Realized P&L
-$11.8K
Unrealized P&L
-$129
Hit rate
46.3%
Resolved
1,691
Trades
31,449
lifetime
Volume
$497.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$1.58K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 09-03 04:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 83 days
Categories
Other
94% 50% -$9,488
Politics
4% 48% -$196
Tech
2% 64% -$2,125
Crypto
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -823 -$696 92¢ $-753 -$58 06-01 11:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -728 -$638 97¢ $-704 -$66 05-18 04:52
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +50 $42 89¢ $44 +$2 06-04 21:42
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +50 $44 86¢ $43 -$2 06-03 22:57
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +50 $37 56¢ $28 -$9 06-04 16:35
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -50 -$8 11¢ $-5 +$3 06-05 21:26
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -50 -$4 7¢ $-3 +$1 06-13 23:58
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -50 -$2 5¢ $-2 -$1 07-20 11:29
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -50 -$1 1¢ $-0 +$0 07-07 17:24
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -50 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-04 10:24
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -50 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 07-07 17:24
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -50 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-04 10:24
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +0 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 06-15 20:37