Happy-Concrete — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

86.9%

Resolved

Trades

579

lifetime

Volume

$4.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-17

last 06-09 15:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

55% — —

Other

29% 70% $-4

Politics

15% 100% +$2

Sports

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No		+994	$-3	0¢	$1	+$4	06-09 02:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	20	$117	137	135	+2	open	—	04-24 15:48
Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	2	$98	52	52	+0	open	—	05-16 14:30
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	5	$81	81	79	+2	open	—	04-21 15:19
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	3	$75	79	0	+79	open	—	05-23 08:24
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	2	$71	37	37	+0	open	—	05-29 10:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	12	$68	43	43	+0	open	—	05-28 03:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	4	$67	36	36	+0	open	—	05-01 16:09
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	6	$66	42	42	+0	open	—	05-24 14:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	5	$60	50	20	+30	open	—	05-27 03:34
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$56	30	30	+0	open	—	05-24 14:36
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	1	$55	56	0	+56	FURIA	+$1	05-09 13:35
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	5	$52	27	27	+0	open	—	05-19 05:21
btc updown 5m 1776413400	1	$50	56	0	+56	open	—	04-17 08:14
epl bur mac 2026 04 22 mac	1	$47	55	0	+55	open	—	04-22 14:28
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	13	$46	95	94	+1	open	—	04-24 14:11
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 260 279	9	$45	46	45	+1	open	—	04-21 14:33
eth updown 5m 1777040100	1	$45	50	0	+50	open	—	04-24 14:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$42	23	23	+0	open	—	05-25 08:07
eth updown 5m 1776416700	2	$38	42	0	+42	open	—	04-17 09:09
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	14	$36	90	55	+35	open	—	04-24 14:25
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	5	$33	60	29	+31	open	—	04-21 14:18
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	4	$32	17	16	+1	open	—	05-29 06:51
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-02 13:04
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	05-22 17:59
eth updown 5m 1776414900	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	04-17 08:40
btc updown 5m 1776925200	1	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	04-23 06:23
sol updown 5m 1776934500	2	$29	34	0	+34	open	—	04-23 08:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	05-28 21:54
Will Solana reach $100 in May?	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	05-26 18:06
btc updown 5m 1776926100	1	$27	30	0	+30	open	—	04-23 06:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 03:12:07	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xb69208…
06-10 03:07:04	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3962cd…
06-09 15:04:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	76¢	$9	0x1e6eaf…
06-09 12:38:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xec8ed6…
06-09 02:52:51	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xeab58d…
06-08 15:51:12	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb6476f…
06-08 03:37:33	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xe35c8d…
06-04 18:29:00	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3d803a…
06-02 18:32:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5342a9…
06-02 16:27:21	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x9a62f2…
06-01 10:35:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xa2e9ff…
06-01 04:00:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xb52a07…
05-31 11:12:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0xbc58e1…
05-31 07:44:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x7bff36…
05-29 16:06:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x99cadd…
05-29 10:37:05	LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs	Team Secret Whales	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0xe04d0e…
05-29 10:08:51	LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	JD Gaming	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x54ddc8…
05-29 08:51:56	LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	JD Gaming	BUY	37	93¢	$34	0x18fe24…
05-29 06:51:23	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa12d57…
05-29 06:25:34	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x8ee948…
05-29 04:00:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x3ed3b4…
05-29 02:46:13	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x040acc…
05-28 21:54:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x93ea83…
05-28 17:44:14	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x595732…
05-28 17:10:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0cb60a…
05-28 16:36:29	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x97640f…
05-28 16:14:28	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x00b29f…
05-28 15:39:49	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x2fe9fa…
05-28 15:27:42	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x1bae22…
05-28 14:48:08	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xe74aec…
05-28 14:15:15	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x8fe604…
05-28 13:55:27	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x48d9ab…
05-28 13:50:45	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x70b6c5…
05-28 11:59:47	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0xa43a45…
05-28 09:59:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x6e0fcc…
05-28 04:21:15	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x80881a…
05-28 03:32:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xe599ad…
05-28 03:31:12	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	No	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0xdbd204…
05-28 03:29:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd5e99d…
05-27 17:48:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$3	0x013d01…
05-27 17:48:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x12cc5d…
05-27 17:45:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8392c6…
05-27 17:45:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8d013d…
05-27 17:25:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x5d6319…
05-27 11:03:47	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfc620e…
05-27 07:52:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xa41663…
05-27 03:34:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf6eb3f…
05-27 02:52:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf2942c…
05-26 18:06:02	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x6a5712…
05-26 16:22:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x08f9df…
05-26 03:04:59	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x74e362…
05-26 03:03:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xb4b06e…
05-25 15:38:12	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	T1	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xbfaf2c…
05-25 08:09:37	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	T1	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x9e2fc9…
05-25 08:07:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x710778…
05-25 08:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf6c74f…
05-25 06:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x031b3e…
05-25 05:47:45	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x94adcb…
05-25 05:47:08	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xf052c3…
05-25 05:47:03	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0xe096e9…
05-25 05:40:05	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x22d075…
05-25 05:38:58	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6e07c9…
05-25 04:52:36	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbf8acb…
05-24 17:21:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x365567…
05-24 16:48:50	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	No	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0xa0784b…
05-24 14:36:32	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc021c8…
05-24 14:35:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0xb64158…
05-24 14:24:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xd1133f…
05-24 14:23:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x205e5b…
05-24 14:21:51	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x6ac078…
05-24 14:13:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x97c273…
05-24 14:13:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	6	79¢	$4	0x3c4be2…
05-24 14:13:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0xe33159…
05-24 13:19:28	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0xa61f75…
05-24 13:17:27	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0xe1bfc9…
05-24 13:13:33	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Aurora	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0x0d8658…
05-24 13:13:31	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Aurora	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x485084…
05-24 12:57:46	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Aurora	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xf7865a…
05-24 09:24:49	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xbb90a3…
05-24 08:31:46	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	No	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0xc57c41…
05-24 07:30:03	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xcfa774…
05-24 06:38:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x4966f9…
05-24 05:05:06	Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x068750…
05-24 04:23:11	Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xfe2156…
05-24 03:32:31	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	MOUZ	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xd552ab…
05-24 03:25:50	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x82e9f7…
05-23 18:12:47	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	85	3¢	$2	0x126de1…
05-23 17:16:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0xa8275c…
05-23 17:14:18	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x26c2d4…
05-23 16:45:47	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xbecfc7…
05-23 16:37:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x5246f5…
05-23 16:36:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x0a21d5…
05-23 16:02:35	Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	Valencia CF	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xa726bf…
05-23 16:00:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	27	64¢	$17	0x4af460…
05-23 16:00:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	25	71¢	$18	0xc0997a…
05-23 15:56:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x4d4b1d…
05-23 13:59:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x8452cb…
05-23 13:59:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x3450ef…
05-23 12:25:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x296195…
05-23 08:25:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	229	11¢	$25	0x5dd904…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	193	$169.3K	2,974	06-09 23:31
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	186	$25.4K	1,694	05-25 08:03
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	181	$11.4K	1,448	05-25 08:00
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	180	$32.6K	11,822	05-25 05:49
(anonymous) 0x0443…ea0f	178	$974	189	05-25 08:04
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	166	$68.0K	4,381	05-25 08:04
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	157	$20.6K	2,408	05-25 08:03
Numb-Ballpark-Marketing 0x619e…36ff	151	$1.09K	388	05-25 08:04