Happy-Concrete — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$270

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.2%

Resolved

438

Trades

1,695

lifetime

Volume

$10.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 09-28 12:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Other

56% 46% +$209

Crypto

22% 83% +$19

Politics

21% 81% +$43

Sports

1% 100% +$9

Tech

1% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	146	$597	1,274	1,274	+0	Yes	+$13	06-21 04:24
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	1	$366	369	0	+369	Yes	+$3	09-12 13:05
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	163	$358	1,618	1,383	+235	Yes	+$15	06-21 09:05
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	66	$299	380	350	+30	No	+$3	06-19 14:47
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	2	$235	352	0	+352	England	+$17	07-01 13:46
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	15	$195	210	124	+86	Yes	+$44	06-02 15:31
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	2	$165	100	100	+0	No	-$1	06-13 18:08
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	4	$159	249	0	+249	Yes	+$90	07-10 02:25
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	21	$157	180	85	+95	No	-$49	06-23 13:02
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	1	$141	150	0	+150	No	+$9	06-08 15:52
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	6	$138	122	122	+0	Yes	+$106	05-22 15:53
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	20	$117	137	135	+2	Yes	+$26	04-24 15:48
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	14	$107	194	84	+110	Yes	+$50	05-29 16:05
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	13	$105	138	138	+0	No	-$17	06-15 17:22
Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	2	$98	52	52	+0	Team Falcons	+$4	05-16 14:30
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	19	$95	142	85	+57	No	-$20	05-26 15:23
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 5pt5	25	$95	200	0	+200	Germany	+$5	06-14 16:38
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	7	$89	159	0	+159	No	-$89	07-17 15:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	66	$86	3,094	2,094	+1,000	Yes	-$9	06-16 14:16
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$86	73	71	+3	Yes	+$58	04-28 17:54
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	9	$84	180	0	+180	Yes	+$96	06-16 14:25
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	5	$81	81	79	+2	Yes	+$38	04-21 15:19
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	7	$80	180	0	+180	Yes	+$100	06-12 03:54
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	16	$76	1,091	91	+1,000	Yes	+$8	06-09 02:52
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	15	$76	195	100	+95	Yes	+$56	06-23 13:12
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	4	$76	120	0	+120	No	-$6	06-09 14:12
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	3	$75	79	0	+79	Up	+$4	05-23 08:24
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 team total away 0pt5	17	$75	116	45	+71	Under	+$1	06-21 17:53
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	10	$74	180	40	+140	No	-$66	06-16 14:26
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	7	$72	160	0	+160	Yes	+$88	06-19 09:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 12:49:26	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x18dcba…
09-19 20:00:44	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xeb1152…
09-16 16:01:54	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xa8b213…
09-16 12:21:33	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	1¢	$1	0xbd4f8e…
09-15 15:23:43	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	90	2¢	$2	0x732355…
09-14 17:52:36	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x0f364b…
09-14 15:18:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x299712…
09-14 15:12:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	37	80¢	$30	0x174c10…
09-14 15:08:33	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	39	78¢	$30	0xa3e0e7…
09-13 19:03:46	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x3454b6…
09-13 19:03:43	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xf86d8a…
09-13 14:05:00	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xe10290…
09-13 10:12:33	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9271c5…
09-12 13:05:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	369	99¢	$366	0x5b9691…
07-25 11:09:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xde0fb0…
07-24 16:12:52	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x698113…
07-24 16:12:51	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	31	30¢	$9	0x69b288…
07-24 16:12:51	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0x56af2d…
07-24 15:14:04	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0x1e9d10…
07-24 15:02:06	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?	No	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xb5ce44…
07-24 15:01:45	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?	No	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x7dc694…
07-24 14:59:48	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?	No	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x942776…
07-24 14:58:19	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?	No	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x783d74…
07-24 14:57:58	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x31cfe1…
07-24 14:55:28	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xdc8248…
07-24 14:55:28	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xa06438…
07-24 14:50:10	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?	No	SELL	30	35¢	$10	0xe2fab8…
07-24 14:48:16	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xba4aac…
07-24 14:47:52	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0x819cb4…
07-24 14:44:54	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x3e0d99…
07-24 14:44:16	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2f3c25…
07-24 14:43:33	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xb3c9e0…
07-22 12:35:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xb2dd38…
07-19 14:58:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	Yes	SELL	43	34¢	$15	0x9fb7b8…
07-19 12:17:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	Yes	BUY	43	30¢	$13	0xae55e0…
07-19 11:38:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	Yes	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0x621478…
07-19 10:35:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x3d193e…
07-17 15:42:31	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xb2b11a…
07-17 15:16:03	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xe46088…
07-17 15:11:55	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0xe4567b…
07-17 15:06:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0xc7f192…
07-17 14:56:07	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xa9cc8b…
07-16 07:03:31	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	9¢	$5	0x7d63fb…
07-16 06:41:37	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	40¢	$20	0x1892b2…
07-16 03:59:04	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	41¢	$17	0x4b92d9…
07-16 03:57:47	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x798002…
07-16 02:04:13	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0x8ee564…
07-16 01:35:17	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0xa50ebb…
07-16 01:32:44	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x5b2729…
07-14 12:08:52	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xe8ee75…
07-10 02:25:47	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	64¢	$33	0x63cfe3…
07-10 02:23:59	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$11	0xb4437a…
07-10 02:23:26	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	64¢	$85	0x85b064…
07-10 02:21:10	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	63¢	$31	0x7466f4…
07-01 13:46:28	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	252	88¢	$222	0x1d1fa0…
07-01 13:45:50	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	DR Congo	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x7d599f…
06-30 10:39:02	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0xc2e22b…
06-29 04:31:08	Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x66a724…
06-29 02:27:13	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xc21218…
06-29 02:22:52	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x2aa9a6…
06-29 02:13:38	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x74edc9…
06-29 02:11:55	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0x64ac4b…
06-29 02:11:19	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0xe47819…
06-29 02:11:14	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xef469d…
06-28 16:01:41	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 spread away 4pt5	Canada	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x3b9d3a…
06-28 16:01:40	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 spread away 4pt5	Canada	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x275594…
06-27 09:58:29	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 spread away 5pt5	England	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x98a141…
06-26 03:20:05	Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x935962…
06-25 18:51:13	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread away 5pt5	Germany	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x006720…
06-25 18:22:28	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x8ce302…
06-25 18:04:07	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread away 5pt5	Germany	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe2fff4…
06-25 18:04:07	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread away 5pt5	Germany	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x17096f…
06-25 17:49:14	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread away 4pt5	Germany	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0x8079f7…
06-25 17:30:52	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread away 5pt5	Germany	SELL	110	2¢	$2	0xd5a2d3…
06-25 17:05:04	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread away 4pt5	Germany	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc8c9e5…
06-25 16:51:16	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread away 5pt5	Germany	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x6056c3…
06-25 16:51:16	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread away 5pt5	Germany	BUY	199	1¢	$2	0x057da5…
06-25 16:50:46	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread away 5pt5	Germany	SELL	55	2¢	$1	0xeb9452…
06-25 16:48:32	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread away 5pt5	Germany	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x151b15…
06-24 15:11:55	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xdb488e…
06-24 14:19:53	Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x66e770…
06-24 13:32:47	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xccfcbe…
06-24 11:14:40	Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x956dd3…
06-24 10:43:28	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	12¢	$9	0x835921…
06-24 10:27:56	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xf6030d…
06-24 10:27:19	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x4142be…
06-24 10:20:40	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x5036a1…
06-24 10:16:44	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$11	0xccf475…
06-24 10:13:50	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xe430c6…
06-24 10:13:25	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x6c4256…
06-24 10:12:13	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x227d9d…
06-24 09:41:49	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xdfeded…
06-24 09:40:59	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x47f55e…
06-24 09:40:13	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x97aa83…
06-24 09:38:34	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x2f8c05…
06-24 09:33:20	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xbe884c…
06-24 09:31:49	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x2f519b…
06-24 03:31:53	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0xe5da65…
06-23 19:22:53	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0x152f7e…
06-23 19:03:37	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	24¢	$1	0x0518a5…