Realized P&L
+$7
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
57.0%
Resolved
50
Trades
605
lifetime
Volume
$419
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$5
7 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 11-06 21:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Politics
45% 48% -$20
Other
45% 62% +$23
Sports
8% 100% +$3
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
1% 50% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -2 -$1 97¢ $-2 $0 05-02 03:29
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 11-06 21:03
Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 10-29 17:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1 -$1 92¢ $-1 $0 06-17 05:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +1 $0 24¢ $0 $0 11-06 18:46
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2 $1 7¢ $0 -$1 11-06 18:52
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +0 $0 79¢ $0 $0 11-06 18:37