Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.1%

Resolved

Trades

4,486

lifetime

Volume

$244.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 04-28 10:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

60% 50% +$10

Politics

36% 29% $-27

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cbb txtech ala 2026 03 22	21	$14.7K	15,326	14,673	+653	open	—	03-22 08:40
cbb ucla uconn 2026 03 22	14	$11.0K	15,000	15,000	+0	open	—	03-22 14:51
cbb txtech ala 2026 03 22 spread home 1pt5	11	$9.5K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	03-21 17:07
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	81	$8.7K	8,567	6,813	+1,754	open	—	01-26 15:16
cbb ucf ucla 2026 03 20	3	$7.4K	6,000	3,000	+3,000	open	—	03-21 00:37
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by january 31	44	$6.6K	6,019	2,859	+3,160	open	—	01-26 15:15
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	9	$6.4K	9,592	0	+9,592	open	—	02-28 06:07
will alex honnold not complete a free solo of taipei 101 by january 31	97	$5.5K	5,733	2,673	+3,060	open	—	01-25 02:07
iran strike on us military by january 31	38	$5.3K	4,102	3,310	+791	open	—	01-31 17:23
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	31	$4.8K	6,490	3,818	+2,671	open	—	01-14 22:19
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	40	$4.1K	3,512	2,712	+800	open	—	02-23 20:57
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours 578 355	109	$3.7K	4,473	1,235	+3,239	open	—	01-25 02:42
israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	53	$3.4K	3,572	3,361	+211	open	—	02-28 06:18
cbb vcu ill 2026 03 21	2	$3.1K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	03-21 22:42
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	42	$2.9K	3,133	3,133	+0	open	—	02-23 05:57
nothing ever happens january 581	37	$2.8K	3,719	2,211	+1,508	open	—	01-26 17:42
us government funding lapse on january 31	83	$2.8K	5,330	1,748	+3,582	open	—	01-30 02:53
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	20	$2.6K	2,930	1,414	+1,517	open	—	01-26 15:51
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	15	$2.5K	3,341	1,304	+2,036	open	—	01-14 22:20
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	18	$2.5K	4,500	1,500	+3,000	open	—	01-14 22:17
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	13	$2.4K	2,400	2,400	+0	open	—	01-14 22:18
cbb utahst vill 2026 03 20	9	$2.4K	3,694	3,694	+0	open	—	03-20 20:44
over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	55	$2.2K	4,956	0	+4,956	open	—	01-10 15:58
will the us next strike iran on february 20 2026 et	25	$2.2K	1,158	1,158	+0	open	—	02-19 05:46
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	8	$2.1K	2,665	2,131	+534	open	—	03-20 17:56
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	23	$2.0K	3,865	335	+3,530	open	—	01-14 22:20
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	36	$1.9K	3,384	0	+3,384	open	—	01-10 15:25
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	19	$1.9K	3,587	0	+3,587	open	—	04-08 00:39
will global temperature increase by between 1pt15c and 1pt19c in january 2026	65	$1.9K	1,684	1,617	+68	open	—	02-07 19:20
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by january 31 2026 147	39	$1.7K	3,221	344	+2,877	open	—	01-29 16:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-28 10:48:38	Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x86c2c3…
04-27 15:52:26	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Something	SELL	77	43¢	$33	0xe4177d…
04-27 05:21:02	Will Reilly Neill be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?	No	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x70408d…
04-27 04:32:38	Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in April 2026?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xac7206…
04-27 04:23:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x491159…
04-27 03:56:24	Will Reilly Neill be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?	No	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x10eed1…
04-27 00:32:46	Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $41,500 (HIGH) by April 30?	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x6b36ba…
04-26 23:00:54	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0xa4a09b…
04-26 21:27:32	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$1	0x1bca9f…
04-26 12:58:46	Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x6b6759…
04-26 12:55:34	Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	112	23¢	$26	0x8ba711…
04-26 09:58:14	Will Adam Perez Arquette be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x620f9d…
04-26 04:55:52	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	38¢	$38	0xb7e85f…
04-26 04:40:30	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	SELL	384	17¢	$65	0x657b70…
04-25 23:06:22	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?	Yes	SELL	35	4¢	$1	0x558e91…
04-25 12:25:40	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	SELL	227	22¢	$50	0x2f8ae1…
04-25 12:05:40	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	SELL	53	21¢	$11	0x3678c8…
04-25 11:14:06	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	173	81¢	$140	0x330b34…
04-25 09:35:10	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by April 30?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0xca09a7…
04-25 07:50:34	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xe99098…
04-25 06:26:40	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x2e7371…
04-25 06:25:42	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	29	95¢	$28	0x55c39b…
04-25 04:50:46	Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	65	23¢	$15	0xc203a4…
04-25 04:50:46	Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	22	23¢	$5	0x160ea0…
04-25 02:03:10	Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	Yes	SELL	35	71¢	$25	0xb15d7f…
04-25 00:32:28	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x6173bb…
04-25 00:17:42	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	201	63¢	$127	0xc9b7e9…
04-25 00:17:42	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0xb8e750…
04-25 00:17:42	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	10	63¢	$7	0x5e7627…
04-25 00:17:42	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	48	63¢	$30	0x557dca…
04-25 00:17:42	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	79	63¢	$50	0x36c97c…
04-25 00:04:46	Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x03d4cf…
04-25 00:03:44	Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xa22f9e…
04-25 00:02:42	Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x90bebd…
04-24 23:54:26	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x097dd2…
04-24 23:20:06	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	14	82¢	$11	0xc84179…
04-24 22:38:56	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	No	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xdbde0e…
04-24 21:07:22	Will Joe Mitchell be the Republican Nominee for IA-02?	Yes	SELL	36	95¢	$34	0x46eeae…
04-24 21:07:10	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	SELL	13	28¢	$4	0xf0a2d5…
04-24 20:21:58	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	SELL	55	19¢	$10	0x19c4d5…
04-24 20:15:04	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x787840…
04-24 20:12:32	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0xdf3f0e…
04-24 20:03:18	Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	No	SELL	50	59¢	$30	0x3d65c5…
04-24 20:03:14	Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	No	SELL	150	59¢	$88	0xa41290…
04-24 19:53:50	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	SELL	88	19¢	$17	0xf16226…
04-24 19:51:14	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0xc5d0a0…
04-24 19:38:18	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x1fd73c…
04-24 19:36:50	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	194	57¢	$111	0x5c24cb…
04-24 19:30:58	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x201bbc…
04-24 19:09:16	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	SELL	19	18¢	$3	0xdd9cd5…
04-24 18:53:54	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x052a5b…
04-24 18:53:46	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	200	1¢	$3	0x78f364…
04-21 12:05:10	highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 12c	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x703a77…
04-17 14:06:26	highest temperature in nyc on april 17 2026 82 83f	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x4a29db…
04-16 23:12:52	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xeb34cc…
04-11 21:59:09	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x4e6758…
04-09 22:13:33	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x634bd5…
04-09 18:10:05	Military action against Iran ends on April 13, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xb72a53…
04-09 15:25:55	Military action against Iran ends on April 13, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xd8ebb8…
04-09 14:05:25	Military action against Iran ends on April 13, 2026?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0xea6036…
04-09 13:20:39	Military action against Iran ends on April 13, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x3811b2…
04-09 10:30:35	Military action against Iran ends on April 13, 2026?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x4abc5e…
04-08 07:58:53	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xd32d25…
04-08 00:39:31	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x80be7e…
04-07 23:33:19	Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x39d5f8…
04-07 22:50:01	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0xabea12…
04-07 22:40:51	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x62acdc…
04-07 22:33:17	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x20f8e7…
04-07 22:20:23	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x76fdde…
04-07 22:04:45	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xfe1bcc…
04-07 22:03:47	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x99d8cd…
04-07 21:35:01	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x52a66f…
04-07 21:33:59	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xf8f140…
04-07 21:07:17	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x3f0280…
04-07 20:33:33	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	194	85¢	$165	0x45a82c…
04-07 20:18:21	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x68dbff…
04-07 20:07:25	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xe930f4…
04-07 20:04:31	will fidesz kdnp win 70 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x930940…
04-07 19:14:59	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xdc054c…
04-07 17:47:19	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x2171a4…
04-07 14:48:37	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x3ae5a5…
04-07 09:55:41	atp etcheve dimitro 2026 04 06	Tomas Etcheverry	BUY	994	68¢	$676	0xd924ad…
04-07 09:55:27	atp etcheve dimitro 2026 04 06	Tomas Etcheverry	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xd13242…
04-07 09:10:53	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Something	BUY	77	31¢	$24	0x876692…
04-07 00:01:41	Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $41,500 (HIGH) by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x77cdc2…
04-06 22:15:37	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xeb86f7…
04-06 20:51:13	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	BUY	85	64¢	$54	0xb08ffe…
04-06 19:23:15	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0xb79abb…
04-06 17:47:49	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	No	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x564454…
04-06 17:21:53	Claude 4.7 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	13	59¢	$8	0x93a8f6…
04-06 14:40:33	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x79b903…
04-06 08:07:49	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by June 30?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x3fa6cf…
04-06 07:52:29	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x766564…
04-06 05:32:13	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x49923d…
04-06 04:15:55	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xea8c11…
04-05 22:02:01	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	No	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x8f7963…
04-05 21:14:15	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xb32c09…
04-05 19:43:33	Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xe36eb8…
04-05 15:35:09	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0xeb9e9a…
04-05 14:48:07	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x6f1962…