Humiliating-Liberty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.5%

Resolved

131

Trades

301

lifetime

Volume

$6.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 06-07 08:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

57% 0% -$4

Politics

23% 0% -$3

Crypto

18% 12% -$15

Sports

3% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	8	$194	97	97	+0	No	$0	04-18 15:28
will the momentum movement momentum win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	8	$178	89	89	+0	No	$0	03-26 15:23
netanyahu out by march 31 854	6	$115	58	58	+0	No	$0	04-01 15:24
will the toronto raptors finish as the 1 seed in the 20252026 nba eastern conference	4	$114	57	57	+0	No	$0	03-21 03:06
Will Philip Funderburg win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	4	$113	57	57	+0	No	$0	03-21 06:44
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in April 2026?	4	$107	53	53	+0	No	$0	03-22 09:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	4	$106	54	54	+0	No	$0	03-21 10:12
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$97	48	48	+0	No	$0	04-18 15:30
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	4	$92	46	46	+0	Yes	$0	05-08 15:33
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	4	$90	45	45	+0	No	$0	05-31 08:09
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$90	45	45	+0	No	$0	05-08 15:35
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	4	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	03-21 05:38
highest temperature in singapore on march 22 2026 26c	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	03-18 14:55
ethereum above 2300 on march 18	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	03-18 15:03
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	03-18 15:18
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	03-18 15:21
will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	03-18 15:28
will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	$0	03-18 15:32
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	$0	03-19 14:53
will trump say gold during trophy presentation	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	-$1	03-20 15:45
will alabama win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	03-21 02:42
Will EdgeX launch a token by June 30, 2026?	2	$57	29	29	+0	Yes	$0	03-21 02:44
Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	03-21 03:03
will pierre yves bournazel win the paris mayor election	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	03-21 05:35
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	03-21 06:02
will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	03-21 06:12
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	03-21 06:43
will china join the board of peace	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	03-21 06:55
will l hoi trung be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	03-21 07:02
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	03-21 07:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 08:59:39	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x1eb639…
06-07 08:59:19	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x366983…
06-07 08:58:52	will ethereum reach 2800 in june 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xb922c9…
06-07 08:58:48	will ethereum reach 2800 in june 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x4522ef…
06-07 08:57:28	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xeeaf56…
06-07 08:57:22	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x23f763…
05-31 08:09:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x45c488…
05-31 08:09:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x084011…
05-24 10:28:47	Will Matthew Smith be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x7cad51…
05-24 10:28:44	Will Matthew Smith be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7a41d1…
05-24 10:00:23	Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0x0bbd0e…
05-24 10:00:19	Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd0c33b…
05-24 09:32:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xd6350f…
05-24 09:31:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xaff1ec…
05-19 15:28:39	Will Craig Goralski be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x5cfadf…
05-19 15:28:34	Will Craig Goralski be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa7aa29…
05-19 15:28:25	Will Michael Pratt be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x856630…
05-19 15:28:20	Will Michael Pratt be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x5aac90…
05-12 15:39:25	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x91a5c2…
05-12 15:39:06	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x3de128…
05-12 15:38:41	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xca9cf3…
05-12 15:38:36	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xf86a50…
05-11 15:42:01	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x12b816…
05-11 15:41:54	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe7e86f…
05-08 15:36:33	Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xac99be…
05-08 15:36:26	Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7abf85…
05-08 15:35:48	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xbccf69…
05-08 15:35:44	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe54d14…
05-08 15:34:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xa8ccb9…
05-08 15:33:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xc73fb2…
05-08 15:33:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x5f4b98…
05-08 15:33:29	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1fbea5…
05-08 15:32:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xf6d661…
05-08 15:32:47	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xb2f859…
05-08 15:32:35	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xc0d8c8…
05-08 15:32:30	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xc78882…
05-07 15:49:45	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xc8c37f…
05-07 15:49:38	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x9a6c35…
05-07 15:48:00	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xc20855…
05-07 15:47:55	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xb392c3…
05-07 15:47:41	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x722f89…
05-07 15:47:36	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xef2cda…
05-07 15:47:15	Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x11af28…
05-07 15:47:08	Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x5dd6ba…
05-07 15:46:29	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xb369e8…
05-07 15:46:24	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x648f45…
05-07 15:45:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xe1fa58…
05-07 15:45:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x8d3555…
05-07 15:44:50	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x432bc7…
05-07 15:44:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf2bf1d…
05-06 15:48:43	Will Dan Thomas be the next First Minister of Wales following the 2026 Welsh parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x0fb468…
05-06 15:48:38	Will Dan Thomas be the next First Minister of Wales following the 2026 Welsh parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x16e631…
05-06 15:48:27	Will Eluned Morgan be the next First Minister of Wales following the 2026 Welsh parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x96010f…
05-06 15:48:22	Will Eluned Morgan be the next First Minister of Wales following the 2026 Welsh parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x3b291f…
05-06 15:48:08	Will Anthony Slaughter be the next First Minister of Wales following the 2026 Welsh parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x801086…
05-06 15:48:01	Will Anthony Slaughter be the next First Minister of Wales following the 2026 Welsh parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x597108…
05-06 15:47:30	Will Moon Jin-seok win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xe767d7…
05-06 15:47:23	Will Moon Jin-seok win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xc59a96…
05-06 15:38:41	Will Sung Il-jong win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xb300a1…
05-06 15:38:24	Will Sung Il-jong win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa6a018…
05-06 15:38:11	Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$23	0xd90363…
05-06 15:38:06	Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0xbc133d…
05-03 07:56:16	Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by May 31?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xe8666c…
05-03 07:55:10	Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by May 31?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xefe490…
05-03 07:52:46	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 4?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$23	0x4b08d9…
05-03 07:52:42	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 4?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd951da…
05-03 07:42:58	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xa00787…
05-03 07:42:50	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf42fc7…
04-29 15:54:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x10926b…
04-29 15:54:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x89833a…
04-28 15:55:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x4cc2fd…
04-28 15:55:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x72eccb…
04-22 14:59:26	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xf28c51…
04-22 14:59:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x416c64…
04-18 15:31:08	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xb32fca…
04-18 15:31:02	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf154fd…
04-18 15:30:38	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xa4587e…
04-18 15:30:32	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x2ce1ae…
04-18 15:28:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xca7b93…
04-18 15:28:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb8bd28…
04-18 15:09:28	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 90 114	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xe2bdd2…
04-18 15:09:22	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 90 114	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xc6663b…
04-16 15:35:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xeba593…
04-16 15:35:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xc0a77c…
04-14 14:42:47	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 320 339	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x4d3d40…
04-14 14:42:41	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 320 339	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x94d667…
04-13 15:32:21	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x4f5a4b…
04-13 15:32:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x921336…
04-08 15:18:29	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x53c0b1…
04-08 15:18:23	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0c2575…
04-08 15:11:57	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x3e6d9a…
04-08 15:11:47	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x3c91c2…
04-08 15:07:55	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x3581c9…
04-08 15:07:45	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x80a7c3…
04-08 14:54:19	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x689b5a…
04-08 14:54:13	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xdca88f…
04-08 14:52:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$24	0x8ac081…
04-08 14:52:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x8c3ae6…
04-08 14:22:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x563b2f…
04-08 14:22:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x586131…