Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$794

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$64

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 06-17 15:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

46% 100% +$2

Sports

27% 100% +$19

Crypto

15% — —

Politics

7% — —

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	+24	$24	99¢	$24	$-0	06-16 08:36
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	-82	$-21	29¢	$-23	$-2	06-17 01:33
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?	No	+16	$16	100¢	$16	+$0	06-16 08:38
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+180	$1	0¢	$1	$-0	06-16 20:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$195	500	0	+500	open	—	01-10 18:21
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$81	42	42	+0	Yes	+$2	04-27 16:19
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	1	$56	56	0	+56	open	—	06-16 08:34
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$44	23	23	+0	open	—	04-27 16:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	04-27 16:25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	04-27 16:21
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$36	519	0	+519	open	—	03-10 02:10
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$32	33	0	+33	open	—	01-10 18:16
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$28	29	0	+29	open	—	02-16 07:49
Will Hyperliquid dip to $38 in May?	1	$24	25	0	+25	open	—	05-29 02:51
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	1	$24	30	0	+30	open	—	03-10 09:03
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	06-16 08:36
us bank failure by january 31	1	$23	24	0	+24	open	—	01-10 18:19
US bank failure by May 31?	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	05-29 02:54
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	6	$21	0	82	-82	open	—	06-17 01:33
penguin listed on binance by march 31	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	02-16 07:50
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	06-16 08:38
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	02-16 07:51
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	5	$9	30	0	+30	open	—	06-16 08:48
will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	03-10 02:11
UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)	1	$5	18	0	+18	open	—	05-29 02:50
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	02-16 07:48
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$5	24	0	+24	Sean Strickland	+$19	04-27 16:25
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	1	$4	34	0	+34	open	—	05-29 02:52
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	4	$3	20	0	+20	open	—	05-29 05:25
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)	1	$3	19	0	+19	open	—	05-29 13:58
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$2	77	0	+77	open	—	01-10 18:17
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$2	500	0	+500	open	—	04-27 16:37
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	1	$2	100	0	+100	open	—	06-17 15:45
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$1	95	0	+95	open	—	03-10 02:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 15:45:20	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x22ec2e…
06-17 01:33:53	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0xaa2be7…
06-16 20:13:56	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	162	1¢	$1	0xfafa26…
06-16 20:13:13	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xc8190d…
06-16 19:15:50	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x8849b1…
06-16 19:03:07	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xa26d31…
06-16 18:38:08	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x6b108f…
06-16 18:35:44	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x5f4e08…
06-16 15:08:01	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x36fd4d…
06-16 14:21:08	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x8f57d4…
06-16 13:54:29	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	26¢	$5	0x4bbf04…
06-16 13:25:32	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x1801ff…
06-16 13:22:28	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xc5114a…
06-16 13:20:52	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x272644…
06-16 12:40:34	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	26¢	$3	0x7a226f…
06-16 12:07:22	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0x291c87…
06-16 11:52:33	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0x528cf4…
06-16 09:26:25	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xe9aee2…
06-16 08:48:33	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0xcce0e6…
06-16 08:48:15	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0xde7925…
06-16 08:38:45	Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0eaf15…
06-16 08:37:36	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xd64494…
06-16 08:37:30	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x45b177…
06-16 08:37:24	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x723894…
06-16 08:36:42	US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xfa361d…
06-16 08:34:24	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xe97713…
05-29 13:58:34	UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Deiveson Figueiredo	BUY	19	17¢	$3	0x8ed801…
05-29 05:25:24	UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Tallison Teixeira	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0x1b016c…
05-29 05:17:53	UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Tallison Teixeira	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x281654…
05-29 05:07:23	UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Tallison Teixeira	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8a1bf1…
05-29 04:08:14	UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Tallison Teixeira	BUY	3	17¢	$0	0x9b01a9…
05-29 02:54:38	US bank failure by May 31?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x0bd510…
05-29 02:52:39	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	34	13¢	$4	0x38a705…
05-29 02:51:22	Will Hyperliquid dip to $38 in May?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0xc46f51…
05-29 02:50:07	UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Cameron Smotherman	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0xf3a5ed…
04-27 16:37:46	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	284	0¢	$1	0xa50570…
04-27 16:25:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x4e59a5…
04-27 16:25:06	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xc78e65…
04-27 16:21:08	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x7a5aa1…
04-27 16:20:52	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	216	0¢	$1	0x70da2e…
04-27 16:19:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0x70949d…
04-27 16:19:14	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0x26e8ea…
03-10 09:03:53	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0xe18f51…
03-10 02:12:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0xa3f56d…
03-10 02:11:57	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	95	1¢	$1	0x59a220…
03-10 02:11:25	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xb7b416…
03-10 02:10:29	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	519	7¢	$36	0x55bf2d…
03-10 02:09:49	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0xeae6d9…
02-16 07:51:41	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x2c49ca…
02-16 07:50:47	penguin listed on binance by march 31	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x61fa2c…
02-16 07:49:15	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x73b68c…
02-16 07:48:57	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x557b23…
01-12 01:43:52	will the fed cutcutpause in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0x64c5b4…
01-11 17:14:00	will the fed cutcutpause in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x8decc9…
01-11 17:11:40	will the fed cutcutpause in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7d9f3a…
01-11 17:11:30	will the fed cutcutpause in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x36ed74…
01-11 17:09:30	will the fed cutcutpause in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xc1c67d…
01-11 17:09:26	will the fed cutcutpause in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa83923…
01-11 17:09:04	will the fed cutcutpause in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0xa5692e…
01-10 18:21:56	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	500	39¢	$195	0x3590cc…
01-10 18:19:20	us bank failure by january 31	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x7e48c3…
01-10 18:17:56	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	77	3¢	$2	0x9e8647…
01-10 18:16:22	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x844c4b…