Realized P&L
-$2.71K
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
56.3%
Resolved
3,858
Trades
19,383
lifetime
Volume
$126.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$49
7 positions
First seen
2026-03-23
last 09-04 12:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 124 days
Categories
Sports
61% 53% -$2,686
Other
34% 61% +$71
Politics
3% 65% -$3
Crypto
2% 55% -$146
Tech
0% 100% +$51
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -41 -$20 83¢ $-34 -$13 09-04 12:25
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -7 -$6 92¢ $-7 -$1 09-04 12:25
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? No -5 -$4 100¢ $-5 $0 09-04 12:26
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -22 -$3 8¢ $-2 +$2 09-04 12:26
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes -15 -$13 10¢ $-1 +$12 05-28 11:36
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 05-10 10:56
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes -0 $0 4¢ $-0 +$0 07-17 16:12