Prudent-Heat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.7%

Resolved

Trades

113

lifetime

Volume

$1.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 06-22 23:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Politics

87% 67% +$1

Other

13% 25% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-22).

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	8	$221	113	113	+0	No	+$0	05-05 02:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	8	$133	68	68	+0	No	+$0	05-18 22:34
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	10	$108	113	113	+0	No	+$0	05-25 01:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	10	$108	112	112	+0	No	+$0	05-09 11:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	4	$63	127	127	+0	No	$0	05-14 22:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	4	$58	30	30	+0	No	+$0	06-02 00:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$56	88	88	+0	No	-$1	05-25 21:30
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	6	$54	93	93	+0	No	+$0	05-14 07:21
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	3	$53	28	28	+0	No	+$0	04-26 08:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$53	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-10 22:34
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	3	$53	28	27	+1	No	-$1	05-20 16:24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	3	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	06-01 03:11
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 10 2026	3	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	06-05 09:21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?	2	$52	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-20 23:55
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	2	$52	27	27	+0	No	$0	05-05 04:42
Iran leadership change by May 31?	3	$52	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-21 04:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$52	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-10 17:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	3	$51	28	28	+0	No	$0	05-25 09:54
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	3	$50	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-28 06:50
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	2	$8	53	53	+0	open	—	05-13 20:12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	2	$7	51	51	+0	No	+$0	05-11 13:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	4	$6	57	57	+0	No	+$1	05-20 20:05
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	5	$4	63	63	+0	No	+$1	05-28 14:13
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	8	$4	60	60	+0	No	$0	05-25 01:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$3	54	54	+0	No	+$0	05-13 09:26
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	3	$3	60	60	+0	No	-$1	04-30 04:23
will kanye west have a 1 hit in june	2	$3	52	0	+52	No	-$3	06-22 23:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 23:55:44	will kanye west have a 1 hit in june	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb64e7a…
06-22 23:55:44	will kanye west have a 1 hit in june	Yes	BUY	32	5¢	$2	0x8aa92f…
06-05 09:21:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 10 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe2bb11…
06-05 09:21:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 10 2026	No	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0xb43744…
06-05 07:17:21	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 10 2026	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0xf0d9f4…
06-02 00:17:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x524b22…
06-01 19:34:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xf67cb7…
06-01 19:34:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xd34759…
06-01 19:33:09	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xd5f827…
06-01 03:11:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0x6a2f4e…
06-01 01:18:05	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x8ded1b…
06-01 01:18:05	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x1b85ae…
05-28 14:13:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	13	4¢	$1	0xb8c4e9…
05-28 14:13:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x345393…
05-28 11:57:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	32	2¢	$1	0x78ecca…
05-28 11:57:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x38360d…
05-28 11:57:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	27	2¢	$1	0x1b5b6c…
05-28 06:50:03	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	93¢	$19	0x97d863…
05-28 06:50:03	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x7d886e…
05-28 04:18:01	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x53a6cc…
05-25 21:30:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0xbc2e3f…
05-25 18:07:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xf81031…
05-25 18:07:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xf18e37…
05-25 09:54:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0x285481…
05-25 09:54:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x162638…
05-25 07:11:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	28	92¢	$26	0x8e79c2…
05-25 01:22:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xfdecd7…
05-25 01:20:16	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x761837…
05-21 21:03:15	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xc69827…
05-21 21:03:15	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x39d08d…
05-21 21:03:15	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x163606…
05-21 19:55:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x8c5421…
05-21 17:18:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0xe1f36c…
05-21 17:18:07	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0xac788f…
05-21 17:18:07	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x2dd620…
05-21 13:02:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	62	4¢	$2	0x174874…
05-21 10:23:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$3	0xe1bab9…
05-21 10:23:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x39cda0…
05-21 04:59:00	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x6af66f…
05-21 04:59:00	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0x23ea5a…
05-21 02:32:14	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0xad7992…
05-20 23:55:35	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	27	97¢	$26	0x59fcb3…
05-20 22:44:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0xb61563…
05-20 20:05:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	6¢	$4	0x5f4bdf…
05-20 19:42:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x95eda3…
05-20 19:42:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0xdfbc6a…
05-20 19:42:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	5¢	$2	0x7ac04e…
05-20 16:24:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	24	94¢	$23	0x75a8a6…
05-20 14:20:15	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xa64e10…
05-20 10:59:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x80add6…
05-18 22:34:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x60fdcc…
05-18 19:55:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x90ac99…
05-18 11:50:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x9a75b5…
05-18 10:41:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0x77e6bb…
05-18 01:03:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0x8b52aa…
05-18 00:52:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xdc576e…
05-18 00:52:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0xd60fab…
05-18 00:52:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x19f2c4…
05-14 22:45:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x6d8b77…
05-14 20:56:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xb9d47b…
05-14 07:21:15	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0x85b0e6…
05-14 03:02:59	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x3d05e6…
05-13 20:12:49	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	7¢	$4	0x3f4862…
05-13 19:06:59	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	7¢	$4	0x273bbc…
05-13 09:26:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	54	2¢	$1	0x4d4125…
05-13 06:33:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0x9be661…
05-13 04:05:58	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x6332a4…
05-13 02:19:11	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xe18fa9…
05-12 21:13:42	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0xcdb532…
05-12 17:38:02	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0xc386ef…
05-12 17:38:02	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x43ca68…
05-12 14:35:46	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0xe4d828…
05-12 07:21:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	3¢	$3	0xf243fa…
05-12 04:00:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	3¢	$3	0x6f431f…
05-11 19:02:40	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xc3ffe5…
05-11 19:01:59	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	2¢	$1	0x230354…
05-11 17:44:56	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xcaa308…
05-11 13:20:39	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	51	6¢	$3	0xcfd1ab…
05-11 11:57:49	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	51	6¢	$3	0xf32011…
05-10 22:34:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	28	95¢	$27	0xf14a99…
05-10 20:51:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	28	94¢	$26	0xddf161…
05-10 17:36:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0x0a9754…
05-10 13:41:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x1e14ff…
05-09 11:04:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xcdda11…
05-09 11:04:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xa5a44e…
05-09 06:44:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0x9587de…
05-09 02:27:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	58	2¢	$1	0xd0764a…
05-08 23:05:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xbd01bb…
05-08 23:05:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0xa386fd…
05-08 23:05:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	29	2¢	$1	0x9f3dd7…
05-08 05:20:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	27	97¢	$26	0xddb560…
05-08 03:37:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x117d0d…
05-08 03:37:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x03486e…
05-07 05:36:07	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	2¢	$1	0xb7fde4…
05-07 02:59:19	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x3a5d6d…
05-07 02:59:19	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x18e81e…
05-07 02:59:19	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	2¢	$0	0x1744d4…
05-05 04:42:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	27	97¢	$26	0xa1a58b…
05-05 02:40:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0x65b77b…
05-05 02:36:16	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0x2aa29d…