Live-Wound — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$119

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.0%

Resolved

116

Trades

132

lifetime

Volume

$2.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-05 08:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 95% +$1

Other

36% 86% -$121

Politics

4% 80% +$2

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	1	$125	247	0	+247	No	-$125	07-11 06:16
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$69	0	69	-69	No	$0	01-13 01:16
ice shooter charged by march 31	2	$54	35	35	+0	No	+$4	01-20 05:28
Will ByteDance be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$51	51	0	+51	No	+$0	09-12 02:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 6?	1	$51	51	0	+51	No	+$0	10-05 08:56
nothing ever happens microstrategy	2	$41	26	26	+0	No	+$0	01-25 06:52
will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	01-27 03:49
Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	2	$38	20	18	+2	No	$0	04-09 02:24
will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	2	$36	18	18	+0	No	$0	08-20 02:13
will xrp dip to 0pt2 in august 2026	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	08-22 06:34
will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	2	$33	17	16	+1	No	$0	08-20 02:13
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$0	01-27 03:49
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$26	18	18	+0	No	+$2	01-20 05:28
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$26	15	15	+0	No	+$2	01-25 06:52
will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$0	01-27 03:50
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	06-04 07:14
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 7	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	03-07 06:17
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	2	$25	13	12	+1	No	+$0	02-23 07:55
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	$0	01-27 03:50
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	2	$24	13	11	+2	No	$0	02-23 07:55
will ethereum reach 2600 june 1 7 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	06-04 07:15
will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	01-27 03:50
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$22	0	22	-22	No	$0	01-25 06:52
will bitcoin reach 82k june 1 7 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	06-04 07:13
will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	06-04 07:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 16?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	05-13 08:51
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$20	15	12	+2	Yes	-$4	02-23 07:55
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-07 06:17
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	1	$20	22	0	+22	No	+$2	01-13 01:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 15?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-13 08:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 08:56:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x01e89a…
09-12 02:44:13	Will ByteDance be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$51	0x04dc57…
08-22 06:34:55	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in august 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xae4e1c…
08-20 02:13:27	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	SELL	16	96¢	$16	0xb296f4…
08-20 02:13:25	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x3e3fdb…
08-05 03:09:53	will solana dip to 10 in august 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x4a88df…
08-05 03:09:29	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x3949b2…
08-05 03:08:21	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9b96bc…
07-15 06:19:46	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xaad75b…
07-15 06:19:38	will xauusd dip to 3300 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe35a1f…
07-15 06:19:23	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0b8807…
07-15 06:19:17	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe2ef8e…
07-15 06:19:16	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff0ec7…
07-11 06:16:29	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	247	50¢	$125	0x227c89…
06-24 06:33:50	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x178548…
06-24 06:33:34	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x96813e…
06-24 06:33:22	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x05e094…
06-12 02:51:49	bitcoin above 54k on june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xb4d50c…
06-12 02:51:42	bitcoin above 52k on june 14 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x613859…
06-12 02:51:27	bitcoin above 52k on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x753c5c…
06-12 02:51:22	bitcoin above 58k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xecc9c9…
06-04 07:15:55	will ethereum reach 2600 june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x207bb7…
06-04 07:15:03	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x2ca9a2…
06-04 07:14:40	will solana dip to 10 in june 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x42d7ee…
06-04 07:14:19	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x66068c…
06-04 07:13:46	will bitcoin reach 82k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x37ff91…
06-04 07:13:34	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb1da4e…
05-23 06:23:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4f2da4…
05-23 06:22:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8a4fdc…
05-21 06:07:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x332b40…
05-21 06:06:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xce3a14…
05-21 06:06:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe35a71…
05-21 06:06:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x370b4e…
05-21 06:06:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x851f7b…
05-13 08:52:16	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in May?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9b5df8…
05-13 08:52:02	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x582792…
05-13 08:51:53	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x2aef10…
05-13 08:51:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb4f208…
05-13 08:51:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x9c6ac3…
05-13 08:51:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2c45a2…
05-13 08:51:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1f54c9…
04-09 02:58:09	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 215 239	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6dcbd0…
04-09 02:57:55	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 540 559	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8fcae7…
04-09 02:57:51	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 460 479	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x67f0ac…
04-09 02:24:45	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xe775ec…
04-08 03:25:37	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on april 9	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1f208a…
04-08 03:25:15	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x95e697…
04-08 03:25:01	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xef4b58…
04-08 03:24:47	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x85a125…
04-08 03:24:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc4686a…
04-08 03:24:23	bitcoin above 56k on april 10	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xed268d…
04-08 03:24:15	bitcoin above 58k on april 9	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7ba8bc…
04-02 01:07:41	will bitcoin dip to 54k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa96a1b…
04-02 01:07:23	bitcoin above 78k on april 4	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa74d40…
04-02 01:07:09	bitcoin above 58k on april 3	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x74fc4a…
04-02 01:06:43	bitcoin above 76k on april 2	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6c5a64…
04-02 01:06:23	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 240plus	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7028b9…
04-02 01:06:05	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 580plus	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xae8452…
04-02 01:05:53	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 580plus	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb58c26…
04-02 01:05:53	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 360 379	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8ecfc2…
03-29 04:02:00	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6d7479…
03-29 04:01:50	will bitcoin dip to 54k march 23 29	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0d1d58…
03-29 04:01:34	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 31	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5cc9b5…
03-29 04:01:26	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 30	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe1283e…
03-29 04:00:36	bitcoin above 80k on march 31	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc2ff32…
03-29 04:00:28	bitcoin above 78k on march 30	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe3e916…
03-18 03:08:47	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe2b056…
03-18 03:08:35	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 19	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2655a1…
03-18 03:08:03	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 18	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4aa5cb…
03-18 03:07:25	bitcoin above 64k on march 19	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x337e3c…
03-18 03:07:03	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3599be…
03-10 02:15:13	bitcoin above 84k on march 11	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xbfec0b…
03-10 02:15:09	bitcoin above 74k on march 10	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xcd390b…
03-10 02:14:57	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 0 19	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x587cc6…
03-10 02:14:49	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 0 19	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf3ae00…
03-10 02:14:41	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 580plus	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xcec8a1…
03-10 02:14:35	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 580plus	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1766d4…
03-10 02:14:31	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 400 419	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x66af2c…
03-07 06:18:21	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 8	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x92a0be…
03-07 06:18:05	will ethereum dip to 1300 march 2 8	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xaa3a64…
03-07 06:17:51	ethereum above 2200 on march 7	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xadf77d…
03-07 06:17:33	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 7	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x478dd4…
03-07 06:17:17	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8d2869…
03-07 06:16:59	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7d348a…
03-07 06:16:43	bitcoin above 60k on march 7	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x72ed36…
02-23 08:00:16	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xacf006…
02-23 08:00:06	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 580plus	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3c59e7…
02-23 07:59:58	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 580plus	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x32cc96…
02-23 07:59:50	elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 165 189	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbc7467…
02-23 07:59:44	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 480 499	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc96c4e…
02-23 07:59:34	bitcoin above 72k on february 23	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x947af7…
02-23 07:59:28	solana above 60 on february 23	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x73be7d…
02-23 07:59:20	ethereum above 2100 on february 23	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6bde3e…
02-23 07:56:18	Will Sabih Khan be the next CEO of Apple?	No	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0x583fdb…
02-23 07:55:44	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0x6e2c03…
02-23 07:55:36	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x71e0c5…
02-23 07:55:28	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb29efb…
02-23 07:55:20	Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	21	88¢	$18	0xe1b364…
02-08 01:50:49	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x966013…
02-08 01:50:35	will ethereum reach 2800 february 2 8	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb8de6d…