13314…
05-10 08:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x2fbb1b…
05-10 08:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0x1bbd5a…
05-10 08:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf3cf04…
05-10 08:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x863b8a…
05-10 08:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd61759…
05-10 08:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x5e5559…
05-10 08:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xd63259…
05-10 08:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x6434c6…
05-10 08:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x069776…
05-10 08:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	14	52¢	$7	0x4b4100…
05-10 08:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x8a631a…
05-10 08:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xa5c758…
05-10 08:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x66cb9d…
05-10 08:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x9747f9…
05-10 08:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	18	29¢	$5	0xef48d4…
05-10 08:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x872207…
05-10 08:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	19	72¢	$14	0xc4dbec…
05-10 08:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc91ad0…
05-10 08:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xf145ba…
05-10 08:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	250	2¢	$5	0x7a4590…
05-10 08:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x0fb55e…
05-10 08:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0xa32654…
05-10 08:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xcaf07a…
05-10 08:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x81d77a…
05-10 08:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xdb62c0…
05-10 08:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	71¢	$6	0x8725bc…
05-10 08:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x56f6a4…
05-10 08:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x96366b…
05-10 08:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x810700…
05-10 08:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0xef552a…
05-10 08:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xc97209…
05-10 08:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	14	82¢	$12	0x882b6a…
05-10 08:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x28d302…
05-10 08:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x04c2d3…
05-10 08:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x10b73e…
05-10 08:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x47bd7a…
05-10 08:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x66cd39…
05-10 08:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0a5584…
05-10 08:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x11bd0f…
05-10 08:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x2178ad…
05-10 08:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x98b2b2…
05-10 08:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x9f5990…
05-10 08:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x387410…
05-10 08:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0xa1e374…
05-10 08:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x83f2cc…
05-10 08:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x2a7cba…
05-10 08:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa7f2b2…
05-10 08:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0xf3ec99…
05-10 08:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x3de2bc…
05-10 08:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	11	50¢	$6	0x704322…
05-10 08:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x73df2b…
05-10 08:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0xf2e3b0…
05-10 08:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6c9cae…
05-10 08:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xba6da8…