Realized P&L
-$4.08K
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
46.4%
Resolved
172
Trades
1,215
lifetime
Volume
$172.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$142
Open exposure
$1.58K
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-12 04:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 61 days
Categories
Politics
46% 64% -$4,131
Other
41% 56% +$218
Crypto
12% 27% -$186
Tech
1% 86% +$49
Sports
1% 44% -$30
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +600 $557 92¢ $555 -$2 11-12 04:56
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +500 $457 93¢ $466 +$8 11-10 17:27
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +450 $387 89¢ $402 +$15 11-10 21:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +150 $57 46¢ $70 +$13 08-23 10:47
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +59 $48 98¢ $58 +$10 07-19 07:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +300 $77 8¢ $25 -$51 07-24 06:49
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +0 $0 1¢ $0 $0 05-19 23:03