Grounded-Formation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$24

Unrealized P&L

-$128

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

19 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$1.61K

$1.61K lifetime

Avg / trade

$85

Open exposure

$127

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 05:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 75% $-24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	+108	$85	68¢	$74	$-11	05-06 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	+102	$85	51¢	$52	$-33	05-06 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	+108	$85	1¢	$1	$-84	05-06 04:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$85	108	+108	open	—	05-06 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$85	103	+103	open	—	05-06 02:54
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$85	101	+101	Down	+$16	05-04 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$85	104	+104	open	—	05-06 00:38
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$85	104	+104	open	—	05-06 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$85	108	+108	open	—	05-06 04:43
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$85	105	+105	open	—	05-06 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$85	103	+103	open	—	05-06 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$85	100	+100	open	—	05-06 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$85	116	+116	Down	$-85	05-04 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$85	117	+117	open	—	05-05 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$85	104	+104	open	—	05-06 01:28
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$85	112	+112	open	—	05-06 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$85	120	+120	open	—	05-06 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$85	104	+104	open	—	05-05 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$85	109	+109	Up	+$24	05-05 00:19
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$85	105	+105	Down	+$20	05-05 02:19
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$85	104	+104	open	—	05-06 02:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 05:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	102	83¢	$85	0x046154…
05-06 04:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	108	79¢	$85	0x6887e2…
05-06 04:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	108	79¢	$85	0xb4b8d9…
05-06 02:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	103	83¢	$85	0x16aa15…
05-06 02:54:12	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	112	76¢	$85	0x48f52b…
05-06 02:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x3b8eb7…
05-06 02:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	120	71¢	$85	0x7c834c…
05-06 02:14:14	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	104	82¢	$85	0x730222…
05-06 02:08:46	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	104	81¢	$85	0x225aa8…
05-06 01:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	104	82¢	$85	0x9ef4a3…
05-06 01:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	103	83¢	$85	0xf9dcea…
05-06 00:39:04	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	105	81¢	$85	0xf3acf6…
05-06 00:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	104	82¢	$85	0x8eb238…
05-05 15:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	104	82¢	$85	0xf748dd…
05-05 15:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	117	73¢	$85	0x646737…
05-05 02:19:48	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	105	81¢	$85	0xd97c48…
05-05 00:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	109	78¢	$85	0x2a0fd1…
05-04 22:29:48	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	101	84¢	$85	0x2016e7…
05-04 22:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	116	73¢	$85	0x39d36b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	13	$3.16K	112	05-06 05:20
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	13	$2.01K	52	05-06 05:19
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	12	$2.35K	42	05-06 05:19
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	11	$1.66K	136	05-06 04:44
Angry-Culvert 0xa867…f165	11	$1.64K	275	05-06 05:15
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	11	$1.26K	100	05-06 04:43
Vibrant-Motorcycle 0x45fb…f1f6	10	$2.93K	23	05-06 04:44
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	10	$1.36K	23	05-06 05:15