Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

84.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$60

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 09-18 10:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

40% 91% +$5

Politics

36% 67% +$0

Sports

12% 50% -$1

Crypto

10% 75% +$9

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No		+60	$59	99¢	$59	+$0	09-18 10:05
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		+60	$1	1¢	$1	$0	09-18 10:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$120	120	120	+0	No	+$0	06-27 22:28
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$100	100	100	+0	open	—	08-21 12:47
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	5	$100	100	100	+0	open	—	09-08 02:20
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	4	$79	40	40	+0	No	$0	07-11 15:07
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$60	120	0	+120	open	—	09-18 10:05
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$50	100	0	+100	No	+$0	07-24 08:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	06-14 15:08
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$50	120	120	+0	open	—	08-28 21:07
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	3	$40	50	50	+0	open	—	07-02 21:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-12 17:32
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	2	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-12 10:21
will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	06-29 09:19
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	05-30 10:19
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on May 31?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-30 10:22
will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-29 09:20
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-02 20:50
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$20	19	6	+13	Yes	+$3	01-27 17:37
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	06-29 09:20
bitcoin above 62k on july 11 2026	1	$16	16	0	+16	Yes	+$0	07-11 09:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 18:00 UTC	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	03-15 18:05
will bitcoin dip to 46k june 29 july 5 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	07-02 20:48
bitcoin above 60k on june 12 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	06-12 10:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 17:50 UTC	2	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$7	03-15 17:53
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	09-06 20:38
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	01-27 18:33
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	01-30 17:36
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	08-28 21:09
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$8	8	0	+8	Yes	+$0	05-30 10:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-30 10:18
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-30 10:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-18 10:05:01	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xea414b…
09-18 10:04:49	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xb226ba…
09-08 02:20:49	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x69b6eb…
09-07 03:57:04	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	42	92¢	$39	0xf352f2…
09-06 22:12:43	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0xf7c94f…
09-06 20:38:57	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8e9ebd…
09-02 19:54:07	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x8d4c89…
08-28 23:02:55	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xe6920b…
08-28 22:15:12	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xfb83f0…
08-28 21:09:00	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcdb0d5…
08-28 21:07:15	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	60	15¢	$9	0x90e2e8…
08-21 12:47:52	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xeed73d…
08-19 22:46:09	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xbbd14b…
08-15 18:52:48	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x165b34…
08-03 20:47:51	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfe0f27…
08-02 12:41:06	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x911774…
07-30 19:08:59	val ef fnc1 2026 07 30	Eternal Fire	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xbf1989…
07-24 08:23:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x84372a…
07-23 22:50:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x8891fd…
07-23 20:21:40	atp wolf wong 2026 07 22	J.J. Wolf	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x981a3c…
07-16 20:36:52	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0xcff33a…
07-16 18:46:31	atp jong baez 2026 07 16	Sebastian Baez	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xeee945…
07-11 15:07:08	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x66dd9d…
07-11 13:51:31	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfc9271…
07-11 12:52:07	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xe34737…
07-11 12:51:58	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xa935e3…
07-11 09:59:35	lol hle1 ly 2026 07 11	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xc94e40…
07-11 09:57:16	bitcoin above 62k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb18eaf…
07-06 23:29:46	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x6d5705…
07-06 17:41:22	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa89a3a…
07-02 21:26:49	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	45	40¢	$18	0xaba29c…
07-02 21:26:25	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x90c979…
07-02 20:51:31	mlb mia col 2026 07 02	Colorado Rockies	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4464e6…
07-02 20:50:49	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1d805d…
07-02 20:49:35	wti up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6a88cd…
07-02 20:48:40	will bitcoin dip to 46k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xadaa61…
07-02 20:47:23	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xc2c6bc…
06-29 09:20:53	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x139ca8…
06-29 09:20:16	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x042402…
06-29 09:19:32	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x54a5c1…
06-27 22:28:28	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	60	11¢	$7	0x295a62…
06-24 22:14:37	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	60	89¢	$54	0x0c98bc…
06-24 21:22:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5053a3…
06-22 09:41:28	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	60	12¢	$8	0xf582ca…
06-21 01:59:41	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	60	87¢	$52	0xdc924f…
06-20 20:19:40	cs2 ts7 fal2 2026 06 20	Team Falcons	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x01ffa2…
06-20 20:17:22	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	60	23¢	$14	0xd84abd…
06-17 22:23:31	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	60	24¢	$15	0x5b0ff2…
06-17 19:50:01	spy up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x889dd7…
06-17 19:48:28	dota2 amaru lgd 2026 06 17	LGD Gaming	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x078aaf…
06-17 19:45:35	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06	New York Yankees	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0xe40d15…
06-14 15:08:21	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xcc1c79…
06-12 17:32:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x9b486b…
06-12 10:24:16	bitcoin above 60k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x35c8a7…
06-12 10:23:36	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x008dc7…
06-12 10:21:51	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x786def…
06-07 19:58:09	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06	New York Yankees	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x6d1086…
06-07 19:57:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x7709ed…
06-07 19:57:18	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x9321a8…
06-07 19:56:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x9ebaac…
05-30 10:22:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x72006f…
05-30 10:22:31	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x710076…
05-30 10:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on May 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9d7e20…
05-30 10:19:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xceee2e…
05-30 10:18:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xfcc03c…
03-15 18:05:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 18:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x968780…
03-15 18:01:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xcd0101…
03-15 17:56:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xeed63f…
03-15 17:53:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 17:50 UTC	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8784d5…
03-15 17:51:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x7a7d86…
01-30 17:36:54	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x88cfc3…
01-30 17:36:06	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x58cc1d…
01-27 18:33:23	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x58022a…
01-27 17:37:43	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x3aa0da…
01-27 17:33:41	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x078a07…
01-27 17:28:49	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x182447…
01-27 17:28:11	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xc85fde…