Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$38
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
420
867 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$12.1K
$33.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$26.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 02:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
41% — —
Other
40% 0% -$3
Sports
17% 61% +$110
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +5,153 $4,772 95¢ $4.9K +$126 11-02 09:46
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +4,119 $3,946 97¢ $4.0K +$44 11-02 19:00
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No +2,331 $2,283 98¢ $2.3K -$9 11-03 00:39
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,982 $1,797 89¢ $1.8K -$42 10-30 02:13
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,036 $1,718 85¢ $1.7K +$13 09-04 16:23
US recession by end of 2026? No +1,571 $1,453 94¢ $1.5K +$31 10-29 17:43
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,519 $1,413 96¢ $1.5K +$38 09-05 13:14
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,381 $1,282 88¢ $1.2K -$68 09-09 02:54
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,257 $1,169 94¢ $1.2K +$19 09-04 16:05
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,164 $1,123 96¢ $1.1K $0 11-02 17:49
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +986 $963 97¢ $957 -$6 10-30 10:40
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +892 $872 98¢ $873 +$1 11-02 14:36
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +859 $832 95¢ $820 -$12 11-03 06:15
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +625 $609 99¢ $619 +$10 09-07 23:31
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +586 $568 98¢ $576 +$8 09-08 01:51
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +490 $445 90¢ $438 -$6 10-21 20:42
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,036 $325 15¢ $305 -$20 09-02 18:15
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +5,001 $387 5¢ $248 -$139 11-02 04:30
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,982 $189 11¢ $227 +$38 10-31 00:32
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,381 $107 12¢ $167 +$61 09-08 02:57
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +4,078 $183 3¢ $128 -$55 11-02 02:42
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +1,884 $135 6¢ $104 -$31 11-03 02:44
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,257 $88 6¢ $69 -$19 09-02 18:55
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +1,519 $106 4¢ $68 -$38 09-09 02:29
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +490 $45 11¢ $51 +$7 10-23 06:46
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,986 $52 2¢ $49 -$3 11-02 12:05
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,306 $46 4¢ $46 +$0 11-02 19:26
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +643 $19 5¢ $29 +$10 11-02 21:41
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +986 $24 3¢ $29 +$4 10-29 13:50
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +740 $16 2¢ $16 $0 11-03 02:57