Precious-Bafflement-Sweatsuit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$63

Unrealized P&L

+$96

Hit rate

76.5%

Resolved

100

Trades

506

lifetime

Volume

$114.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$226

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 11-04 15:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Politics

76% 63% +$258

Other

18% 57% -$761

Tech

5% 60% +$423

Sports

1% 56% +$112

Crypto

0% 100% +$31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+210	$15	4¢	$8	-$7	11-04 15:46
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+0	-$102	94¢	$0	+$102	11-04 02:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	21	$9.8K	7,701	7,701	+0	Yes	+$385	10-25 23:50
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	3	$7.5K	3,860	3,860	+0	Yes	+$166	11-04 01:32
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	11	$6.4K	4,300	4,300	+0	open	—	10-27 21:27
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	6	$5.7K	3,125	3,125	+0	Yes	-$29	05-04 13:30
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	9	$5.1K	2,950	2,950	+0	Yes	+$89	11-04 01:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	5	$4.2K	2,283	2,283	+0	No	+$152	05-10 20:58
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$4.0K	4,119	0	+4,119	No	+$119	07-09 21:26
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	10	$3.4K	2,143	2,143	+0	open	—	11-04 02:11
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	17	$3.4K	1,755	1,755	+0	No	+$95	10-04 21:53
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	9	$3.4K	2,308	2,308	+0	Yes	+$184	11-03 23:50
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	15	$3.1K	2,040	2,040	+0	Yes	+$77	11-03 23:27
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	26	$3.0K	1,592	1,592	+0	Yes	+$13	10-22 19:01
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	5	$2.7K	1,400	1,400	+0	Yes	+$59	11-04 02:13
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	3	$2.6K	2,627	65	+2,562	No	+$99	06-06 08:16
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	19	$2.6K	3,576	3,576	+0	No	-$537	10-25 23:17
Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko	7	$2.6K	1,895	1,895	+0	Liam Draxl	-$529	10-31 23:39
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$2.5K	1,395	1,297	+99	No	+$165	09-19 08:11
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	5	$2.0K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$57	11-03 23:58
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	7	$1.7K	1,389	1,354	+36	Yes	+$742	04-27 16:07
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	8	$1.6K	2,528	1,000	+1,529	Yes	-$366	04-30 15:30
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	2	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$10	11-01 23:46
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	9	$1.5K	940	940	+0	open	—	09-13 19:00
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	14	$1.5K	900	900	+0	Yes	-$30	11-01 09:34
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	7	$1.4K	950	950	+0	No	+$9	11-04 02:09
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	2	$1.4K	940	940	+0	Yes	-$9	11-02 19:26
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	7	$1.3K	1,330	1,330	+0	No	-$407	10-25 21:52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	4	$1.3K	706	706	+0	No	+$53	05-10 21:30
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Zachary Svajda	4	$1.1K	669	669	+0	Thiago Agustin Tirante	+$43	10-31 11:49
Claude 4.8 released by June 15?	1	$1000	1,079	0	+1,079	Yes	+$79	05-28 09:46
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	1	$1000	1,117	0	+1,117	Yes	+$117	05-19 22:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 15:46:30	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	7¢	$15	0xfceff9…
11-04 02:13:03	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,400	98¢	$1,372	0xb99a12…
11-04 02:11:01	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,443	85¢	$1,227	0x95e414…
11-04 02:09:34	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	35	76¢	$27	0x9d9972…
11-04 02:09:27	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	511	75¢	$383	0x93334f…
11-04 02:09:18	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	166	76¢	$126	0x290296…
11-04 02:08:09	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	53	76¢	$40	0xbdbfe6…
11-04 02:08:09	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	184	76¢	$140	0x5c52de…
11-04 01:53:54	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	715	42¢	$301	0x82e0eb…
11-04 01:32:46	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	99¢	$1,972	0x409fd5…
11-04 01:32:33	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	3,860	99¢	$3,833	0xa3f5e6…
11-04 01:31:37	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	337	89¢	$300	0xa195d6…
11-04 01:29:28	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	715	79¢	$566	0x32d7a7…
11-04 01:29:07	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	166	19¢	$31	0xfa8c0d…
11-04 01:28:55	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	166	21¢	$35	0x8dd63e…
11-04 01:28:39	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	332	21¢	$70	0xdc676d…
11-04 01:26:51	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	190	26¢	$50	0xf52b6a…
11-04 01:26:51	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	370	26¢	$97	0x5d44ee…
11-04 01:26:51	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x4b75c6…
11-04 01:25:45	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	140	21¢	$29	0x37e52a…
11-04 01:25:40	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x35fa25…
11-04 01:24:28	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	318	22¢	$71	0xdae39b…
11-04 01:24:21	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x52146e…
11-04 01:21:30	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	208	23¢	$48	0x23e34c…
11-04 01:14:43	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	319	8¢	$26	0x1e5d83…
11-04 01:08:16	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x535261…
11-04 00:55:01	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	96¢	$288	0x46b7a3…
11-04 00:54:40	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	95¢	$285	0x8880e5…
11-04 00:30:34	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0x236674…
11-04 00:30:31	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	319	11¢	$35	0xa0984d…
11-04 00:30:31	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	13¢	$26	0x482ad6…
11-04 00:15:06	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0xc8f96b…
11-04 00:15:06	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	814	95¢	$774	0xb7e6fe…
11-04 00:15:06	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,141	95¢	$1,084	0x0a6fd9…
11-03 23:58:27	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	700	83¢	$581	0x8269d6…
11-03 23:50:12	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,700	82¢	$1,394	0x9d65b1…
11-03 23:27:24	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,080	86¢	$929	0xd5b95c…
11-03 22:43:49	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	850	30¢	$255	0xf6518f…
11-03 22:43:19	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	525	70¢	$368	0x6a6a10…
11-03 21:12:52	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x1c9a3d…
11-03 21:12:09	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xb17001…
11-03 21:11:18	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xadc67c…
11-03 21:10:31	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xf188b0…
11-03 17:00:28	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0xff7715…
11-03 11:13:03	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	92¢	$552	0x2aabea…
11-03 10:38:07	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	425	63¢	$268	0x566a8b…
11-03 10:04:01	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0xaf4aa2…
11-03 08:34:21	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	500	77¢	$385	0xef1b33…
11-03 00:29:00	Blue wave in 2026?	Yes	SELL	474	92¢	$436	0x094a5d…
11-03 00:13:19	Blue wave in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x23771b…
11-02 23:08:40	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3,800	95¢	$3,610	0x23eed2…
11-02 22:38:25	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	640	60¢	$384	0x9f1532…
11-02 22:19:52	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	550	66¢	$363	0x65ccdb…
11-02 22:16:28	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	280	80¢	$224	0x44971b…
11-02 22:07:13	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	80¢	$240	0xee03fe…
11-02 22:02:55	Blue wave in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	92¢	$14	0x0f7fc1…
11-02 21:31:39	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	190	59¢	$112	0xc6f94f…
11-02 21:28:48	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	700	76¢	$532	0xc0bfaf…
11-02 19:26:03	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	940	73¢	$686	0x9569b1…
11-02 17:02:21	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x2699fb…
11-02 13:56:55	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	74¢	$222	0x3d5ea1…
11-02 08:33:10	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0x9370bd…
11-01 23:58:24	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	64¢	$192	0xd9250a…
11-01 23:46:21	Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	78¢	$780	0x454157…
11-01 23:21:09	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	71¢	$355	0x1f01b6…
11-01 23:16:21	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0x287586…
11-01 23:11:31	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	71¢	$355	0x6472cc…
11-01 22:40:18	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	500	71¢	$355	0x7a9e7a…
11-01 22:29:57	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	75¢	$375	0x6f11ff…
11-01 22:26:55	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0xbebf06…
11-01 22:24:27	Blue wave in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0x8814b8…
11-01 21:38:34	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0xb01d66…
11-01 19:30:27	Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	79¢	$790	0xa64a3f…
11-01 19:25:16	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	480	75¢	$360	0x1940b8…
11-01 19:23:57	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	940	74¢	$696	0x3dd363…
11-01 17:53:55	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	250	3¢	$7	0x85e032…
11-01 15:48:03	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	470	74¢	$348	0xcc0ae6…
11-01 11:37:13	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 22-24%?	Yes	BUY	79	19¢	$15	0x31a9a3…
11-01 11:36:30	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 22-24%?	Yes	BUY	260	19¢	$50	0xbc1ace…
11-01 09:34:46	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	450	82¢	$369	0xb46c01…
11-01 09:29:39	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	450	78¢	$351	0x898ae8…
10-31 23:39:40	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko	Liam Draxl	SELL	238	89¢	$212	0xcf852d…
10-31 23:18:06	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko	Liam Draxl	BUY	238	84¢	$200	0x3517b9…
10-31 22:40:21	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko	Sebastian Dominko	SELL	1,250	63¢	$783	0x9e92e7…
10-31 22:32:16	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko	Sebastian Dominko	BUY	1,250	96¢	$1,200	0x70c51f…
10-31 22:31:40	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko	Liam Draxl	SELL	407	4¢	$16	0x254ab4…
10-31 22:09:10	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko	Liam Draxl	BUY	201	35¢	$70	0x7f012c…
10-31 22:08:49	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko	Liam Draxl	BUY	206	34¢	$70	0xfdcff7…
10-31 16:59:25	Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur	Alexander Zverev	SELL	152	46¢	$70	0xcc2988…
10-31 16:43:27	Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur	Alexander Zverev	BUY	152	46¢	$70	0x553db0…
10-31 16:05:31	Brest: Martin Damm vs Dino Prizmic	Martin Damm	SELL	146	76¢	$111	0x87a685…
10-31 16:00:03	Brest: Martin Damm vs Dino Prizmic	Martin Damm	BUY	146	89¢	$130	0x86fd42…
10-31 13:30:40	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Miomir Kecmanovic	SELL	449	98¢	$440	0xa37bff…
10-31 13:27:18	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Miomir Kecmanovic	BUY	449	89¢	$400	0x6e1d48…
10-31 11:49:42	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Zachary Svajda	Thiago Agustin Tirante	SELL	543	95¢	$515	0x26d4f1…
10-31 11:47:25	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Zachary Svajda	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	543	92¢	$500	0x7575c2…
10-31 11:38:18	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	SELL	402	92¢	$370	0x43903c…
10-31 11:29:30	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xf8f960…
10-31 11:20:52	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	345	87¢	$300	0x751cf3…
10-31 11:19:39	Ningbo: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Liam Broady	Petr Bar Biryukov	SELL	147	42¢	$62	0xb3afa5…