Tedious-Specialty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$180

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.9%

Resolved

Trades

3,932

lifetime

Volume

$261.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$66

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-05 01:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

36% — —

Politics

31% 100% +$109

Other

23% 0% $-289

Tech

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	21	$19.5K	10,595	10,595	+0	open	—	05-29 17:02
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	22	$15.7K	10,441	10,642	-201	open	—	03-31 09:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$11.7K	6,744	6,744	+0	open	—	04-24 00:57
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	5	$9.9K	5,186	5,186	+0	open	—	07-01 11:36
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	6	$9.6K	6,699	6,146	+553	open	—	06-29 23:27
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	8	$7.6K	3,742	4,047	-306	open	—	06-12 09:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$7.5K	7,290	4,510	+2,780	open	—	05-30 16:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	18	$6.8K	2,576	4,389	-1,813	open	—	05-10 07:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	3	$6.6K	3,390	3,390	+0	No	+$99	05-10 23:57
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	3	$5.9K	3,040	3,040	+0	open	—	04-15 22:00
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	6	$5.5K	2,854	2,854	+0	open	—	04-13 06:32
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	4	$5.3K	2,750	2,750	+0	open	—	05-13 14:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	3	$4.9K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	05-12 16:27
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	2	$4.2K	2,217	2,217	+0	open	—	07-01 00:25
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$3.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-22 02:08
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	2	$3.4K	1,762	1,762	+0	open	—	05-25 23:45
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	1	$3.0K	3,030	0	+3,030	open	—	06-30 22:34
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	3	$2.9K	836	2,986	-2,150	open	—	06-13 16:02
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	1	$2.8K	2,900	0	+2,900	open	—	06-09 15:40
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	1	$2.8K	2,870	0	+2,870	open	—	06-06 12:39
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	4	$2.8K	2,800	0	+2,800	open	—	06-02 23:40
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	22	$2.6K	1,797	1,180	+617	open	—	04-26 14:40
btc updown 15m 1769607000	78	$2.4K	1,896	1,896	+0	open	—	01-28 13:41
btc updown 15m 1768670100	14	$2.3K	1,395	1,386	+9	open	—	01-17 17:29
btc updown 15m 1769661900	27	$2.2K	1,381	1,078	+302	open	—	01-29 04:58
btc updown 15m 1768644000	41	$2.1K	1,942	1,927	+15	open	—	01-17 10:14
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$2.1K	3,199	3,199	+0	open	—	04-22 07:44
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$2.0K	4,700	0	+4,700	open	—	03-31 23:57
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$1.9K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	04-22 07:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	17	$1.9K	4,971	4,971	+0	open	—	05-07 13:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 23:15:52	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	337	89¢	$300	0x872593…
07-05 01:35:11	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0xf8fc17…
07-05 01:34:07	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	333	90¢	$300	0x076df7…
07-05 01:33:50	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0xc65c83…
07-04 04:21:07	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	417	96¢	$400	0x5625bd…
07-04 04:19:11	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	435	92¢	$400	0x2006f7…
07-02 22:27:46	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0x9ee9dd…
07-02 22:27:07	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	417	96¢	$400	0x86c9a5…
07-02 22:26:26	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0xcd114c…
07-02 01:04:10	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0xbcb8d7…
07-02 01:03:47	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	427	94¢	$400	0x28cad2…
07-02 01:03:22	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	421	95¢	$400	0xc812bd…
07-02 01:02:16	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0xe691cf…
07-02 01:01:34	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	421	100¢	$421	0xddfcd0…
07-01 16:48:11	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	215	100¢	$215	0x37a0fe…
07-01 11:36:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	1,532	95¢	$1,449	0xc29362…
07-01 11:36:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	966	95¢	$914	0xcc11d7…
07-01 11:33:50	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	421	95¢	$400	0x75c52c…
07-01 11:33:04	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0xeaab3f…
07-01 11:32:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	95	95¢	$90	0xe814ad…
07-01 11:32:05	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	538	93¢	$500	0x2b70f8…
07-01 05:47:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	2,593	99¢	$2,557	0xfd0c9c…
07-01 03:33:07	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	233	100¢	$232	0x000d65…
07-01 00:25:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	5,186	94¢	$4,900	0x9df277…
07-01 00:25:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	SELL	2,217	98¢	$2,184	0x5b385c…
06-30 23:12:02	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0x6584da…
06-30 23:11:23	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	223	90¢	$200	0xb60736…
06-30 22:34:05	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	3,030	99¢	$3,000	0x3e0a17…
06-29 23:31:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	2,217	90¢	$2,000	0x4a63af…
06-29 23:27:35	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	SELL	1,537	79¢	$1,220	0x9d3464…
06-29 23:27:14	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	SELL	4,610	48¢	$2,219	0x5cd85d…
06-29 23:25:11	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	1,069	94¢	$1,000	0x1e2d1c…
06-29 23:24:35	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	5,077	98¢	$5,000	0xc93ff1…
06-29 23:20:44	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x093414…
06-29 23:20:31	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x52dee4…
06-13 16:03:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	SELL	953	68¢	$647	0x363614…
06-13 16:02:54	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	2,986	78¢	$2,317	0x8bf5a5…
06-12 09:58:01	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,742	100¢	$3,738	0x2e1c0a…
06-12 04:02:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	2,177	83¢	$1,800	0xe1af17…
06-12 04:02:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	BUY	953	52¢	$500	0x86bc43…
06-09 15:40:21	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	No	BUY	2,900	97¢	$2,825	0x64c6d8…
06-06 12:39:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	2,870	98¢	$2,818	0xe8e388…
06-02 23:40:42	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	1,859	98¢	$1,829	0x2c449d…
06-02 23:35:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xe0841b…
06-02 23:29:43	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5ce937…
06-02 23:21:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	932	98¢	$917	0xa7dffe…
05-30 16:53:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	980	98¢	$956	0xbff321…
05-30 16:52:30	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0x58dee8…
05-30 16:52:02	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	817	70¢	$572	0x3bd079…
05-30 16:51:18	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,375	96¢	$2,268	0xb214d6…
05-30 15:53:12	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	494	94¢	$465	0x8d1c8c…
05-30 10:47:09	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	94¢	$95	0x1a2ca2…
05-29 17:30:45	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	97¢	$102	0x67f98f…
05-29 17:07:23	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	557	94¢	$524	0x5b586a…
05-29 17:02:55	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	215	94¢	$202	0x5584c9…
05-29 17:02:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	4,810	99¢	$4,762	0x27bb53…
05-29 08:35:01	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	97¢	$194	0x82b3b6…
05-28 02:12:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,800	88¢	$1,584	0x8bb34d…
05-25 23:45:14	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	SELL	1,762	98¢	$1,720	0x72043b…
05-25 01:20:02	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	BUY	1,762	93¢	$1,640	0x7c960a…
05-25 01:18:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1,603	97¢	$1,557	0xda5383…
05-24 08:49:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	109	86¢	$94	0x9c3092…
05-19 16:53:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,235	96¢	$1,190	0xe0a32c…
05-19 16:40:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0xc5258c…
05-19 16:34:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x98508e…
05-19 16:33:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	56	96¢	$54	0x2b2ab2…
05-19 16:26:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x0323eb…
05-19 16:15:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6c22d8…
05-19 16:07:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x1e862c…
05-19 16:07:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x6cbc39…
05-19 16:06:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$22	0xbff926…
05-19 16:05:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x1acf45…
05-19 16:03:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	598	96¢	$576	0x747f19…
05-19 16:01:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	2,334	96¢	$2,245	0x47f576…
05-19 16:00:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1,847	96¢	$1,779	0x3033b4…
05-19 00:46:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,699	94¢	$1,600	0x853734…
05-19 00:45:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,910	84¢	$1,604	0x3723a8…
05-14 03:25:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	787	94¢	$740	0x8cf2dd…
05-14 03:19:33	Will Steve Witkoff attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	SELL	400	99¢	$394	0xc4b18b…
05-14 03:19:19	Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	SELL	247	100¢	$247	0xbdc903…
05-13 20:36:33	Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x789956…
05-13 20:18:30	Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0xf69b82…
05-13 19:51:56	Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xd5ea25…
05-13 19:46:28	Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	SELL	22	9¢	$2	0x7aa9bc…
05-13 15:26:53	Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	SELL	152	9¢	$14	0x171740…
05-13 15:23:13	Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	SELL	33	9¢	$3	0x7f9ea6…
05-13 15:19:25	Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	SELL	47	9¢	$4	0x4cda89…
05-13 15:02:32	Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	SELL	206	9¢	$19	0xa03f63…
05-13 14:24:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,700	88¢	$1,496	0xb57ffe…
05-13 14:23:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	364	97¢	$354	0x19822b…
05-13 14:22:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,500	93¢	$1,395	0xc5dc72…
05-13 14:19:27	Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	37	8¢	$3	0x958c3b…
05-13 14:18:21	Will Steve Witkoff attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	371	76¢	$281	0x8fe2d1…
05-13 14:17:07	Will Steve Witkoff attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	29	76¢	$22	0xba5594…
05-13 14:16:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0x65d69d…
05-13 14:15:15	Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	247	97¢	$239	0xd83210…
05-13 14:14:33	Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	380	18¢	$70	0xafbda5…
05-13 14:12:55	Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x631563…
05-13 14:12:54	Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	156	18¢	$29	0x2657b1…
05-13 14:12:27	Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xae1917…