Cheerful-Visit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.74K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.17K

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved

166

Trades

436

lifetime

Volume

$258.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$592

Open exposure

$3.05K

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 09-22 03:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Politics

50% 50% -$3,732

Other

41% 41% +$4,795

Sports

7% 43% -$3,413

Tech

2% 25% -$274

Crypto

0% 0% -$117

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+1,667	$1,000	60¢	$1.0K	+$8	07-07 03:05
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	+680	$500	100¢	$678	+$178	07-30 00:02
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+1,464	$1,000	46¢	$666	-$334	06-03 23:39
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	+925	$714	43¢	$398	-$316	08-20 01:56
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+3,125	$1,000	10¢	$297	-$703	06-03 23:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	89	$22.6K	40,000	0	+40,000	Yes	+$17,351	02-11 08:04
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	7	$15.1K	9,707	9,707	+0	No	+$3,083	06-03 23:04
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	5	$12.1K	8,084	8,084	+0	Yes	+$4,076	05-04 19:08
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	5	$8.8K	5,046	5,046	+0	Yes	+$1,241	08-12 15:46
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	7	$7.9K	4,734	4,734	+0	Yes	+$1,478	08-12 15:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	5	$6.3K	5,235	5,235	+0	Yes	+$1,292	06-03 23:06
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	9	$6.2K	14,078	7,133	+6,945	No	+$1,828	04-21 20:43
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	7	$6.0K	9,172	0	+9,172	No	-$6,025	05-12 00:11
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	3	$5.6K	6,177	0	+6,177	Yes	+$577	08-03 09:16
cs2 fut g2 2026 06 12	3	$5.4K	3,706	3,706	+0	G2	+$1,404	06-12 14:47
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$4.9K	3,734	3,734	+0	Yes	+$901	06-06 23:12
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	4	$4.8K	2,778	2,778	+0	Yes	+$755	08-12 15:47
atp sanchis boyer 2026 06 13	4	$3.6K	4,125	4,125	+0	David Jorda Sanchis	-$419	06-13 14:24
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	3	$3.3K	2,571	2,571	+0	No	+$1,251	06-03 23:05
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	7	$3.1K	2,587	2,587	+0	open	—	09-22 03:39
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$3.0K	4,688	0	+4,688	No	-$3,000	08-07 15:15
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$3.0K	7,628	0	+7,628	No	-$3,000	05-12 05:20
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	6	$3.0K	1,988	1,988	+0	No	+$984	07-29 23:47
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	7	$3.0K	7,836	0	+7,836	Yes	+$4,877	03-30 18:05
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	3	$2.9K	1,944	1,944	+0	Yes	+$926	05-24 00:10
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	4	$2.9K	8,546	0	+8,546	No	-$2,913	06-03 14:45
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	3	$2.9K	4,301	4,301	+0	Yes	-$1,147	06-08 12:49
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$2.8K	4,135	2,535	+1,600	No	-$1,182	07-16 17:53
will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	3	$2.7K	2,867	717	+2,150	Yes	+$866	08-02 09:19
wta krueger vidmano 2026 06 13	2	$2.7K	1,695	1,695	+0	Ashlyn Krueger	+$678	06-13 14:07
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	2	$2.4K	23,872	23,872	+0	No	-$1,449	02-24 20:43
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	2	$2.1K	3,409	3,409	+0	No	+$91	08-21 13:28
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$2.0K	1,613	1,613	+0	Yes	+$38	06-08 12:49
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$2.0K	3,333	1,667	+1,667	Yes	+$17	06-03 23:05
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	2	$2.0K	3,231	0	+3,231	No	-$2,000	05-04 19:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 03:39:27	Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	No	SELL	519	80¢	$415	0xa86462…
09-21 23:56:43	Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0x7d36d6…
09-21 10:00:33	Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	No	SELL	2,019	80¢	$1,616	0x7c64c5…
09-07 05:52:33	Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	477	84¢	$400	0xe9dfba…
09-05 03:05:07	Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	603	83¢	$500	0xacb37b…
09-05 03:04:52	Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	603	83¢	$500	0xb5b4ca…
09-05 03:04:00	Will Kim Ahern be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	677	74¢	$500	0xdcc4d9…
09-05 03:03:16	Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x547fb6…
09-05 03:01:48	Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	1,333	75¢	$1,000	0x3cdcef…
08-28 14:05:43	Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?	Yes	BUY	1,178	85¢	$1,000	0xddf90b…
08-21 13:30:55	Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?	Yes	BUY	1,163	86¢	$1,000	0xa414c4…
08-21 13:28:33	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	3,409	32¢	$1,091	0x2f93e5…
08-21 13:26:51	Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?	Yes	BUY	56	86¢	$48	0x2f34d2…
08-21 13:24:24	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	1,370	73¢	$1,000	0xeed0f2…
08-21 13:23:15	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	1,419	70¢	$1,000	0x45899f…
08-21 13:10:00	Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	351	85¢	$298	0xb667b7…
08-21 13:02:27	Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	300	86¢	$258	0xc68a32…
08-20 02:20:00	Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?	Yes	BUY	1,092	92¢	$1,000	0x6375bb…
08-20 02:19:55	Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1,199	83¢	$1,000	0xaf9da9…
08-20 01:56:40	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	308	48¢	$149	0x4899f0…
08-19 03:30:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644 414 831	No	SELL	500	67¢	$335	0xeaeac6…
08-14 23:56:18	Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	1,903	79¢	$1,500	0xd2e64d…
08-12 15:50:43	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	411	42¢	$173	0x6dc951…
08-12 15:47:42	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,697	8¢	$296	0x7393c1…
08-12 15:47:21	Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	SELL	998	99¢	$991	0x8d4400…
08-12 15:47:06	Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	1,042	100¢	$1,041	0x0f935c…
08-12 15:46:49	Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	SELL	333	99¢	$330	0x4870d0…
08-12 15:46:07	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	1,892	100¢	$1,890	0x38c7ea…
08-12 15:45:48	Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	1,042	100¢	$1,041	0x6c00c1…
08-12 15:45:34	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	1,892	100¢	$1,890	0xeff8f4…
08-12 15:45:12	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	1,262	100¢	$1,260	0x1f45d7…
08-12 15:18:18	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,125	19¢	$214	0x1cf846…
08-12 15:17:57	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	375	19¢	$71	0x37348e…
08-12 15:17:30	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	500	19¢	$95	0x30004d…
08-12 15:17:09	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	504	9¢	$44	0xfbcf35…
08-12 04:14:28	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	2,180	92¢	$2,000	0x9d4884…
08-12 02:37:03	Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	SELL	1,331	99¢	$1,314	0x631b7f…
08-12 02:36:24	Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	SELL	888	99¢	$876	0x50f511…
08-12 02:32:16	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	2,866	63¢	$1,800	0x356da0…
08-12 02:26:18	Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	694	97¢	$674	0x521443…
08-12 02:26:13	Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	SELL	1,183	99¢	$1,167	0x7857d6…
08-11 19:37:55	Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	BUY	3,067	72¢	$2,200	0x772c56…
08-11 19:34:10	Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	2,778	72¢	$2,000	0x82c210…
08-10 08:20:52	Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	BUY	1,667	60¢	$1,000	0xda3b38…
08-07 15:15:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,688	64¢	$3,000	0x808236…
08-03 09:16:05	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	2,449	98¢	$2,400	0xd9c779…
08-03 09:14:30	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	SELL	1,220	37¢	$450	0x9939b0…
08-03 09:14:24	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	BUY	1,220	41¢	$500	0x17d985…
08-03 09:10:48	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	1,111	45¢	$500	0x0cbed3…
08-03 09:01:50	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	491	41¢	$200	0x2e90e2…
08-03 09:01:06	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	755	40¢	$300	0x23baa6…
08-03 09:00:56	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	513	39¢	$200	0xce8571…
08-02 09:35:29	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	829	36¢	$300	0x9e759b…
08-02 09:29:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	No	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x385700…
08-02 09:19:53	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	SELL	717	100¢	$716	0x634577…
08-02 05:27:12	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xb5a230…
08-01 18:35:00	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	2,268	97¢	$2,200	0x78d546…
08-01 18:23:09	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	1,380	72¢	$1,000	0x35c850…
08-01 18:17:35	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	1,487	67¢	$1,000	0x496859…
07-30 06:34:29	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	909	33¢	$300	0x22c9a3…
07-30 06:30:00	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	2,105	28¢	$600	0xcc24a0…
07-30 06:29:39	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	352	28¢	$100	0x69d838…
07-30 06:25:32	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,120	89¢	$1,000	0xec633f…
07-30 00:05:11	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	238	84¢	$200	0x8b3233…
07-30 00:02:42	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	680	74¢	$500	0x6131e5…
07-30 00:01:21	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x1f44ee…
07-29 23:59:29	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x2886ee…
07-29 23:56:53	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	248	81¢	$200	0xde9c4d…
07-29 23:47:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	1,491	100¢	$1,488	0x7b12e7…
07-29 23:47:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	497	100¢	$496	0xa6fc6a…
07-27 19:22:19	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	No	BUY	587	17¢	$100	0x58042c…
07-27 19:17:24	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	833	12¢	$100	0xf517ab…
07-27 19:15:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	388	52¢	$200	0xcb5547…
07-27 19:15:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	395	51¢	$200	0x295cfe…
07-27 19:14:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	800	50¢	$400	0xa4b56c…
07-27 19:14:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	405	49¢	$200	0xda07f3…
07-27 19:11:37	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	572	72¢	$410	0x07f415…
07-27 19:11:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,730	27¢	$1,000	0x44d09d…
07-21 22:18:39	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	66,667	0¢	$200	0x856d17…
07-20 17:30:04	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	22,222	1¢	$200	0x5dd814…
07-20 16:57:36	Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	No	BUY	12,500	1¢	$100	0xfa55fb…
07-20 14:18:55	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	572	35¢	$200	0x84cd10…
07-20 14:05:39	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	28,571	1¢	$200	0x88ad05…
07-19 06:41:04	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,198	45¢	$1,000	0xb5979c…
07-16 17:55:49	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	1,460	68¢	$1,000	0xb39b5a…
07-16 17:53:23	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,600	62¢	$1,000	0x576327…
07-12 17:51:50	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	SELL	781	17¢	$130	0xc8c420…
07-11 07:38:11	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	SELL	260	21¢	$55	0xa24a2e…
07-11 07:37:26	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	SELL	347	22¢	$78	0x6460f5…
07-07 17:50:53	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,535	32¢	$818	0x76d6c7…
07-07 03:09:34	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,834	55¢	$1,000	0x197aa1…
07-07 03:05:22	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,667	60¢	$1,000	0xb76b93…
07-06 02:46:13	Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	BUY	1,850	27¢	$500	0xaacf6d…
07-02 20:22:19	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	BUY	1,389	22¢	$300	0x2473c6…
06-27 07:07:29	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,535	39¢	$1,000	0x0f2339…
06-25 06:40:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	5,556	18¢	$1,000	0x034b56…
06-25 06:37:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x8023ad…
06-25 06:36:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	127	4¢	$5	0x4b74fe…
06-25 06:36:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	94	11¢	$10	0x8950aa…
06-25 06:30:34	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	3,409	29¢	$1,000	0x8fdfde…