Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$85

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

4.2%

Resolved

Trades

637

lifetime

Volume

$4.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$292

14 positions

First seen

2026-10-04

last 10-27 03:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

79% 10% -$67

Politics

16% 0% -$12

Tech

3% 0% -$4

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

0% 0% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 171 trades/day

Open positions (14) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	+145	$73	78¢	$112	+$39	10-07 14:51
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	+40	$35	96¢	$38	+$3	10-07 01:11
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	Yes	+145	$74	22¢	$33	-$41	10-07 14:51
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No	+38	$25	63¢	$24	-$1	10-11 23:57
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	+20	$13	94¢	$19	+$5	10-10 03:54
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	Yes	+38	$14	37¢	$14	+$0	10-11 23:57
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	+20	$16	56¢	$11	-$5	10-05 15:56
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	Yes	+20	$14	56¢	$11	-$2	10-10 22:35
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	No	+20	$7	44¢	$9	+$2	10-10 22:35
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	+20	$7	44¢	$9	+$2	10-05 15:38
us iran hormuz agreement by december 31	No	+9	$6	68¢	$6	+$0	10-14 17:03
us iran hormuz agreement by december 31	Yes	+9	$3	32¢	$3	$0	10-14 17:03
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	Yes	+40	$6	4¢	$2	-$4	10-07 01:11
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	+20	$7	5¢	$1	-$6	10-10 03:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7?	22	$148	293	0	+293	Yes	-$1	10-07 16:34
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	16	$147	290	0	+290	open	—	10-07 14:51
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 7?	14	$106	212	0	+212	Yes	-$1	10-07 12:44
Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?	8	$82	160	0	+160	Yes	-$2	10-06 16:25
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 7?	16	$82	163	0	+163	Yes	-$1	10-07 09:41
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 7?	13	$73	139	0	+139	No	-$3	10-07 06:48
will the uss george washington depart centcom by november 30 2026	6	$63	120	0	+120	open	—	10-15 00:26
Will "Club Kid" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	6	$62	120	0	+120	open	—	10-16 15:21
rahul gandhi arrested by december 31 2026	11	$61	119	0	+119	open	—	10-13 17:00
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 8?	8	$60	119	0	+119	Yes	-$1	10-08 04:08
Will 3M (MMM) beat quarterly earnings?	5	$46	80	0	+80	Yes	-$6	10-14 09:14
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 8?	7	$46	90	0	+90	Yes	-$1	10-08 02:57
NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?	5	$43	80	0	+80	Yes	-$3	10-13 21:17
Will Dua Lipa headline Coachella 2027?	4	$42	80	0	+80	open	—	10-09 21:33
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 8?	6	$42	80	0	+80	Yes	-$2	10-07 19:43
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	4	$41	80	0	+80	open	—	10-05 14:40
Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?	6	$41	80	0	+80	open	—	10-10 18:11
Will SZA headline Coachella 2027?	4	$41	80	0	+80	open	—	10-09 07:37
Will SI.gov launch by October 15?	4	$41	80	0	+80	Yes	-$1	10-08 04:43
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	4	$41	80	0	+80	Yes	-$1	10-10 00:18
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	4	$41	80	0	+80	open	—	10-07 01:11
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 7?	5	$41	80	0	+80	No	-$1	10-07 03:45
Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	4	$41	80	0	+80	open	—	10-10 22:12
will republicans win the iowa kansas and nebraska senate seats	4	$41	80	0	+80	open	—	10-16 13:38
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	4	$40	80	0	+80	open	—	10-13 19:06
Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez?	5	$40	80	0	+80	open	—	10-12 09:48
Will Meta's Watermelon model debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?	4	$40	80	0	+80	Yes	$0	10-12 21:46
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 7?	5	$40	80	0	+80	Yes	$0	10-07 05:14
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	4	$39	76	0	+76	open	—	10-11 23:57
Will Clavicular visit Germany in 2026?	2	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	10-24 10:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 03:56:20	Will the biggest earthquake on October 26, 2026 be under 5.3?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x75ceff…
10-27 03:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xf0a009…
10-27 03:35:30	Will Erwin Wiens win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xdfce6a…
10-27 03:34:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x37ef52…
10-27 03:29:23	Scorigami in Week 7 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xf71a2f…
10-27 02:54:27	Will Arvind Choudhary win the 2026 Oakville mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x708720…
10-27 02:54:26	Will Arvind Choudhary win the 2026 Oakville mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x18c554…
10-27 02:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xbc3504…
10-27 02:11:12	Will Jim Lee win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xfce1f5…
10-27 02:04:53	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x4522ac…
10-27 01:51:50	Will Kat Pasquach win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x2d9cdc…
10-27 01:50:59	Will Drew Dilkens win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x507fbb…
10-27 01:47:45	Will Drew Dilkens win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x3edb92…
10-27 01:45:27	Will Ken Yee Chew win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x22513f…
10-27 01:40:08	Will Rory Nisan win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x5485be…
10-27 01:24:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x7045af…
10-27 01:18:59	Will Ken Yee Chew win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xfdf3cd…
10-27 01:12:17	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x8dabfc…
10-27 01:09:41	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xe76741…
10-27 01:06:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x16e408…
10-27 01:01:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x42ca9f…
10-27 00:27:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xff5ca1…
10-27 00:14:50	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2900 and $4.2999 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x9dc201…
10-26 23:16:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x8fcb5a…
10-26 23:02:23	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x7c33d7…
10-26 23:02:23	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x597eec…
10-26 22:33:45	Will Ewa Pajor win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x79a3d2…
10-26 22:33:44	Will Ewa Pajor win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0xb3da08…
10-26 22:33:41	Will Ewa Pajor win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x60a6b3…
10-26 22:33:02	Will Ewa Pajor win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x26c022…
10-26 22:31:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x99008e…
10-26 22:29:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe9b4c8…
10-26 22:29:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc83ac6…
10-26 22:29:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xb499a4…
10-26 22:29:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x29eff1…
10-26 22:04:59	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22.5M and $24M?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x608cea…
10-26 22:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x51772e…
10-26 22:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x235c69…
10-26 19:59:02	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa944fb…
10-26 19:55:32	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe01a7d…
10-26 19:54:00	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x1819ab…
10-26 19:35:47	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x68ad80…
10-26 19:30:05	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x14b00a…
10-26 19:09:50	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2900 and $4.2999 on October 27?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x1b7ad8…
10-26 19:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x729e77…
10-26 19:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0x9f5789…
10-26 19:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x19d706…
10-26 18:55:14	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on October 26?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$3	0x8629c0…
10-26 18:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on October 26?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$16	0x52b170…
10-26 18:06:11	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x08268a…
10-26 17:27:24	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe61e2f…
10-24 10:48:50	Will Diable play for JD Gaming in 2027?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xc72f2c…
10-24 10:48:50	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on October 31?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xadff3b…
10-24 10:48:50	France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x7c47ef…
10-24 10:48:50	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-05 House election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x505d5b…
10-24 10:48:48	Will William Eklund record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x81b2ba…
10-24 10:48:48	Will Clavicular visit Germany in 2026?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x67f378…
10-24 10:48:48	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 40.0 on October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x0beda6…
10-24 06:07:27	Will Iran target Oman by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x2fc1df…
10-23 21:58:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-08 House election?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x9ff253…
10-23 18:01:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-08 House election?	Yes	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0xba44b3…
10-23 17:00:17	Will Iran target Oman by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x690cd8…
10-23 15:31:23	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026-27 NHL Presidents' Trophy?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0xdea066…
10-23 15:31:23	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026-27 NHL Presidents' Trophy?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xdcbff1…
10-23 13:16:02	Will Monza finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xd394fd…
10-23 08:32:53	Will Iran target Oman by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x2234ad…
10-23 08:25:59	France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x7eaf3e…
10-23 08:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x4f7859…
10-23 08:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 23?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0xce8f96…
10-23 08:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 23?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xac24a1…
10-23 08:08:06	Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x7b6a3e…
10-23 07:27:51	Will Monza finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xb1fb8e…
10-23 07:11:42	Will Diable play for JD Gaming in 2027?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x2281b0…
10-23 06:50:03	Will CCa win the most seats in Las Palmas in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xf1dfca…
10-23 06:08:02	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 10°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x33d137…
10-23 06:05:38	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 24?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc248a0…
10-23 06:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 24?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x161945…
10-23 06:04:39	Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x64a143…
10-23 06:04:08	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x8e0dd2…
10-23 05:47:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x893ffd…
10-23 05:47:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x2b3c4e…
10-23 05:42:35	Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on October 24?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x8a8a62…
10-23 05:42:33	Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xca179a…
10-23 05:05:39	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026-27 NHL Presidents' Trophy?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x7ef186…
10-23 04:44:02	Will AJ Dybantsa lead the NBA in Player Efficiency Rating (PER) in 2026-27?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xf193be…
10-23 03:31:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x4c1db7…
10-23 03:24:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 23?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xe8236f…
10-23 03:15:17	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-05 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x829421…
10-23 03:09:50	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on October 31?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x89f5a4…
10-23 02:49:18	Will William Eklund record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x2f2d41…
10-23 01:05:56	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-08 House election?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x6e70b2…
10-23 00:17:14	trump approval rating at least 40pt0 on october 30 2026	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xff3065…
10-23 00:17:08	trump approval rating at least 40pt0 on october 30 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2157b2…
10-23 00:16:57	Will Clavicular visit Germany in 2026?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x705f31…
10-21 16:00:26	Next Mistral Large (4.1+) released by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x2aa202…
10-17 15:45:42	will iran target an arab country by october 31 2026 20261015	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xb48f1d…
10-16 18:11:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-02 House election by 35%-40%?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xf35291…
10-16 16:07:06	Next Mistral Large (4.1+) released by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x789fae…
10-16 16:06:06	Will Ken Calvert win the CA-40 House seat?	No	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xb3af31…
10-16 16:06:06	Will Ken Calvert win the CA-40 House seat?	Yes	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x74c86d…