Brisk-Elk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.7%

Resolved

Trades

807

lifetime

Volume

$5.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 05-05 04:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

43% 0% $-0

Crypto

24% 91% $-10

Tech

18% — —

Politics

14% 0% $-0

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 235 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 260 279	11	$293	250	152	+98	open	—	04-17 13:35
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	17	$280	167	167	+0	open	—	04-22 11:10
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	12	$258	150	150	+0	No	$-0	04-23 12:57
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?	8	$257	182	182	+0	open	—	04-18 03:00
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	9	$190	150	150	+0	open	—	04-17 16:31
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$184	100	100	+0	open	—	04-19 01:20
spx up or down on march 30 2026	5	$164	150	150	+0	open	—	03-30 01:15
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	4	$164	100	100	+0	open	—	04-18 00:53
mbwm quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 21 2026 1pt26	5	$161	100	100	+0	open	—	04-18 04:37
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 31 2026 119	15	$161	190	189	+1	open	—	03-31 08:10
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 260 279	4	$154	100	100	+0	open	—	04-12 11:32
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 20 2026	4	$139	78	78	+0	open	—	04-20 05:45
Will Reilly Neill be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?	13	$128	196	56	+139	open	—	04-18 04:30
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	4	$120	66	66	+0	open	—	04-16 01:06
Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$92	50	50	+0	open	—	04-16 15:42
gd quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 22 2026 3pt67	5	$88	50	50	+0	open	—	04-18 15:37
Will Allstate (ALL) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$88	50	50	+0	open	—	04-27 10:19
Will Garmin (GRMN) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$87	50	50	+0	open	—	04-24 17:23
another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	5	$84	52	52	+0	open	—	04-14 16:30
will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb finish third in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	4	$82	50	50	+0	open	—	04-18 12:44
ally quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 17 2026 0pt95	4	$82	50	50	+0	open	—	04-17 11:02
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	2	$81	50	50	+0	open	—	04-19 10:00
hon quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 23 2026 2pt32	2	$79	50	50	+0	open	—	04-15 12:16
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	5	$79	55	55	+0	open	—	04-19 03:25
Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?	2	$79	50	50	+0	open	—	04-15 23:19
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	2	$68	50	50	+0	open	—	04-19 08:36
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	2	$63	50	50	+0	open	—	04-15 14:41
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	4	$60	107	107	+0	open	—	04-17 09:40
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	2	$57	35	35	+0	open	—	04-21 07:09
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in April?	6	$45	49	39	+10	open	—	04-09 07:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 04:26:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xfe45df…
05-05 04:25:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x2bdc35…
05-05 04:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc84e12…
05-05 04:11:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xd48c4f…
05-05 04:11:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x3d0cb6…
05-05 04:10:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x4abd54…
05-05 04:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x871955…
05-05 03:56:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xc4ba69…
05-05 03:55:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x1a31f6…
05-05 03:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xced175…
05-05 03:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x0717df…
05-05 03:25:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x5dd00f…
05-05 03:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd5138c…
05-05 03:25:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x5055a7…
05-05 03:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x38cdcb…
05-05 03:12:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xf22644…
05-05 03:10:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x223fae…
05-05 02:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xaf1d55…
05-05 02:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xabd2d4…
05-05 02:25:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x01673d…
05-05 00:54:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x9d8000…
05-05 00:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xff9784…
05-05 00:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x7ce9f4…
05-05 00:52:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x343194…
05-05 00:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xeca8cb…
05-05 00:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x8c1408…
05-05 00:23:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x9177b3…
05-05 00:22:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x72c23b…
05-05 00:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x63e131…
05-05 00:07:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xd1cac3…
05-05 00:06:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x66dc26…
05-05 00:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x0f3ff7…
05-04 23:53:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x85e06d…
05-04 23:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x7491c9…
05-04 23:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x4daac0…
05-04 23:53:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xb19f59…
05-04 23:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x072654…
05-04 23:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x6460e7…
05-04 23:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x854111…
05-04 23:24:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x55edd6…
05-04 23:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xb698b2…
05-04 23:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xe1495a…
05-04 23:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x3c5b60…
05-04 23:09:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$3	0xf94b16…
05-04 23:09:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x221570…
05-04 23:06:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x135392…
05-04 23:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x00dfeb…
05-04 22:53:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x9c98c8…
05-04 22:53:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xd62df6…
05-04 22:39:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x6f5bcd…
05-04 22:39:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	93¢	$3	0x40a577…
05-04 22:37:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x948677…
05-04 22:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xac1e7f…
05-04 22:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x5a27c9…
05-04 22:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xef26fe…
05-04 22:23:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x2bc5cc…
05-04 22:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xa8194d…
05-04 22:22:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x0f8a79…
05-04 22:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xda304f…
05-04 22:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xb8df0d…
05-04 22:08:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x763c2c…
05-04 22:08:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x6bfb5e…
05-04 22:07:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x546f9b…
05-04 21:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x0b0cbe…
05-04 21:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x0a301e…
05-04 21:52:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x32948b…
05-04 21:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xaddbde…
05-04 21:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0xf61ea7…
05-04 21:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x03cadd…
05-04 21:38:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x65136d…
05-04 21:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xb081c1…
05-04 21:37:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xd73332…
05-04 21:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xf5c612…
05-04 21:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xd7393b…
05-04 21:23:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xcde64a…
05-04 21:23:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x92b719…
05-04 21:23:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	83¢	$3	0x2fb30a…
05-04 21:23:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x2ac762…
05-04 21:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb7e969…
05-04 21:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x9642cd…
05-04 20:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	87¢	$4	0x6239c1…
05-04 20:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x6cc453…
05-04 20:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x5c398c…
05-04 20:38:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x876d6e…
05-04 20:38:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x8fcda1…
05-04 20:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x05b4e8…
05-04 20:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xfed511…
05-04 20:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xcbf826…
05-04 20:23:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x4d1be9…
05-04 20:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x92ce56…
05-04 20:21:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x524f20…
05-04 20:11:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x0c9a69…
05-04 20:10:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x60c0e2…
05-04 20:10:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x32ddc0…
05-04 20:09:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xfdab0f…
05-04 20:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xa085ce…
05-04 19:58:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xaaf085…
05-04 19:58:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xa2136f…
05-04 19:42:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xb34fbf…
05-04 19:42:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xab6676…