Realized P&L
-$1.78K
Unrealized P&L
+$127
Hit rate
45.9%
Resolved
229
Trades
8,246
lifetime
Volume
$273.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$368
9 positions
First seen
2026-02-26
last 08-11 04:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 101 days
Categories
Politics
90% 42% -$2,797
Other
10% 47% +$1,013
Sports
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +320 $248 87¢ $280 +$32 08-09 14:34
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -284 -$147 13¢ $-36 +$111 05-11 04:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -70 -$27 18¢ $-13 +$15 08-07 17:29
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -40 -$18 28¢ $-11 +$6 04-29 11:23
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 08-03 18:13
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -220 -$7 3¢ $-7 +$0 07-29 17:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +60 $37 12¢ $7 -$30 08-05 18:16
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 Yes +10 $8 35¢ $3 -$5 08-10 16:02
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 Yes +30 $4 4¢ $1 -$3 08-07 14:14