Humiliating-Liberty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

245

lifetime

Volume

$5.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 06-07 08:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

51% 0% $-0

Politics

24% — —

Crypto

22% — —

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	8	$194	97	97	+0	open	—	04-18 15:28
will the momentum movement momentum win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	8	$178	89	89	+0	open	—	03-26 15:23
netanyahu out by march 31 854	6	$115	58	58	+0	open	—	04-01 15:24
will the toronto raptors finish as the 1 seed in the 20252026 nba eastern conference	4	$114	57	57	+0	open	—	03-21 03:06
Will Philip Funderburg win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	4	$113	57	57	+0	open	—	03-21 06:44
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in April 2026?	4	$107	53	53	+0	open	—	03-22 09:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	4	$106	54	54	+0	open	—	03-21 10:12
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$97	48	48	+0	open	—	04-18 15:30
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	4	$70	35	35	+0	open	—	03-21 05:38
highest temperature in singapore on march 22 2026 26c	2	$62	31	31	+0	open	—	03-18 14:55
ethereum above 2300 on march 18	2	$62	31	31	+0	open	—	03-18 15:03
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	2	$62	31	31	+0	open	—	03-18 15:18
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	2	$62	31	31	+0	open	—	03-18 15:21
will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	2	$62	31	31	+0	open	—	03-18 15:28
will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	03-18 15:32
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	03-19 14:53
will trump say gold during trophy presentation	2	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	03-20 15:45
will alabama win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$57	29	29	+0	open	—	03-21 02:42
Will EdgeX launch a token by June 30, 2026?	2	$57	29	29	+0	open	—	03-21 02:44
Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	2	$57	29	29	+0	open	—	03-21 03:03
will pierre yves bournazel win the paris mayor election	2	$55	28	28	+0	open	—	03-21 05:35
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	$-0	03-21 06:02
will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	2	$55	27	27	+0	open	—	03-21 06:12
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$-0	03-21 06:43
will china join the board of peace	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	03-21 06:55
will l hoi trung be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	03-21 07:02
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	03-21 07:13
will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	03-21 07:15
highest temperature in london on march 22 2026 8c	2	$53	27	27	+0	open	—	03-21 07:27
highest temperature in dallas on march 22 2026 84 85f	2	$53	27	27	+0	open	—	03-21 07:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 08:59:39	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x1eb639…
06-07 08:59:19	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x366983…
06-07 08:58:52	will ethereum reach 2800 in june 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xb922c9…
06-07 08:58:48	will ethereum reach 2800 in june 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x4522ef…
06-07 08:57:28	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xeeaf56…
06-07 08:57:22	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x23f763…
05-24 09:32:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xd6350f…
05-24 09:31:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xaff1ec…
05-12 15:38:41	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xca9cf3…
05-12 15:38:36	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xf86a50…
05-11 15:42:01	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x12b816…
05-11 15:41:54	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe7e86f…
05-03 07:56:16	Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by May 31?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xe8666c…
05-03 07:55:10	Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by May 31?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xefe490…
04-29 15:54:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x10926b…
04-29 15:54:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x89833a…
04-22 14:59:26	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xf28c51…
04-22 14:59:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x416c64…
04-18 15:31:08	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xb32fca…
04-18 15:31:02	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf154fd…
04-18 15:30:38	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xa4587e…
04-18 15:30:32	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x2ce1ae…
04-18 15:28:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xca7b93…
04-18 15:28:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb8bd28…
04-18 15:09:28	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 90 114	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xe2bdd2…
04-18 15:09:22	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 90 114	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xc6663b…
04-16 15:35:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xeba593…
04-16 15:35:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xc0a77c…
04-14 14:42:47	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 320 339	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x4d3d40…
04-14 14:42:41	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 320 339	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x94d667…
04-13 15:32:21	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x4f5a4b…
04-13 15:32:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x921336…
04-08 15:18:29	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x53c0b1…
04-08 15:18:23	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0c2575…
04-08 15:11:57	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x3e6d9a…
04-08 15:11:47	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x3c91c2…
04-08 15:07:55	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x3581c9…
04-08 15:07:45	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x80a7c3…
04-08 14:54:19	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x689b5a…
04-08 14:54:13	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xdca88f…
04-08 14:52:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$24	0x8ac081…
04-08 14:52:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x8c3ae6…
04-08 14:22:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x563b2f…
04-08 14:22:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x586131…
04-01 15:28:07	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 115 139	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x60fc73…
04-01 15:28:01	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 115 139	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb59e4a…
04-01 15:27:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xe74567…
04-01 15:27:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0a5ef5…
04-01 15:24:59	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xf7e3ac…
04-01 15:24:53	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0f1ebd…
03-31 15:26:09	will turkey strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x3e0c3b…
03-31 15:26:01	will turkey strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6fe40f…
03-31 14:50:07	will france strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x4cba48…
03-31 14:50:01	will france strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x37b8b9…
03-31 14:34:17	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x80c8a3…
03-31 14:34:13	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xdda891…
03-30 15:05:37	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 65 89	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x66990a…
03-30 15:05:31	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 65 89	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x3f72e2…
03-30 15:02:33	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 480 499	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x85f9de…
03-30 15:02:27	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 480 499	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf1e934…
03-29 13:03:00	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xe9bc12…
03-29 13:02:54	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd34806…
03-26 15:23:47	will the momentum movement momentum win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x43dfcb…
03-26 15:23:41	will the momentum movement momentum win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd0637b…
03-26 15:16:05	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 60 79	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xbc2e16…
03-26 15:15:45	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 60 79	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9018d1…
03-25 15:30:43	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x8ef4db…
03-25 15:30:35	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5d813d…
03-25 14:08:49	will the momentum movement momentum win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x0f20c3…
03-25 14:08:11	will the momentum movement momentum win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x69eea8…
03-25 14:00:23	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$25	0xcfefd9…
03-25 14:00:17	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0xcb3f95…
03-24 15:04:21	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$25	0x0289cb…
03-24 15:04:17	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0x5ce40f…
03-24 15:03:31	bitcoin above 72k on march 24	No	SELL	26	100¢	$25	0x685b99…
03-24 15:03:25	bitcoin above 72k on march 24	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x86ba54…
03-24 14:57:01	will maria cantore win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xe7782f…
03-24 14:56:55	will maria cantore win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x119512…
03-23 15:24:39	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 240plus	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xf33039…
03-23 15:24:33	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 240plus	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x1499d9…
03-23 15:23:19	highest temperature in paris on march 26 2026 4corbelow	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xb5dc38…
03-23 15:23:15	highest temperature in paris on march 26 2026 4corbelow	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xdf9d56…
03-22 09:38:57	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xa1b60d…
03-22 09:38:53	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x050250…
03-22 09:35:57	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x2193ef…
03-22 09:35:49	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb496a6…
03-22 09:25:31	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 140 159	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x12c531…
03-22 09:25:25	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 140 159	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa604f3…
03-22 09:15:39	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 22	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x463357…
03-22 09:15:07	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 22	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xcea63e…
03-22 09:12:01	Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xad6913…
03-22 09:11:53	Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x48f87f…
03-22 09:10:55	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x178de2…
03-22 09:10:49	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x803603…
03-22 09:04:25	will backpack launch a token on march 29	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x999625…
03-22 09:04:17	will backpack launch a token on march 29	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x14d595…
03-22 08:58:23	will solana reach 160 in march 2026	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xf0be34…
03-22 08:58:17	will solana reach 160 in march 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x681c70…
03-22 08:57:51	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 22	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xeb3049…
03-22 08:57:45	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 22	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x417031…